MLB Cy Young Odds 2026: Final Predictions and Picks Skip to content
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MLB Cy Young Odds and Predictions 2026: Final Picks

MLB Cy Young Odds 2026

MLB Cy Young Odds and Predictions have reached their final regular-season stage. Cam Schlittler finished 14-6 with a 1.95 ERA, 0.92 WHIP and 239 strikeouts across 193 2/3 innings, giving the Yankees right-hander the strongest complete American League résumé. Dylan Cease matched his 239 strikeouts but finished with a 2.40 ERA and nearly 25 fewer innings.

The National League has even more separation. Jacob Misiorowski closed 15-5 with a 1.84 ERA, 0.80 WHIP and 249 strikeouts in 171 1/3 innings for Milwaukee. Chris Sale finished an excellent 14-9 with a 2.16 ERA and 200 strikeouts, but Misiorowski’s advantages in run prevention, strikeouts and WHIP leave him as the clear ScoresAndStats NL prediction.

Cy Young ballots are submitted before postseason play, so October results cannot change either award race. Some sportsbooks have already removed these markets, while others continue to post extremely short prices. That makes this primarily a final prediction and ticket-evaluation stage rather than an attractive time to begin a new futures position.

Quick Cy Young Betting Takeaways

  • AL prediction: Cam Schlittler.
  • AL final résumé: 14-6, 1.95 ERA, 0.92 WHIP, 239 strikeouts, 193 2/3 innings.
  • AL challenger: Dylan Cease, but the September value case weakened considerably.
  • NL prediction: Jacob Misiorowski.
  • NL final résumé: 15-5, 1.84 ERA, 0.80 WHIP, 249 strikeouts, 171 1/3 innings.
  • NL challenger: Chris Sale after a 14-9 season with a 2.16 ERA.
  • Best strategy: Hold strong earlier favorite tickets and avoid chasing extreme late-season minus prices.

How Cy Young Voting Works

Cy Young Award

The Baseball Writers’ Association of America selects one Cy Young winner in each league. Thirty voters participate in the American League ballot and another 30 vote in the National League.

Each voter ranks five pitchers. First place is worth seven points, second place four, third place three, fourth place two and fifth place one.

Most importantly for bettors, ballots are submitted before postseason play. A dominant Wild Card start, Division Series shutout or poor October appearance does not affect Cy Young voting. The 2026 regular-season statistics are the complete award résumés.

MLB Cy Young Odds 2026: Final Market Snapshot

Market availability is now limited and prices differ substantially between sportsbooks. Several U.S. books have already removed one or both Cy Young markets, while other operators continue offering heavily juiced favorites.

Odds last checked: September 28, 2026. Prices and market availability can change.

American League Cy Young Odds

PitcherLatest Observed OddsScoresAndStats View
Cam SchlittlerApprox. -2500Final AL prediction
Dylan CeaseApprox. +800Primary challenger
Drew RasmussenApprox. +8000Extreme longshot
Sonny GrayApprox. +8000Extreme longshot

National League Cy Young Odds

PitcherLatest Observed OddsScoresAndStats View
Jacob MisiorowskiApprox. -1400Final NL prediction
Chris SaleApprox. +600Primary challenger
Cristopher SánchezApprox. +6600Workload case, unlikely winner
Yoshinobu YamamotoApprox. +8000Extreme longshot

These prices should not be treated as a universal consensus because award markets are disappearing from sportsbooks as the postseason approaches. The betting takeaway is more important than the exact number: both favorites are now priced as overwhelming winners, and there is little reason to chase them at extreme minus money.

Final 2026 Cy Young Statistics Comparison

Final AL Cy Young Statistics

PitcherERAIP / SO
Cam Schlittler1.95193.2 / 239
Dylan Cease2.40169.0 / 239

The final strikeout tie is particularly important. Cease entered September with the strongest strikeout-based argument against Schlittler, but Schlittler erased that advantage by finishing with the same 239 strikeouts while throwing 24 2/3 more innings and allowing substantially fewer runs.

