PGA Golf Picks This Week: Rocket Classic

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Known for its wide fairways, soft greens, and scoring-friendly layout, the Rocket Classic event routinely produces low scores and rewards aggressive play. Keep reading below to see our PGA Golf picks this week for the 2025 Rocket Mortgage Classic, held at Detroit Golf Club in Michigan.

With a softer field than last week’s Travelers Championship, bettors will find plenty of value across top-5, top-10, group, and round leader markets.

Before diving into our predictions, be sure to visit our Golf Picks for more PGA Tour previews and betting breakdowns. If you’re new to wagering on golf, our Golf betting guide covers everything from strategy to sportsbook reviews. And for up-to-the-minute Rocket Classic odds and line movement, we’ve got you covered there too.

Now, let’s get into the bets we’re targeting this week.

PGA Golf Picks This Week

Golf PropFavoritesPredictions
Top 5 FinishCollin Morikawa (+300)Patrick Cantlay (+360), Keegan Bradley (+400)
Top 10 FinishCollin Morikawa (+130)Rickie Fowler (+210), Chris Gotterup (+225)
Group Winner (D)Davis Thompson (+280)Chris Gotterup (+360)
Group Winner (F)Michael Kim (+320)Taylor Moore (+360)

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Golf Expert Picks For This Week

Let’s break down our top PGA Tour picks from the best sports betting sites:

Top 5 Finish

  • Collin Morikawa (+300)
  • Patrick Cantlay (+360)
  • Keegan Bradley (+400)
  • Befn Griffin (+500)
  • Cameron Young (+600)
  • Patrick Cantlay (+300)

Patrick Cantlay enters the 2025 Rocket Mortgage Classic in solid form, having posted five top-20 finishes over his last ten starts, including a T-4 at the Truist Championship and a T-12 just last week at the Travelers. His most recent appearance at Detroit Golf Club came in 2022, where he tied for second place with a score of 21-under, closing with back-to-back rounds of 66. That kind of finish shows comfort with the course and the ability to go low when needed, which are two ingredients for a top-5 push this week.

Statistically, Cantlay excels in the ball-striking categories. He ranks 14th on Tour in Strokes Gained: Approach the Green (+0.537 season average) and sits 26th in Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee, gaining +0.406 per round in that category over his last five tournaments. His total strokes gained number (+1.068 over his last five starts) ranks 11th overall, and it reflects how complete his tee-to-green game is even amid mixed finishes. Detroit Golf Club has traditionally rewarded strong approach play and driving accuracy. Those are areas where Cantlay has consistently performed well.

While his putting has been inconsistent – he ranks 68th on Tour in SG: Putting – his overall profile still suggests a high floor. He also leads the Tour in Greens in Regulation percentage among the field this week at 70.73%. That combination of ball striking and proven course history makes Cantlay a high-confidence top-5 option at +360. If the putter cooperates even marginally, he has all the tools to contend deep into the weekend.

Keegan Bradley (+400)

If you read our Rocket Classic preview, it should come as no surprise that we’re backing Keegan Bradley for a top-5 finish this week, especially since I already picked him to win it outright. Bradley returns to the Detroit Golf Club in excellent form and with a solid history at this event. He’s finished T-21 or better in each of his last three starts here, including a T-14 in 2021 at 13-under and a T-21 last year despite carding four rounds in the 60s. While he hasn’t quite broken through at the Rocket Classic yet, the course fits his strengths, and the current version of Bradley looks better than ever.

Bradley has been one of the Tour’s most well-rounded players over the past few months. He’s finished in the top 10 four times in his last 10 starts, including a win at the Travelers Championship last week. In that stretch, he’s averaged +1.781 Strokes Gained: Total -ranking 10th on Tour – and has been particularly sharp around the greens, gaining +0.659 in that category over his last five events. His off-the-tee numbers remain solid as well, and his current strokes gained profile suggests he’s playing some of the most complete golf of his career.

The biggest shift in Bradley’s game has come on the greens. He’s averaged +0.481 SG: Putting over his last five starts, a massive improvement from his season-long number and a big reason he’s been able to capitalize on strong ball-striking weeks. Add in a recent win, confidence in his game, and a track record of good showings at this event, and +400 for a top-5 finish feels more than fair. If he putts even close to how he did last week, he’ll be in the mix on Sunday.

Bet: Patrick Cantlay (+360), Keegan Bradley (+400)

Top 10 Finish

  • Collin Morikawa (+150)
  • Patrick Cantlay (+190)
  • Keegan Bradley (+210)
  • Ben Griffin (+240)
  • Davis Thompson (+360)
  • Rickie Fowler (+450)
  • Akshay Bhatia (+450)
  • Chris Gotterup (+450)

Rickie Fowler’s (+450) return to Detroit Golf Club offers some sneaky upside in the Top-10 market, especially at a tournament where he’s already proven he can contend. Fowler won the Rocket Classic in 2023 with a blistering 24-under total, and while he finished T-31 here last year, he still posted a respectable 9-under performance. His history at this course is a mix of decent and one win, with a T-12 back in 2020 and three finishes inside the top 32 over his last four appearances. When his ball-striking clicks, he’s shown he can thrive on this layout.

