Khamzat Chimaev Odds: 15-1 After the Strickland Loss Skip to content
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Khamzat Chimaev Odds: 15-1 After the Strickland Split Decision

Collage of Khamzat Chimaev celebrating victories, displaying athleticism and confidence in the octagon with various poses.

For Khamzat Chimaev odds, the starting point is a fight to price. Chimaev is 15-1, and he lost the UFC middleweight title to Sean Strickland by split decision at UFC 328 on May 9, 2026. ESPN’s fight log for him, read at 08:04 UTC on November 2, 2026, lists no scheduled fight after UFC 328, so this page quotes no price.

He wants the belt back. “First, I want to get my belt back,” Chimaev told ESPN in an interview published October 22, 2026. Until a fight appears in that log, the measurable part of his case is the five fights below and how they ended.

How Chimaev won the title and lost it

The run to the title began at UFC 308 in October 2024, when Chimaev submitted Robert Whittaker with a rear-naked choke in the first round. His next fight was UFC 319 on August 16, 2025. He beat Dricus Du Plessis by unanimous decision over five rounds and took the middleweight title.

His first defense was against Strickland at UFC 328, at the Prudential Center in Newark, New Jersey. It went five rounds. Two judges scored it 48-47 for Strickland, and one scored it 48-47 for Chimaev.

The striking numbers favoured Strickland. He outlanded Chimaev 163-115 in total strikes, per UFC Stats. Chimaev went 9 of 13 on takedowns, a volume that did not move two of the three cards.

Weight was part of the story. Chimaev struggled to make 185 pounds before UFC 328. Afterward, Dana White said Chimaev told him he wanted to move up to 205 pounds for his next bout.

Since UFC 328

Chimaev disputes the result. “I won the match but they took my belt,” he told ESPN on October 22, 2026, and he is pushing for an immediate rematch with Strickland.

The other side of that rematch is less settled. Strickland has complained about UFC pay and suggested he will try to leave his contract to box Jake Paul. White’s answer was that Strickland signed a new deal in May.

Chimaev has also wrestled in Real American Freestyle (RAF) events in 2026, beating Dillon Danis in June. ESPN reported on October 22 that a match against Colby Covington is scheduled for November. Freestyle wrestling is not an MMA fight, and it does not change his 15-1 record.

Record and last five fights

DateEventOpponentResult
May 9, 2026UFC 328Sean StricklandLoss, split decision, 5 rounds (title fight)
August 16, 2025UFC 319Dricus Du PlessisWin, unanimous decision, 5 rounds (won the title)
October 26, 2024UFC 308Robert WhittakerWin, submission (rear-naked choke), round 1, 3:34
October 21, 2023UFC 294Kamaru UsmanWin, majority decision, 3 rounds
September 10, 2022UFC 279Kevin HollandWin, submission (D’Arce choke), round 1, 2:13

Of his 15 wins, 6 came by knockout or technical knockout and 6 by submission, and 3 went to the judges. He is listed at 6 feet 2 inches and 185 pounds.

Khamzat Chimaev odds

The table splits in two. Against Kevin Holland and Whittaker, Chimaev finished the fight in round 1. Against Kamaru Usman, Du Plessis and Strickland, the fight went the distance: two wins on the cards and one split-decision loss.

The two most recent fights matter most for Chimaev’s next fight. Both were five-round title fights, and both went to decision. A price on Chimaev by submission rests on fights like Holland and Whittaker. A price on the fight going the distance rests on the two title fights.

Five fights is a thin sample, and it proves nothing on its own. No price is quoted here because no UFC fight is listed for him in ESPN’s fight log as read at 08:04 UTC on November 2, 2026.

For how fight markets work, see our UFC betting guide. Our UFC blog collects our UFC articles, our sportsbook reviews compare the books, and our handicapper site reviews cover sites that sell picks.


*Sources: ESPN fight log and fighter profile for Khamzat Chimaev, read 08:04 UTC, November 2, 2026; ESPN stories by Brett Okamoto of May 11, July 30 and October 22, 2026; strike totals from UFC Stats as reported by ESPN.*

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