Schlittler also finished with a 0.92 WHIP compared with 1.10 for Cease. The final comparison therefore gives Schlittler advantages in ERA, WHIP, innings and wins without sacrificing anything in the strikeout column.

Final NL Cy Young Statistics

PitcherERAIP / SO
Jacob Misiorowski1.84171.1 / 249
Chris Sale2.16162.2 / 200
Cristopher Sánchez2.91207.0 / 231

Sánchez owns the workload advantage at 207 innings, but Misiorowski’s rate statistics are on another level. The Milwaukee right-hander finished with a 1.84 ERA and 0.80 WHIP while striking out 249 hitters.

Sale provides the closest direct comparison. His 2.16 ERA and 0.98 WHIP are elite, but Misiorowski finished with the lower ERA, lower WHIP, more wins and 49 additional strikeouts.

AL Cy Young Prediction: Cam Schlittler

Schlittler remains the ScoresAndStats prediction to win the 2026 American League Cy Young Award, and his September performance strengthened the case.

He entered the month at 12-6 with a 2.09 ERA and finished at 14-6 with a 1.95 ERA. Across five September starts, Schlittler allowed only four earned runs in 30 innings while recording 38 strikeouts.

His final regular-season start was shortened to three innings against Tampa Bay, but it did not damage the overall résumé. Schlittler closed with 193 2/3 innings, an elite 0.92 WHIP and 239 strikeouts.

The strongest argument against him had been Cease’s strikeout dominance. That advantage disappeared by the end of September because both pitchers finished with 239 strikeouts.

ScoresAndStats AL Cy Young Prediction: Cam Schlittler.
Betting decision: Hold earlier Schlittler tickets, especially positions around the -130 to -175 range. Do not chase four-figure minus prices this late in the process.

What Happened to the Dylan Cease Value Case?

Cease was the preferred AL value entering September because +140 offered a much lower break-even threshold than the price on Schlittler, and his strikeout advantage created a realistic path to changing the race.

That path narrowed during the final month. Cease finished 11-6 with a 2.40 ERA, 1.10 WHIP and 239 strikeouts through 169 innings. His final four September starts included 13 walks in 18 2/3 innings, and he did not make another regular-season appearance after September 18.

Meanwhile, Schlittler continued lowering his ERA and ultimately caught Cease in strikeouts. The result is a final comparison in which Cease no longer owns a category strong enough to offset Schlittler’s substantial run-prevention and workload advantages.

ScoresAndStats View: Existing Cease tickets remain live until the award is announced, but there is no longer a compelling reason to add a new position solely because the price has become longer.

NL Cy Young Prediction: Jacob Misiorowski

Misiorowski remains the strongest Cy Young prediction in either league. He finished the regular season 15-5 with a 1.84 ERA, 0.80 WHIP and 249 strikeouts over 171 1/3 innings.

His final start on September 27 strengthened the résumé one last time. Misiorowski threw 5 1/3 scoreless innings against St. Louis, allowing two hits while striking out five in Milwaukee’s 6-4 victory.

September also answered the remaining workload concern. Milwaukee managed his innings carefully, including a three-inning appearance on September 20, but Misiorowski still finished above 170 innings and continued producing elite rate statistics.

That combination gives voters enough volume to pair with exceptional dominance. His 249 strikeouts were 49 more than Sale, while his ERA finished 0.32 lower.

ScoresAndStats NL Cy Young Prediction: Jacob Misiorowski.
Betting decision: Hold earlier Misiorowski positions, particularly the -450 range available during the summer. Avoid laying extreme four-figure minus prices after the regular season is already complete.

Chris Sale Finishes as the Main NL Challenger

Sale produced another Cy Young-caliber season. The Atlanta left-hander finished 14-9 with a 2.16 ERA, 0.98 WHIP and exactly 200 strikeouts across 162 2/3 innings.

His closing stretch was excellent. Sale allowed only six earned runs across his final three starts and struck out 23 hitters in 18 2/3 innings, including 10 in his September 23 regular-season finale.

