PGA Golf Picks This Week: 2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am

The PGA Tour heads to California’s iconic coastline for the 2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am, one of the most entertaining stops on the schedule thanks to the celebrity pro-am format and one of the most recognizable venues in golf. Pebble Beach is short by Tour standards, but it plays brutally tough when the wind kicks up, and it puts a premium on elite approach play, creativity around the greens, and pure scrambling ability.

If you’re wagering on the PGA golf tournament this week, make sure you check out our Golf Picks hub and complete golf betting guide for market breakdowns, betting strategies, and bankroll tips. Pebble Beach is a unique betting event because it rewards precision over power, which can open up value in placement markets and group bets if you’re willing to look beyond the top two names on the board.

Below are the best PGA golf picks this week, with odds pulled from the top sports betting sites. Check back after the tournament, to get our full golf results.

PGA Golf Picks This Week

Check out our favorite PGA golf picks for this week, courtesy of the top sports betting sites:

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Golf Expert Picks For This Week

Let’s break down our top PGA Tour picks for this week:

To Win Outright

• Scottie Scheffler (+290)
• Rory McIlroy (+1300)
• Xander Schauffele (+2500)
• Si Woo Kim (+2500)
• Cameron Young (+2700)
• Viktor Hovland (+2700)
• Tommy Fleetwood (+2800)
• Justin Rose (+2800)

Rory McIlroy at +1300 is one of the best outright bets on the board because it gives you legitimate win equity without forcing you to pay Scheffler’s short price. Rory returns as the defending champion after winning this event last year at 21-under, and Pebble Beach is a course where comfort and experience matter. It’s not just about raw talent. It’s about controlling ball flight, managing wind, and staying patient when the course starts biting back. Rory has already proven he can do all of that here, and that makes him one of the few players in this field who deserves to be taken seriously as a true win threat.

The recent form is another major reason this bet works. Even though this is his 2026 PGA Tour debut, Rory hasn’t been sitting on the couch. He’s already played a handful of DP World Tour events to open the season, including a T14 at the Australian Open, a T3 at the Dubai Invitational, and a T33 at the Hero Dubai Desert Classic. That’s exactly the kind of competitive ramp-up you want to see, because it means he’s tournament-sharp without being worn down from grinding the early PGA schedule. Rory has always been a guy who can show up fresh and contend immediately, and those DP starts suggest he’s already in rhythm.

The pro-am pairing is also a sneaky edge this week. Rory is teamed up with Jeff Rhodes, a hedge fund manager who fits the mold of the ideal pro-am partner. That matters more than most bettors realize. Pebble Beach pro-am rounds can turn into slow, awkward marathons if a player gets paired with someone who struggles or drags down the pace of play. But a guy like Rhodes is almost certainly experienced in high-level golf settings and unlikely to disrupt Rory’s tempo. He’s rich, he’s probably played Pebble Beach before. In an event where maintaining rhythm is half the battle, that’s a real advantage over players who may spend Thursday frustrated instead of scoring.

At +1300, Rory is priced like he’s clearly behind Scheffler in win probability, but Pebble Beach is one of the few places where that gap shrinks. Between his defending champion status, his early-season DP World Tour reps, his elite scoring ceiling, and a pairing that should keep the pro-am portion smooth, Rory McIlroy checks every box you want in an outright. If you’re betting someone near the top of the board to win this tournament, Rory is the sharp play.

Bet: Rory McIlroy to Win (+1300)

Top 10 Finish (Including Ties)

• Scottie Scheffler (-320)
• Rory McIlroy (+122)
• Xander Schauffele (+196)
• Si Woo Kim (+186)
• Tommy Fleetwood (+200)
• Russell Henley (+210)
• Viktor Hovland (+210)

Si Woo Kim to finish Top 10 (+186) is one of the strongest placement bets on the entire board this week, because his game is trending like a legitimate contender even if the outright market doesn’t fully reflect it. Kim has quietly been one of the best ball-strikers in the field to open the season, and Pebble Beach is the type of course that rewards exactly what he does best. He doesn’t need to overpower anything here. He just needs to stay accurate, keep giving himself birdie looks, and avoid the big numbers that knock players out of contention.

