The MLB Home Run Leader 2026 race ended without a single outright winner. Kyle Schwarber and Pete Crow-Armstrong finished tied for the Major League lead with 45 home runs apiece, while Pete Alonso finished third overall with 43 and claimed the American League home run title.
The regular-season home run futures market is now closed, so the approximately -110 prices available on Schwarber and Crow-Armstrong during the final weekend are historical rather than live betting odds. This update covers the final leaderboard, what happened to the late-season market, and how the previous ScoresAndStats Schwarber prediction finished. Bettors moving on to October can follow the latest MLB predictions and odds.
Quick 2026 MLB Home Run Leader Takeaways
- MLB co-leaders: Kyle Schwarber and Pete Crow-Armstrong, 45 home runs each.
- American League leader: Pete Alonso, 43 home runs.
- Final verified betting snapshot: Schwarber and Crow-Armstrong were both approximately -110 on September 26.
- ScoresAndStats pick result: Schwarber finished as a statistical co-leader, but sportsbook settlement depends on the specific tie or dead-heat rules.
Final 2026 MLB Home Run Leaders
Schwarber and Crow-Armstrong remained locked at 45 through the end of the regular season. Alonso’s late surge brought him to 43, while Yordan Alvarez and Junior Caminero finished immediately behind him with 42.
| Player | Team | Home Runs |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber | Philadelphia Phillies | 45 |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | Chicago Cubs | 45 |
| Pete Alonso | Baltimore Orioles | 43 |
| Yordan Alvarez | Houston Astros | 42 |
| Junior Caminero | Tampa Bay Rays | 42 |
| Hunter Goodman | Colorado Rockies | 41 |
| Matt Olson | Atlanta Braves | 41 |
| Ben Rice | New York Yankees | 41 |
The tie gives both Schwarber and Crow-Armstrong a share of the Major League home run lead. Alonso finished two behind the co-leaders but still ended the season on top of the American League.
How Schwarber and Crow-Armstrong Both Reached 45
The final number was identical, but the two hitters took different routes. Schwarber produced his 45 home runs in 577 at-bats, compared with 625 for Crow-Armstrong. That works out to roughly one homer every 12.8 at-bats for Schwarber and one every 13.9 at-bats for Crow-Armstrong.
| Player | Home Runs | At-Bats |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber | 45 | 577 |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | 45 | 625 |
Crow-Armstrong’s season carried another dimension beyond pure power. He reached the 40-home run, 40-stolen base club in September, becoming the seventh player in MLB history to accomplish the feat and the first Cub to do it.
For home run leader bettors, though, style did not matter at settlement. Both players finished on 45, making the sportsbook’s rules for tied season leaders the deciding factor for many tickets.
Final MLB Home Run Leader Odds Snapshot
The last regular-season market verified by ScoresAndStats on September 26 had Schwarber and Crow-Armstrong priced equally at approximately -110. Those prices are no longer active because the 2026 regular season is complete.
| Player | Final Verified Price | Final HR Total |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber | Approx. -110 | 45 |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | Approx. -110 | 45 |
At -110, a normal win-or-lose wager carries a break-even probability of approximately 52.4 percent. The late-season market was more complicated because the possibility of a tie was unusually high with both hitters already sitting on the same total.
That possibility ultimately became the result. It is a useful reminder that season-leader futures should not automatically be treated like a standard two-way moneyline when multiple players can officially share first place.
What the 45-45 Tie Means for Bettors
Sportsbooks can settle tied season-leader markets differently. Some use dead-heat rules, while others may have specific language covering statistical co-leaders. The grading policy attached to the individual sportsbook ultimately controls the payout.
Under a common two-way dead-heat calculation, only half of the original stake is treated as the winning portion because two players shared first place. As an example, a $110 wager at -110 would have a $55 winning stake after the two-way reduction. That $55 at -110 returns $105 including the reduced winning stake, leaving the bettor $5 below the original $110 wager. That example should not be assumed to apply at every sportsbook.
This is why checking settlement rules matters before betting statistical-leader futures. The ScoresAndStats MLB home run leader betting guide explains the market itself, but the individual sportsbook’s house rules determine how a tie is graded.
How the ScoresAndStats Home Run Leader Pick Finished
The final ScoresAndStats prediction before the market closed was Kyle Schwarber at approximately -110 or better. The case centered on Schwarber entering the final stretch tied with Crow-Armstrong while having the stronger remaining opportunity profile at an equal price.
Schwarber ultimately finished as one of the two MLB home run co-leaders at 45. The expected opportunity advantage did not produce the outright separation needed to finish alone in first place because neither Schwarber nor Crow-Armstrong added another homer after reaching 45.
ScoresAndStats pick evaluation: The Schwarber prediction identified a player who finished tied for the MLB lead, but it should not be labeled a standard full betting win without knowing the sportsbook's settlement policy. A dead-heat reduction can produce a different financial result than an outright first-place finish.
What Comes Next for the MLB Home Run Leader Market?
The 2026 market is finished, and this page should not present a new home run leader wager until a legitimate 2027 futures board is available. Schwarber, Crow-Armstrong, Alonso, Alvarez and Caminero all produced enough power in 2026 to deserve attention when the next market opens, but last season’s totals alone will not determine betting value.
The next evaluation should start with price, projected playing time, lineup role, health, ballpark environment and whether a hitter’s underlying power profile supports another full-season run. A player can be one of the most likely home run leaders and still be a poor futures wager if the sportsbook price demands too much probability.
For bettors shifting from regular-season futures to October markets, the current MLB pennant odds and predictions provide the more relevant postseason betting focus.
MLB Home Run Leader FAQs
Who led MLB in home runs in 2026?
Kyle Schwarber and Pete Crow-Armstrong finished tied for the Major League lead with 45 home runs each. There was no single outright MLB home run leader in 2026.
How many home runs did Pete Alonso hit in 2026?
Pete Alonso finished the 2026 regular season with 43 home runs. That placed him third overall behind Kyle Schwarber and Pete Crow-Armstrong and gave him the American League home run lead.
What were the final MLB home run leader odds?
The final market verified by ScoresAndStats on September 26 had Kyle Schwarber and Pete Crow-Armstrong at approximately -110 each. The 2026 regular-season market is now closed, so those prices are historical rather than live odds.
How did the ScoresAndStats Kyle Schwarber prediction finish?
Kyle Schwarber finished tied for the MLB home run lead with Pete Crow-Armstrong at 45. The statistical prediction therefore landed on a co-leader, but the betting result depends on the sportsbook’s rules for tied season-leader markets.
What happens to an MLB home run leader bet when players tie?
The settlement depends on the sportsbook’s house rules. Some books apply a dead-heat reduction when multiple players share first place, so bettors should not assume a tied leader receives the same payout as an outright winner.
Who won the 2026 National League home run title?
Kyle Schwarber and Pete Crow-Armstrong shared the National League and Major League home run lead with 45 apiece. Pete Alonso led the American League with 43.