The issue is not Sale’s performance. It is Misiorowski’s. Sale would have a strong winning résumé in many seasons, but he finished behind the Milwaukee ace in ERA, WHIP, strikeouts, wins and innings.

At a plus-money price, Sale may look more attractive than Misiorowski at extreme minus odds, but a longer payout is not automatically value. The final statistical gap requires Sale to receive far more first-place support than the regular-season evidence suggests.

How the Earlier Cy Young Picks Look Now

The ScoresAndStats winner predictions entering September were Schlittler in the American League and Misiorowski in the National League. Both remain the final selections after the full 162-game schedule.

Earlier PositionEarlier PriceFinal View
Cam SchlittlerAround -130 to -175Final AL prediction
Dylan CeaseAround +110 to +140Value case weakened
Jacob MisiorowskiAround -450Final NL prediction
Chris SaleAround +700Main NL challenger

The strongest existing tickets are the earlier positions on the two favorites. Bettors who took Schlittler before the market moved into four-figure minus territory or Misiorowski around -450 hold substantially better numbers than anything available near the end of the regular season.

Final MLB Cy Young Predictions and Betting Plan

MarketScoresAndStats PickBetting Plan
AL Cy YoungCam SchlittlerHold earlier tickets; avoid extreme minus prices
AL ChallengerDylan CeaseNo new position
NL Cy YoungJacob MisiorowskiHold earlier tickets; avoid extreme minus prices
NL ChallengerChris SaleNo new position

Schlittler and Misiorowski are the final ScoresAndStats Cy Young predictions. Both entered September ahead, both strengthened their statistical profiles during the final month, and neither left a meaningful on-field opening for the primary challenger.

For bettors, the more important conclusion is not to confuse a strong prediction with a good late price. The regular season is over, postseason results cannot affect the vote and several markets have already closed. At this stage, preserving strong earlier tickets is more attractive than laying an extreme number for a small return.

With the regular-season award races effectively frozen, the more actionable MLB markets have shifted to October. Bettors can follow the latest MLB pennant odds and predictions and individual games through the MLB predictions board.

Recent MLB Cy Young Winners

SeasonAL WinnerNL Winner
2025Tarik SkubalPaul Skenes
2024Tarik SkubalChris Sale
2023Gerrit ColeBlake Snell
2022Justin VerlanderSandy Alcántara
2021Robbie RayCorbin Burnes

MLB Cy Young Odds FAQs

Who is favored to win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?

Cam Schlittler is the overwhelming AL Cy Young favorite after finishing 14-6 with a 1.95 ERA, 0.92 WHIP and 239 strikeouts in 193 2/3 innings. He is also the final ScoresAndStats AL prediction.

Who is favored to win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?

Jacob Misiorowski is the overwhelming NL Cy Young favorite after finishing 15-5 with a 1.84 ERA, 0.80 WHIP and 249 strikeouts in 171 1/3 innings. He remains the final ScoresAndStats NL prediction.

What were Cam Schlittler’s final 2026 statistics?

Cam Schlittler finished 14-6 with a 1.95 ERA, 0.92 WHIP and 239 strikeouts across 193 2/3 innings. He finished with the same strikeout total as Dylan Cease while holding major advantages in ERA and innings.

What were Jacob Misiorowski’s final 2026 statistics?

Jacob Misiorowski finished 15-5 with a 1.84 ERA, 0.80 WHIP and 249 strikeouts across 171 1/3 innings. His final résumé gives him substantial statistical separation from Chris Sale and the other leading NL candidates.

Do MLB playoff games count toward Cy Young voting?

No. Cy Young ballots are submitted before postseason play begins, so only regular-season performance counts toward the award. October results cannot improve or damage a pitcher’s 2026 Cy Young case.

What are the final ScoresAndStats Cy Young predictions?

Cam Schlittler is the final ScoresAndStats American League Cy Young prediction, while Jacob Misiorowski is the National League prediction. The preferred betting approach is to hold stronger earlier tickets rather than chase either favorite at extreme late-season prices.

Betting involves risk. Odds can change quickly, and no pick is guaranteed. Always bet responsibly and only wager what you can afford to lose.

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