The recent form is hard to ignore. Kim has stacked high-end finishes over his last few starts, including a T2 at the Farmers Insurance Open, a T3 at the WM Phoenix Open, and a T6 at The American Express. That’s the type of stretch that signals real top-10 equity, not just “he’s playing okay.” When Si Woo is consistently showing up on leaderboards against strong fields like this, it usually means his tee-to-green game is dialed in, and that’s exactly what you want heading into Pebble.

The advanced stats back it up even more. Kim is gaining +0.611 strokes off the tee over his last five starts, but the biggest separator is his approach play. He’s averaging +0.886 strokes gained on approach, and his season-long strokes gained approach number ranks 2nd on TOUR. Pebble Beach is a second-shot course where precision iron play matters more than pure distance, so Kim’s profile fits perfectly. If he keeps hitting it like this, he’s going to have birdie chances all week, and that makes a top-10 finish feel very realistic.

Course history helps the case too. Kim finished 12th here last year at 13-under, and he also posted a T14 in 2024 at 10-under, so he’s already proven he can score here and contend on this setup. He’ll also be paired with Dan Rose for the pro-am portion of the event, which doesn’t necessarily change the betting outlook, but it’s still worth noting in a tournament where pace of play and rhythm can matter. Overall, this is one of the cleanest placement bets on the card: strong recent results, elite approach numbers, and solid Pebble history at a plus-money price.

Bet: Si Woo Kim Top 10 (+186)

To Win Group B

• Viktor Hovland (+320)
• Russell Henley (+325)
• Cameron Young (+325)
• Justin Rose (+330)
• Maverick McNealy (+335)

Viktor Hovland to win Group B (+320) is a strong bet this week because he’s the one player in this group who can realistically separate himself if conditions get tough. Pebble Beach isn’t a “grip it and rip it” tournament. It’s a place where players have to keep the ball in play, hit the right sections of greens, and scramble when things go sideways. That type of setup tends to favor the guys with elite approach play and overall shot-making, and Hovland checks that box more than anyone else in this pod.

Even though his Pebble results haven’t been spectacular, he’s still been competitive here, and his recent form suggests he’s arriving in solid shape. He just logged a T10 at the WM Phoenix Open, and his late-2025 stretch included multiple quality finishes in big events. More importantly, the underlying numbers point to a player whose best weapon is trending back into place. Over his last five tournaments, Hovland has gained +0.885 strokes on approach, which is a massive edge in an event where proximity and iron control matter more than distance. If he’s peppering flags all week, he’s going to rack up birdie looks, and that’s how you win these group matchups.

The pro-am format is worth mentioning too, even if it’s not the main reason for the bet. Hovland is paired with Bryce Currie, and that pairing should keep the Thursday round from turning into a pace-of-play disaster. Some players clearly get irritated when pro-am rounds drag, and Pebble is notorious for that. Hovland tends to keep an even keel, and having a partner who won’t derail the flow makes it easier for him to settle in early and avoid a sloppy opening round.

When you compare him directly to the other names in Group B, Hovland stands out as the best mix of ceiling and reliability. Justin Rose has experience but doesn’t consistently produce four elite rounds anymore. McNealy has the course familiarity but still feels more like a “top 20” type than a guy you trust to beat a strong pod outright. Henley is safe, but he rarely overwhelms a field with scoring unless the putter runs hot. Cameron Young might be the biggest threat, but he’s also the most unpredictable, and that’s not what you want in a group bet. Hovland is the one golfer here who can take control with his irons and create separation without needing everything to go perfectly.

Bet: Viktor Hovland to Win Group B (+320)

To Win Group D

• Chris Gotterup (+285)
• Matt Fitzpatrick (+305)
• Robert MacIntyre (+335)
• Jake Knapp (+340)
• J.J. Spaun (+380)

J.J. Spaun to win Group D (+380) is a really interesting bet because this is the type of course where his strengths can matter more than his weaknesses. Pebble Beach doesn’t demand overwhelming power, and it doesn’t always reward the “prettiest” ball-striking profile. It rewards guys who can survive the tough holes, scramble when they miss greens, and avoid turning one mistake into a double bogey. That’s where Spaun can absolutely hang around, and in a group market, “steady and annoying” is sometimes the best skillset you can have.