Fowler’s recent form also suggests that a top-10 finish is within reach. He’s posted four top-20 finishes in his last 10 starts and is coming off a T-7 at the Memorial Tournament earlier this month. Over his last five events, Fowler has gained +0.422 strokes off the tee and +0.338 strokes putting, which are both harbingers of success at a course that rewards confident drivers and steady putting on soft greens. His total strokes gained average over that stretch sits at +0.832, which puts him in the mix with several players priced much shorter in the betting markets.

While his approach play has been a weak point this season (-0.031 SG: Approach), he’s gained ground recently and enters the week ranking inside the top 75 on Tour in both putting and driving. With his past win here, a positive putting trend, and enough distance to take advantage of Detroit’s scoring holes, Fowler looks like a strong value in the top-10 market, especially in a weaker field missing Scottie Scheffler and a few other big names.

Chris Gotterup (+450)

Chris Gotterup isn’t getting much hype heading into the Rocket Classic, but the stats tell a different story, especially when it comes to top-10 value in this field. He’s posted five top-20 finishes in his last ten starts, including a T-12 at the Zurich Classic and a T-15 at the CJ CUP Byron Nelson, where he finished 22-under. His best finish at the Rocket Classic came in 2022 (T-49), but his recent form suggests this could be the week he breaks through on a course that rewards power.

Gotterup ranks 15th on Tour in Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee, and has gained an eye-popping +1.186 strokes per round in that category over his last five tournaments. His Driving Distance average of 314.4 yards ranks eighth on the Tour. That’s a good fit for Detroit Golf Club, which favors players who can capitalize on wide fairways and get aggressive on the Par 5s. He’s also gained strokes around the green (+0.522 over his last five), which gives him extra margin on missed approaches or recovery shots.

The main concern with Gotterup is his putting—he ranks 132nd in SG: Putting and is losing over 0.2 strokes per round in that category, but in a birdie-heavy tournament like this one, his ability to create scoring chances can offset cold stretches with the flatstick. His total strokes gained over the last five events (+1.501) puts him right in line with the top-25 players in this field. If he gets even average putting luck, his off-the-tee dominance gives him a very real shot at cracking the top 10.

Bet: Rickie Fowler (+210), Chris Gotterup (+225)

Group Winner (D)

  • Davis Thompson (+280)
  • Matt Fitzpatrick (+300)
  • Akshay Bhatia (+350)
  • Chris Gotterup (+360)
  • Rasmus Hojgaard (+400)

Chris Gotterup enters Group D as an underdog on the oddsboard, but he might have the highest ceiling of anyone in the group. While names like Davis Thompson and Matt Fitzpatrick bring more pedigree, Gotterup brings firepower, ranking 15th on Tour in Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee and averaging over 314 yards in driving distance, eighth-best on Tour.

Not too shabby! That can be helpful at Detroit Golf Club. He’s also coming in with momentum, having posted five top-20 finishes in his last 10 starts and gaining +1.501 total strokes per round across his most recent stretch.

His advantage is clear when you consider recent form. Fitzpatrick has been inconsistent for much of the season, and Bhatia and Hojgaard both profile as boom-or-bust types with iffy strokes gained metrics. Davis Thompson is the group favorite but has struggled to string together four clean rounds lately.

Gotterup, meanwhile, has been steady from tee to green and is gaining ground around the green. If he can keep the putter even close to neutral, his distance and scoring upside give him a very real shot to come out of this group on top.ing, but recent form trumps course history at a layout like TPC River Highlands.

His current game is trending up, and a top-20 finish at +160 is well within reach given his scoring ability and all-around consistency in recent months.

Bet: Chris Gotterup (+360)

Group Winner (F)

  • Michael Kim (+320)
  • Matt Wallace (+320)
  • Byeong Hun An (+330)
  • Kurt Kitayama (+350)
  • Taylor Moore (+360)

Taylor Moore may be the longest shot on the Group F board, but he’s got something none of the others do: a flawless track record at the Rocket Classic. He’s finished inside the top 10 here in three straight years, including a solo sixth in 2022 and a T-4 in 2023 when he shot 21-under. Even in 2024, when much of his season was a struggle, he still managed a T-10 finish at Detroit Golf Club. That kind of course-specific consistency makes him an appealing upset pick in a group that includes a slew of other lesser-known players.

Statistically, Moore’s overall profile isn’t flashy, but it does have a few strengths. He ranks 13th on Tour in Strokes Gained: Around the Green and has gained +0.420 in that category over his last five events. That gives him the short-game cushion to salvage scoring opportunities when his ball-striking falters. While his putting has been cold lately (-0.450 SG: Putting), he’s managed to score here anyway, and his Rocket Classic results show he doesn’t need a hot putter to post low numbers.

The rest of Group F comes with red flags. Byeong Hun An has been consistently inconsistent, and Michael Kim has finished outside the top 40 in just one of his last 7 starts. Kurt Kitayama and Matt Wallace have some upside but lack Moore’s track record at this specific venue.

At +360, Moore is a nice mix of longshot price and proven course success. If he can once again lean on his short game and keep the driver in play, there’s a clear path for him to top this group by week’s end.

If you’re looking to bet this week’s Rocket Classic, be sure to tail our picks! Check out the best handicappers if you want expert takes from pros. With a weak field, it’s a great week to target longshots and build your betting card with confidence.ed Hideki’s elite short-game metrics. At +350, there’s more than enough value to back Matsuyama as the steadiest, most well-rounded option in Group D.

Bet: Taylor Moore (+360)