Academy Awards odds are posted for the 99th Oscars, on Sunday, March 14, 2027, on ABC, with nominations on Thursday, January 21, 2027. Bovada’s early Best Picture board has The Odyssey at -185, a 64.9% implied chance, ahead of La Bola Negra at +225, or 30.8%, read at 18:24 UTC on Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
The last Oscars, on Sunday, March 15, 2026, gave Best Picture to One Battle After Another, one of six Oscars it won that night. No nominee exists until January 21, and this page makes no pick before there are nominees.
Academy Awards odds: the early Best Picture board
| Best Picture (Bovada, Nov. 3, 18:24 UTC) | Price | Implied chance |
|---|---|---|
| The Odyssey | -185 | 64.9% |
| La Bola Negra | +225 | 30.8% |
| Wild Horse Nine | +1400 | 6.7% |
| Pressure | +2000 | 4.8% |
| Dune: Part Three | +2000 | 4.8% |
| The Invite | +2000 | 4.8% |
The Odyssey and La Bola Negra hold most of this board. Bovada prices 20 films, and their implied chances add to 151.7% across the 20. Everything above 100% is the margin the book keeps on a futures board. An implied chance is the stake divided by the stake plus the profit, so -185 is 185 / 285 and +225 is 100 / 325. That one sum is how to bet on the Oscars with a number instead of a hunch: these are the book’s chances, with its margin still inside them.
Oscars predictions: director, actor and actress
| Market | Top of the board | Price | Implied chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best Director | Alejandro G. Iñárritu – Digger | +400 | 20.0% |
| Best Director | Steven Spielberg – Disclosure Day | +500 | 16.7% |
| Best Director | Paul Greengrass – The Uprising | +600 | 14.3% |
| Best Actor | Tom Cruise – Digger | +400 | 20.0% |
| Best Actor | Andrew Scott – Pressure | +550 | 15.4% |
| Best Actor | Andrew Garfield – The Uprising | +600 | 14.3% |
| Best Actress | Scarlett Johansson – Paper Tiger | +300 | 25.0% |
| Best Actress | Emily Blunt – Disclosure Day | +550 | 15.4% |
| Best Actress | Daisy Edgar-Jones – Sense and Sensibility | +650 | 13.3% |
Bovada’s Best Director favorite is Alejandro G. Iñárritu for Digger at +400, a 20.0% implied chance. Tom Cruise for Digger leads Best Actor at the same +400. Scarlett Johansson for Paper Tiger is the Best Actress favorite at +300, or 25.0%. No acting or directing price on the board is shorter than +300. These are the book’s prices, set before any nominee exists, and they carry no prediction of ours.
The 99th Oscars calendar
The dates come from the Academy’s April 7, 2026 announcement, as reported by TheWrap:
- Governors Awards: Sunday, November 15, 2026
- Shortlists: Tuesday, December 15, 2026
- Nominations voting: January 11-15, 2027
- Nominations: Thursday, January 21, 2027
- Final voting: February 25 to March 4, 2027
- Ceremony: Sunday, March 14, 2027
The 99th and 100th Oscars are the last two shows on ABC. The ceremony moves to YouTube from the 101st.
The 98th Oscars winners
| Category | Winner |
|---|---|
| Best Picture | One Battle After Another |
| Directing | Paul Thomas Anderson, One Battle After Another |
| Actor in a Leading Role | Michael B. Jordan, Sinners |
| Actress in a Leading Role | Jessie Buckley, Hamnet |
| Actor in a Supporting Role | Sean Penn, One Battle After Another |
| Actress in a Supporting Role | Amy Madigan, Weapons |
| Original Screenplay | Ryan Coogler, Sinners |
| Adapted Screenplay | Paul Thomas Anderson, One Battle After Another |
| International Feature Film | Sentimental Value, Norway |
| Animated Feature Film | KPop Demon Hunters |
| Original Song | “Golden”, KPop Demon Hunters |
Conan O’Brien hosted the 98th Oscars at the Dolby Theatre at Ovation Hollywood.
One Battle After Another won six, the most of the night: Best Picture, Directing, Supporting Actor, Adapted Screenplay, Film Editing and Casting. Sinners won four, for Michael B. Jordan, Ryan Coogler’s original screenplay, Autumn Durald Arkapaw’s cinematography and Ludwig Goransson’s score. Frankenstein won three, all craft awards: costume design, makeup and hairstyling, and production design. F1 won Sound. Avatar: Fire and Ash won Visual Effects.
Did the Critics Choice winners win the Oscar?
| Oscars | Best Picture, both shows | Critics Choice Best Actor | Oscar Best Actor | Critics Choice Best Actress | Oscar Best Actress |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | One Battle After Another | Timothée Chalamet | Michael B. Jordan | Jessie Buckley | Jessie Buckley |
| 2025 | Anora | Adrien Brody | Adrien Brody | Demi Moore | Mikey Madison |
| 2024 | Oppenheimer | Paul Giamatti | Cillian Murphy | Emma Stone | Emma Stone |
| 2023 | Everything Everywhere All at Once | Brendan Fraser | Brendan Fraser | Cate Blanchett | Michelle Yeoh |
The Critics Choice Best Picture winner matched the Oscar all four years from 2023 to 2026. Best Actor matched 2 of 4, and Best Actress matched 2 of 4. Four shows is a thin sample: it describes the last four seasons and proves nothing beyond them. The 32nd Critics Choice Awards are on Sunday, January 3, 2027, hosted by Janelle James, with nominations on Friday, December 4, 2026.
Our Critics Choice Awards odds page covers that show, and the Golden Globes odds and Grammy Awards odds pages cover theirs. All our awards pages are collected on the entertainment blog, and the books we rate are in our sportsbook reviews.
Sources: Bovada, 99th Academy Awards markets, read 18:24 UTC, Tuesday, November 3, 2026; the Academy’s April 7, 2026 announcement as reported by TheWrap, read 18:25 UTC November 3, 2026; oscars.org ceremony pages, read 18:28-18:32 UTC November 3, 2026; criticschoice.com winners lists and releases, read 18:26 UTC November 3, 2026.