Liverpool vs LASK Linz Best Pick, Prediction and Odds

No bet on Liverpool at LASK Linz. LASK have no Champions League home game on record in either of the two seasons we read, and Liverpool’s away record in the competition stops at four games where our number needs six.

DraftKings prices Liverpool as a heavy road favourite at -360. LASK are +850 and the draw is +550. Take out the book’s 4.2% margin and those prices say 75.1% Liverpool, 14.8% the draw and 10.1% LASK. We have no chance of our own to set against any of the three.

Why there is no number

The number comes from two records inside the competition: how the home side scores and concedes at home, and how the visitor does away. Only league-phase games count. Six games at the venue is the floor, taken from this season when it has them and from last season when it does not.

LASK’s half of that is empty. Their only game of the 2026-27 league phase was away, a 1-0 defeat, and ESPN’s 2025-26 Champions League table has no row for them, so last season cannot stand in. That is all the page claims about their history: it reads two seasons and no further back.

Liverpool’s half is part-filled. They have not travelled yet in this league phase. In 2025-26 they played four away games in it and went 3-0-1 (wins, draws, losses), scoring 2.25 goals a game and conceding 0.50. Across the 144 games of that league phase the average visitor scored 1.45 and conceded 1.93. Four games are two short of six, so the record is shown here and nothing is priced from it.

The table

One round in, Liverpool are 13th of 36 with three points from a 2-1 home win. LASK are 27th with none. Liverpool finished the 2025-26 league phase 3rd, with 18 points from 8 games, a 6-0-2 record, 20 goals scored and 8 conceded.

A 3rd-place finish and a -360 price lean the same way. Neither is a test of the other. To say whether 75.1% is too high or too low we would need LASK’s scoring and conceding at home in this competition, and the sample holds no such game.

Pick: No bet

No bet on the result. LASK bring no home game to the sample and Liverpool bring four away games, against a floor of six for each side.

What changes it

Not the price. Liverpool’s 2025-26 league phase ran to 8 games, 4 of them away, and LASK were not in it. If this season’s has the same shape, LASK end it with four home games, and a game at their ground has no number from us at +850 or at any other figure.

Team news is outside this page. It says nothing about who travels with Liverpool or who is fit for LASK on 14 October. Read the lineups before you stake anything.

The total

The total is 3.5 goals, with the over at -105 and the under at -120. Margin removed, that is 51.6% for the under and 48.4% for the over. We have no number for the total either, and the total is never the bet on this page.

For reference only: neither side’s one game this season passed 3.5 goals. Four of Liverpool’s eight league-phase games last season did.

The last meetings

ESPN holds two meetings, both from 2023. On 21 September, with LASK listed as the home side, Liverpool won 3-1. On 30 November, with Liverpool listed at home, they won 4-0. Neither game falls in the two seasons the method reads.

Liverpool at LASK Linz, UEFA Champions League, Wednesday 14 October, 12:45 PM ET, Raiffeisen Arena, Linz. Prices: DraftKings via ESPN, read 12 October 2026, 17:35 UTC. Results and tables: ESPN, read 12 October 2026. Nothing here states who is available.