2025 Eurovision Odds & Predictions: Which Country Wins?

The 2025 Eurovision Song Contest officially aims to rock our socks off on May 13th, and will wrap things up on Saturday, May 17th, with a new champion.

You can bet on who will win Eurovision 2025 at most online betting sites, with the latest Eurovision odds suggesting that Sweden may have the upper hand. Sweden is the early favorite to get the win, but their odds don’t exactly paint them as a lock.

There are other countries in the running to win the Eurovision Song Contest, giving entertainment betting fans some compelling value to root for. Not sure who to bet on this year? Join me as I break down the top contenders and offer my ultimate Eurovision prediction.

What Is Eurovision?

The Eurovision Song Contest – aka Eurovision – is a yearly singing competition presented by the European Broadcasting Union that has the best international artists against each other to decide one ultimate champion.

Sing The Song Of Winning

After Joining The Best Handicapping Membership!

Get Free Trial

When Is Eurovision?

Eurovision starts on Tuesday, May 13th, and wraps up with a winner determined on Saturday, May 17th.

Who Won Eurovision 2024?

Last year’s Eurovision winner was Nemo, with “The Code” taking first place with a hefty 591 points.

2025 Eurovision Odds

Check out the latest Eurovision odds:

If you thought betting on the 2025 Eurovision winner was all you could do, well, consider yourself very wrong. You can and should definitely still try to predict who will win the Eurovision Song Contest this year, but there’s more money to be made elsewhere, too.

The odds are very alluring for the Eurovision winner bet, of course, while some of the other wagers appear to be fairly advantageous. I personally like the winning margin bet, while the “top Balkan Country”, last place finisher, and winner’s point total wagers all also look pretty good.

Of course, wagers being appealing and wagers winning can be two very different things. You can roll with my Eurovision predictions above, or read on for a little bit of analysis for all of these bets.

2025 Eurovision Predictions

Check out our predictions for the latest Eurovision prop bets including which country will win the contest: 

Eurovision Winner

• Sweden (-125) 
• Austria (+350)
• France (+800)  
• Netherlands (+1400)  
• Israel (+1200)  
• Belgium (+2200)  
• Finland (+2800)  

Sweden enters the 2025 Eurovision Song Contest as the tentative favorites to win. They are absolutely in contention, both based on the song they’ve entered into the competition, and also on pedigree.

The 2023 Eurovision winner came from Sweden, while the country has won two Eurovision titles in the last decade. It’s worth wondering if the talent they produce is too good to ignore, or if the Eurovision voters will opt to reward someone else.

Typically the best handicappers out there will suggest you look for value, as well as any good reason to go away from a betting favorite. Sweden has a really nice price as far as favorites go, while KAJ has created a fun and catchy hit with Bara Bada Bastu.

However, the presence of Austria (+350) and the fact that KAJ’s material isn’t as deep or as intense as a lot of the competition, makes me feel inclined to seek out an upset.

Austria’s JJ has submitted a pretty intense song in Wasted Love, complete with a mesmerizing and emotional music video, and unparalleled vocals. JJ is a mixture of Billie Eilish and Dimash Kudaibergen, giving him (and Austria) a leg up over Sweden, in my opinion.

If you’re looking for more value, I don’t mind taking a shot at the Netherlands. You’re getting on heck of a price for Claude’s C’est La Vie, which is equal parts moving and fun. 

Ultimately, Eurovision tends to be about which song delivers the best total package. You need some substance, the song needs to be catchy, and the vocals and production need to hit the mark.

I don’t think Sweden delivers that, and a lot of the competition this year leaves something to be desired. My two favorites are Austria and the Netherlands. I’d go hard at Austria, while a mild sprinkle on Claude to take it home would be something fun to root for.

Bet: Austria (+350)

Eurovision Winning Margin

• Under 50 points (-150)
• 50-100 points (+200)
• Over 100 points (+300)

This is an easy wager to get wrong, so while the pricing is pretty darn good, I wouldn’t suggest going after it too hard. The reason to refrain is the sheer fact that Sweden – a seemingly bad choice to be favored – is currently projected to win.

I don’t like Sweden to win at all, but if I am wrong about that, I could certainly be wrong about the gap between first and second place. That said, I think betting on the under does make the most sense.

Last year Nemo’s “The Code” was the clear winner, and even that didn’t have Switzerland pulling out on top with a lead of more than 50 points. On top of that, I do see more than a couple viable candidates, and personally think the race between Austria and the Netherlands could end up being fairly tight.

Bet: Under 50 points (-150)

Eurovision Winner’s Point Total

• Over 550 points (+110)
• 500-550 points (+165)
• Under 500 points (+225)

Last year’s Eurovision winner had 591 points, while the runner-up had 547. The 2023 winner had a final score of 583 as well.

These things are not very easy to predict, but I expect Austria to rack up a lot of points en route to a big win. A few contestants could pull in behind JJ, but I think the field is very top-heavy in 2025.

Due to that, it is fairly likely the winner coasts to 550+ points. Even better? You are getting plus money no matter how you bet on this Eurovision wager.

