No ATP Finals odds are posted yet. Alexander Zverev comes to Turin as world No. 1, with two Slams and 61 wins. Carlos Alcaraz has five titles and the best win rate in the field, 41-5 on ESPN’s ATP results. The ATP futures board we read on ESPN was empty at 22:55 UTC on 9 Nov 2026, and this page will add prices when they are posted.
The field and the format
Eight players meet at the Inalpi Arena in Turin from 15 to 22 November. They are split into two round-robin groups of four, and each plays the other three in his group. The draw is on Thursday 12 November, at about 12:45 p.m. CET (6:45 a.m. ET).
The groups have not been drawn. This page does not place anyone in a group until the draw is made. Below are the eight, by their place in the PIF ATP Live Race to Turin as read on 9 Nov 2026. Jannik Sinner is second in that Race with 7,950 points and is not in the field, so the eight hold Race positions 1 and 3 to 9.
| Player | Race points | ATP rank | 2026 W-L | 2026 titles | 2026 vs the other seven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Zverev | 9,350 | 1 | 61-16 | 2 | 6-2 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | 6,100 | 3 | 41-5 | 5 | 4-2 |
| Ben Shelton | 5,170 | 4 | 45-17 | 4 | 3-2 |
| Daniil Medvedev | 3,820 | 5 | 52-20 | 4 | 2-4 |
| Flavio Cobolli | 3,670 | 6 | 35-22 | 1 | 4-6 |
| Arthur Fils | 3,625 | 7 | 41-16 | 2 | 4-4 |
| Frances Tiafoe | 3,390 | 8 | 44-21 | 1 | 3-6 |
| Rafael Jodar | 3,234 | 11 | 50-19 | 1 | 3-3 |
ATP Finals odds: what the board shows
There is nothing to price yet. ESPN’s ATP futures board held 0 markets when we read it at 22:55 UTC on 9 Nov 2026, and we found no outright price for the tournament that day.
Without a price there is nothing to measure against. Every number we would print is a gap: the market’s chance for a player against what the season says. With no market, one side of that gap is missing. When outright prices go up, this page will add them, along with the market’s chance for each player after the bookmaker margin is removed. That margin is the extra a book builds into its prices, so the chances they imply add up to more than the whole field can win. Until then this page makes no pick and states no chances.
What the 2026 season says
The figures below are tour-level singles as ESPN’s ATP results list them. Team events such as the Davis Cup and the United Cup are not in them, and walkovers are not counted. The season runs from the first events of January to 9 November.
Zverev is 61-16, a 79.2% rate, and leads the Race with 9,350 points. He won Roland Garros and the US Open. He lost two other finals, Madrid and Wimbledon, both to Sinner. Against the other seven he is 6-2. This is his ninth qualification.
Alcaraz is 41-5, an 89.1% rate, and sits third in the Race with 6,100 points. He has five titles: the Australian Open, Doha, Tokyo, Vienna and Paris, where he beat Ben Shelton in the final on 8 November. His one lost final came at Monte-Carlo, to Sinner. He is 4-2 against the other seven.
Shelton is 45-17 (72.6%) with four titles: Dallas, the BMW Open in Munich, the Boss Open and the National Bank Open in Canada. He reached six finals and lost two, the US Open to Zverev and Paris to Alcaraz. Against the other seven he is 3-2.
Daniil Medvedev is 52-20 (72.2%) with four titles: Brisbane, Dubai, Hangzhou and Almaty. He lost the Indian Wells final to Sinner. Against the other seven he is 2-4.
Arthur Fils won Barcelona and Cincinnati and is 41-16 (71.9%). He lost the Doha final to Alcaraz and is 4-4 against the other seven. Flavio Cobolli won the Mexican Open in Acapulco and lost two finals: Munich to Shelton and Roland Garros to Zverev. Cobolli is 4-6 against the other seven. His season rate is 61.4%, from a 35-22 record.
Frances Tiafoe won Halle and is 44-21 (67.7%). Both of his lost finals came against players in this field, Acapulco to Cobolli and Cincinnati to Fils. He is 3-6 against the other seven.
Rafael Jodar won Marrakech and is 50-19 (72.5%). He lost finals in Washington, to Taylor Fritz, and in Shanghai, to Alejandro Davidovich Fokina. On the way to the Shanghai final he beat Medvedev in the semi-final. He is 3-3 against the other seven, ninth in the Race and 11th in ESPN’s rankings. He took the last place on 6 November, when Alcaraz beat Fritz in the Paris quarter-finals.
Head-to-head in 2026
These are the 2026 matches between the eight, as ESPN lists them.
