Bill Belichick’s North Carolina is 4-4 after a 38-35 home loss to unbeaten Miami on Saturday, October 31. Four wins already matches the Tar Heels’ total from his first season, and four games are left, starting at UConn on Saturday, November 7, at noon ET.
UNC is 2-3 in ACC games, ESPN’s standings show. Its last two games were lost by a combined four points: 31-30 to Syracuse in overtime and 38-35 to Miami, both at Kenan Stadium.
The second season, game by game
| Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|
| August 29 | TCU, in Dublin, Ireland | W 15-10 |
| September 12 | East Tennessee State | W 35-3 |
| September 19 | at Clemson | L 20-28 |
| October 3 | Notre Dame | L 26-37 |
| October 10 | at Pittsburgh | W 21-17 |
| October 17 | at Duke | W 24-20 |
| October 24 | Syracuse | L 30-31 (OT) |
| October 31 | Miami | L 35-38 |
Results from ESPN’s schedule for North Carolina, read at 00:47 UTC on November 2, 2026.
The wins over Pittsburgh and Duke came on the road and by four points each. The losses to Syracuse and Miami were by one and three. Notre Dame won by 11 in Chapel Hill on October 3, the widest margin against UNC this season.
TCU beat UNC 48-14 in the 2025 opener. In the 2026 rematch in Dublin, UNC won by five and held TCU to 10 points.
Our calls on North Carolina games
| Game | Our call as published | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Notre Dame at North Carolina, October 3 | “Our number has Notre Dame by 18.6, and the line is 21. No bet.” | No bet. Notre Dame 37, UNC 26 |
| North Carolina at Pittsburgh, October 10 | “Our number has Pittsburgh by 8.0. At -4, take Pittsburgh.” | Lost. UNC 21, Pittsburgh 17 |
| Syracuse at North Carolina, October 24 | “Our number has North Carolina by 1.9. At +9.5, take Syracuse.” | Won. Syracuse 31, UNC 30 (OT) |
| Miami at North Carolina, October 31 | “Our number has Miami by 13.9. The line is 14. No bet on North Carolina +14.” | No bet. Miami 38, UNC 35 |
Each call is quoted from our prediction for that game, published before kickoff. Of the two bets, one won and one lost.
Against Syracuse the market made UNC a 7.5-point favorite on DraftKings’ last line, and our number had the Tar Heels by 1.9. Syracuse won outright. Against Miami, UNC covered DraftKings’ last line of 13.5 by more than ten points, on a game we passed.
The rest of the regular season
| Date | Opponent | Opponent’s record |
|---|---|---|
| November 7, 12:00 pm ET | at UConn | 4-4 |
| November 14, time not set | Louisville | 5-3 |
| November 21, time not set | at Virginia | 4-5 |
| November 28, time not set | NC State | 4-4 |
Dates and kickoffs from ESPN’s schedule; opponents’ records from ESPN, read between 00:47 and 00:54 UTC on November 2, 2026.
Two more wins would give UNC six. Louisville is the one opponent left with a winning record, 5-3 and 4-2 in the ACC, and it comes to Chapel Hill on November 14. The season ends at home against NC State, which beat UNC 42-19 last year.
Betting on North Carolina now
No season-long price for UNC is posted. The DraftKings futures boards ESPN carries, read at 00:47 UTC on November 2, 2026, price six teams to win the ACC and 42 to win the national title, and North Carolina is on neither list.
A win total or a game line works like any other bet: at -150 the implied chance is 60%, and a bet is worth making only when you rate the side higher than the price does. Game-by-game prices for UNC’s last four games will be on our college football predictions page as each prediction is published. Compare prices across books with our sportsbook reviews.
How Belichick’s first season went
UNC went 4-8 in 2025, Belichick’s first season as its coach. It opened with a 48-14 home loss to TCU and was 2-2 at the end of September, lost its first three October games, beat Syracuse and Stanford, and lost its last three.
| Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|
| September 1 | TCU | L 14-48 |
| September 6 | at Charlotte | W 20-3 |
| September 13 | Richmond | W 41-6 |
| September 20 | at UCF | L 9-34 |
| October 4 | Clemson | L 10-38 |
| October 17 | at California | L 18-21 |
| October 25 | Virginia | L 16-17 |
| October 31 | at Syracuse | W 27-10 |
| November 8 | Stanford | W 20-15 |
| November 15 | at Wake Forest | L 12-28 |
| November 22 | Duke | L 25-32 |
| November 29 | at NC State | L 19-42 |
2025 results from ESPN’s schedule, with dates in Eastern time. Three of the eight losses were by seven points or fewer: 21-18 at California, 17-16 to Virginia and 32-25 to Duke.