Bet: Over 550 points (+110)

Best Top 5 Eurovision Finish

This is a sheer value bet regarding which Eurovision acts are most likely to crack the top 5. I think the favored Sweden is a fine bet, but at -1000 you’re not getting amazing value.

In addition, I am personally not super high on their chances to win. They feel a bit gimmicky and compared to the rest of the field, they simply lack any substance or depth. Add in their price, and this is not where I’d prefer investing in Sweden.

I will keep it going with Austria, who I think stands a very good chance to win the whole thing. If you disagree that they can win – but want some nice value and think they can go far – then this could be the spot to back them.

Bet: Austria (-375)

Best Top 10 Eurovision Finish

This is another spot where you could throw a ton of money at Sweden or even Austria, but their prices make the gamble not really worth it.

Instead, I’d first target the Netherlands (-500), which admittedly is also a price that gives you cause for pause. Still, it’s a much better price than the top two Eurovision contenders, and this is a third country I feel strongly about in terms of their chances to make the cut inside the top 10.

If you want a sleeper pick that offers elite betting value for this wager, consider Ukraine (-200). I am personally not a big fan of their song, but they are a fan favorite and people will continue to consider supporting them due to the country’s political struggles.

Bet: Netherlands (-500)

Top Big Five Country

• France (-500) 
• Italy (+700) 
• United Kingdom (+900) 
• Spain (+1200)
• Germany (+1600) 

This is one of the more difficult Eurovision Song Contest bets to get right, as it could be argued that there aren’t many truly powerful contenders in this group.

France is among the best options in terms of odds to win Eurovision, though, and that by default makes them a very good bet to deliver on this betting market.

If you want a little more value, I’d consider the UK. The United Kingdom has a really fun and upbeat ensemble piece via Remember Monday, and it’s quickly become a fan favorite.

That said, if I am betting on this wager, France looks like the most logical choice.

Bet: France (-500)

Top Nordic Country

• Sweden (-1400) 
• Finland (+600) 
• Norway (+3000) 
• Denmark (+6000) 
• Iceland (+10000)

Sweden is the current Eurovision favorite, so they obviously make total sense as the bet here. Finland ranks second in odds at +600, but that by comparison makes them a longshot.

Denmark probably has the catchiest song in this group after Sweden, but nobody here feels like a serious threat. I don’t love Sweden as the top overall pick to win this contest, but they are absolutely the best bet for this specific market.

Bet: Sweden (-1400)

Top Balkan Country

• Albania (-350) 
• Greece (+250) 
• Slovenia (+1400) 
• Serbia (+2500) 
• Croatia (+2500) 
• Montenegro (+2500)

You can also bet on the top Balkan country, and right now Albania is in the lead. I don’t hate that bet, as Shkodra Elektronite offers a pretty intense song in “Zjerm”, which has strong vocals and is backed by an orchestra.

The song and odds make them a good bet here, but I don’t mind Greece as a pivot. Klavdia doesn’t have the theatrics as some of her competition, but she is stoic with a powerful and captivating voice.

Of course, I am not picking either of these acts – not with the emotionally powerful Klemen in the race. He represents Slovenia and his song “How Much Time Do We Have Left” is raw and hard-hitting. His vocals are also spot on, and in terms of value, nobody offers a better bet.

Albania is probably the safe play, but I am pulling for Klemen here and think he has the song to stage the upset.

Bet: Slovenia (+1400)

Top Baltic Country

• Estonia (-500) 
• Lithuania (+300) 
• Latvia (+1400)

This is one Eurovision betting market where I don’t see the point in looking for value. Estonia is the runaway favorite here, and I don’t think there is serious competition.

Much like Sweden, Estonia’s act lacks substance and is more of the humorous variety, but the competition here is simply lacking. Lithuania is your best bet for the upset, but they didn’t blow me away.

This feels very much like a “by default” win. The -500 odds aren’t super fun to attack, but this is the bet I’d make here.

Bet: Estonia (-500)

Which Country Will Finish Last?

• United Kingdom (+300)
• Montenegro (+500) 
• Iceland (+500) 
• Georgia (+500) 
• Australia (+500) 
• Spain (+500) 
• Armenia (+500) 
• Germany (+1200) 
• Italy (+1200) 
• Switzerland (+1200)

Last, and certainly least, we can bet on who will finish in last place at the 2025 Eurovision Song Contest.

This entire thing is pretty subjective, to be fair. You can see that when looking at how Sweden is favored, while there are several entrants that should have better odds than they currently do.

I don’t like singling out one act to be the worst, and to be fair, I don’t think that’s even necessarily the case. As in, you can finish last without being totally deserving.

That dishonor falls to Montenegro. Nina Zizic has a nice tone and delivers some nice power, but the song simply isn’t very good. It takes too long to develop and opens with talking rather than singing. It does have substance and she’s talented, but it’s easily one of the least interesting songs in the Eurovision competition this year.

The United Kingdom is an interesting favorite here. If I was just going off of personal preference, I might place that bet. However, this song is a fan favorite and some actually think it has a chance to win. That makes it a dicey one to bet on for this specific wager.

Bet: Montenegro (+500)