| Date | Event | Round | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov | Rolex Paris Masters | Final | Carlos Alcaraz d. Ben Shelton | 7-6 (7-5) 7-5 |
| 31 Oct | Erste Bank Open | Semifinal | Carlos Alcaraz d. Daniil Medvedev | 6-4 7-6 (7-2) |
| 17 Oct | Rolex Shanghai Masters | Semifinal | Rafael Jodar d. Daniil Medvedev | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2 Oct | Kinoshita Group Japan Open Tennis Championships | Round 2 | Arthur Fils d. Frances Tiafoe | 6-3 7-5 |
| 13 Sep | US Open | Final | Alexander Zverev d. Ben Shelton | 6-3 7-6 (7-2) 5-7 6-2 |
| 11 Sep | US Open | Semifinal | Ben Shelton d. Frances Tiafoe | 4-6 6-3 6-3 7-5 |
| 9 Sep | US Open | Quarterfinal | Ben Shelton d. Carlos Alcaraz | 6-7 (5-7) 6-1 6-3 1-6 7-6 (10-7) |
| 6 Sep | US Open | Round 4 | Frances Tiafoe d. Daniil Medvedev | 7-6 (7-1) 6-4 7-6 (8-6) |
| 23 Aug | Cincinnati Open | Final | Arthur Fils d. Frances Tiafoe | 6-3 1-6 6-0 |
| 22 Aug | Cincinnati Open | Semifinal | Arthur Fils d. Flavio Cobolli | 6-3 6-4 |
| 19 Aug | Cincinnati Open | Round 4 | Flavio Cobolli d. Rafael Jodar | 4-6 7-6 (7-3) 6-3 |
| 11 Aug | National Bank Open presented by Rogers | Quarterfinal | Rafael Jodar d. Arthur Fils | 7-6 (7-5) 6-3 |
| 28 Jul | Mubadala DC Open | Round 1 | Rafael Jodar d. Arthur Fils | 7-6 (7-5) 6-3 |
| 15 Jun | Terra Wortmann Open | Round 1 | Frances Tiafoe d. Flavio Cobolli | 6-2 7-6 (7-4) |
| 7 Jun | Roland Garros | Final | Alexander Zverev d. Flavio Cobolli | 6-1 4-6 6-4 6-7 (5-7) 6-1 |
| 2 Jun | Roland Garros | Quarterfinal | Alexander Zverev d. Rafael Jodar | 7-6 (7-3) 6-1 6-3 |
| 30 Apr | Mutua Madrid Open | Quarterfinal | Alexander Zverev d. Flavio Cobolli | 6-1 6-4 |
| 28 Apr | Mutua Madrid Open | Round 4 | Flavio Cobolli d. Daniil Medvedev | 6-3 5-7 6-4 |
| 19 Apr | BMW Open by Bitpanda | Final | Ben Shelton d. Flavio Cobolli | 6-2 7-5 |
| 18 Apr | Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell | Semifinal | Arthur Fils d. Rafael Jodar | 3-6 6-3 6-2 |
| 18 Apr | BMW Open by Bitpanda | Semifinal | Flavio Cobolli d. Alexander Zverev | 6-3 6-3 |
| 14 Mar | BNP Paribas Open | Semifinal | Daniil Medvedev d. Carlos Alcaraz | 6-3 7-6 (7-3) |
| 12 Mar | BNP Paribas Open | Quarterfinal | Alexander Zverev d. Arthur Fils | 6-2 6-3 |
| 10 Mar | BNP Paribas Open | Round 4 | Alexander Zverev d. Frances Tiafoe | 6-3 6-4 |
| 9 Mar | BNP Paribas Open | Round 3 | Frances Tiafoe d. Flavio Cobolli | 6-1 6-2 |
| 1 Mar | Abierto Mexicano Telcel presentado por HSBC | Final | Flavio Cobolli d. Frances Tiafoe | 7-6 (7-4) 6-4 |
| 21 Feb | Qatar ExxonMobil Open | Final | Carlos Alcaraz d. Arthur Fils | 6-2 6-1 |
| 30 Jan | Australian Open | Semifinal | Carlos Alcaraz d. Alexander Zverev | 6-4 7-6 (7-5) 6-7 (3-7) 6-7 (4-7) 7-5 |
| 7 Jan | Brisbane International presented by ANZ | Round 2 | Daniil Medvedev d. Frances Tiafoe | 6-3 6-2 |
One match proves nothing about the next one. These matches show who has beaten whom this season, not a rate. Alcaraz beat Zverev in the Australian Open semi-final on 30 January, 7-5 in the fifth set after Zverev took the third and fourth on tie-breaks.
Shelton met Alcaraz and Zverev in the same week, with one result each way. He beat Alcaraz in the US Open quarter-final on 9 September, 7-6 (10-7) in the fifth, then lost the final to Zverev 6-3 7-6 (7-2) 5-7 6-2. Alcaraz won the most recent meeting between the eight, the Paris final on 8 November, 7-6 (7-5) 7-5 over Shelton.
Jodar and Fils met three times. Fils won their Barcelona semi-final in April. Jodar won the next two, in Washington and in Canada, both by 7-6 (7-5) 6-3.
Facts about the field
Two former champions are in the eight: Zverev, who won in 2018 and 2021, and Medvedev, who won in 2020. Four players are making their first appearance: Cobolli, Fils, Tiafoe and Jodar. Fils is the first Frenchman in the tournament since Gael Monfils in 2016.
Two Americans qualified, Shelton and Tiafoe. No American has won the year-end championships since Pete Sampras in 1999. A Shelton title would also make him the first left-handed champion since John McEnroe in 1984.
Sinner won this tournament in 2025, according to ESPN’s event record, and he is not in the eight. The ATP’s article on the field gives no reason.
ATP Finals predictions after the draw
Thursday’s draw decides who each player meets in the round robin. Zverev is 6-2 and Alcaraz 4-2 against this field. Whether they land in the same group decides whether they meet in the round robin. Cobolli at 4-6 and Tiafoe at 3-6 have lost more than they won against these seven, and the draw decides which of those opponents they face again.
The prediction on this page starts with a price. When outright prices are posted, we will add them, the book and the time they were read, and the market’s chance for each player with the margin removed. Until then: no price, so no pick.
*Sources: field, format, draw time and field facts from atptour.com (tournament page and “Jodar completes 2026 Nitto ATP Finals field”, 6 Nov 2026), read 9 Nov 2026 ~23:00 UTC; venue from nittoatpfinals.com, same time; PIF ATP Live Race to Turin on atptour.com, read 9 Nov 2026 ~22:58 UTC; ESPN ATP rankings, read 9 Nov 2026 22:56 UTC; season records and head-to-head from the ESPN ATP scoreboard (27 Dec 2025 to 9 Nov 2026), read 9 Nov 2026 22:56-23:10 UTC; ESPN ATP futures board, empty when read 9 Nov 2026 22:55 UTC.*