The biggest reason Spaun is live in this pod is his short game. He ranks 3rd on TOUR in Strokes Gained: Around-the-Green, which is a massive deal at Pebble, where players are constantly missing in awkward spots and forced to manufacture par saves. Even if he isn’t striping irons all week, he has the ability to clean up his misses and keep the round from spiraling. That gives him a higher floor here than his outright odds suggest, and it’s a major advantage over players who rely more heavily on clean ball striking.

Spaun’s recent results also show that he can absolutely compete in strong fields. He finished 2nd at the FedEx St. Jude Championship and 6th at the Procore Championship last season, and even though his early 2026 results haven’t been pretty, that doesn’t necessarily mean much in a tournament like this. Pebble Beach is a reset button kind of course. Some guys show up and instantly find their game simply because the layout fits their eye. Spaun’s Pebble history is solid enough too, including a T33 last year (-9) and a T16 finish in 2022 (-10), which tells you he can at least navigate this setup without imploding.

When you compare him to the other names in Group D, the value becomes clearer. Jake Knapp is talented but still volatile, and he hasn’t proven he can consistently win a four-round matchup against established TOUR grinders. Fitzpatrick has the name value, but he’s been wildly inconsistent, and if the putter goes cold, he can disappear quickly. Gotterup has upside but tends to rely on hot ball striking weeks, and Pebble can punish aggressive misses. Robert MacIntyre is solid, but he doesn’t separate enough in any one category to justify being priced ahead of Spaun by that much. At +380, you’re basically betting that Spaun’s short game and Pebble comfort can outlast a group full of players who all have legitimate question marks.

If you want a group bet with a real payoff and a realistic path to cashing, Spaun is the best “plus-money punch” in this pod.

Bet: J.J. Spaun to Win Group D (+380)

Top 5 Finish Parlay

• Scottie Scheffler & Rory McIlroy (+520)
• Scottie Scheffler & Michael Thorbjornsen (+1100)
• Scottie Scheffler & Collin Morikawa (+1600)
• Rory McIlroy & Tommy Fleetwood (+2000)
• Rory McIlroy & Maverick McNealy (+2200)
• Rory McIlroy & Ludvig Åberg (+2800)

The Rory McIlroy + Tommy Fleetwood Top 5 Finish Parlay (+2000) is the kind of bet that’s actually worth taking a swing on because it isn’t built around a total longshot. It’s built around two guys who consistently show up on leaderboards in big events, especially when the course setup rewards elite ball striking and steady scoring. Pebble Beach tends to favor players who can flight their irons, avoid big mistakes, and keep momentum through tricky coastal conditions, and both Rory and Fleetwood fit that mold almost perfectly.

Rory is the obvious anchor. He’s the defending champion here after winning at 21-under, and even though this is his 2026 PGA Tour debut, he’s already been active on the DP World Tour to start the year. That matters because it means he’s coming in fresh but not rusty. Rory’s ceiling is always “win the tournament,” so pairing him in a top-5 market is a smart way to bet him without needing everything to go perfectly. If he’s anywhere close to his normal self, he should be in the mix all weekend.

Fleetwood is the fun part of this parlay because his recent form looks way better than most casual bettors realize. He’s coming off a stretch that includes a win at the TOUR Championship, a T4 at the BMW Championship, and a T3 at the FedEx St. Jude Championship, which is elite company. More importantly, his strokes gained profile over the past five events is exactly what you want for Pebble: +0.793 on approach and +0.675 putting, along with a massive +1.842 strokes gained total. That’s not “solid,” that’s “contending every time he tees it up” type of golf.

Pebble also sets up well for Fleetwood’s style. He’s not relying on raw distance, and he tends to thrive on courses where placement, creativity, and iron control matter more than bombing driver. His history here isn’t elite, but it’s respectable enough, and this isn’t a bet that requires him to win the tournament. It just requires him to land inside the top five, and his recent consistency suggests that’s very realistic if his irons stay sharp.

At +2000, this parlay is basically a bet that Rory plays like Rory and Fleetwood continues his current run of elite form. It’s definitely higher risk than a Scheffler-based combo, but the payout makes it worth it because the path is clear: both guys are trending like top-tier contenders, and Pebble is the kind of course where they can both hang around the top of the leaderboard for four rounds.

Bet: McIlroy + Fleetwood Top 5 (+2000)