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On Saturday, August 23, the NASCAR Cup Series returns to Daytona International Speedway for the final race of the regular season – the Coke Zero Sugar 400. Not only are there two Playoff spots still up for grabs, but this superspeedway is well-known for high speeds and plenty of crashes. So, anything can happen on Saturday night under the lights.
Austin Dillon upset the field last weekend in Richmond to win the Cook Out 400 and solidify himself a spot in the Playoffs. This weekend, he’s a longshot to win the race despite no clear-cut NASCAR betting favorites.
Ryan Blaney and his Team Penske teammates of Joey Logano and Austin Cindric sit at the top of the betting boards. They’re followed closely by Brad Keselowski, William Byron and Chase Elliott. That’s four Fords and two Chevys as the pre-race favorites.
With that said, let’s take a look at the latest NASCAR Daytona odds, courtesy of the top sports betting sites, and make our Coke Zero Sugar 400 predictions for this weekend’s NASCAR Cup Series event at Daytona International Speedway. You can also compare my picks with what the best handicappers are choosing.
Coke Zero Sugar 400 Race Profile
Daytona International Speedway (DIS) is the most well-known track for the sport of NASCAR. It’s the home of the Daytona 500, which is the biggest race in the Cup Series. The Coke Zero Sugar 400 is the second annual trip to Daytona and is often raced under the lights.
From 1988 until 2019, this race was held on the Saturday closest to the 4th of July. In 2020, it was moved to late August. Since then, it’s been held as the final race of the regular season.
Daytona’s tri-oval track has been a part of NASCAR since 1959. It’s an asphalt track with a lap length of 2.5 miles. The track features four turns with 31 degrees banking, a tri-oval with 18 degrees banking and a back straightway at 3 degrees banking.
Sunday’s Coke Zero Sugar 400 breaks down as follows:
- Total Miles: 400 miles
- Total Laps: 160 laps
- Stage 1: 50 laps
- Stage 2: 50 laps
- Final Stage: 60 laps
The Coke Zero Sugar 400 is set to begin at 7:30 pm ET and will air live on NBC.
Previous Coke Zero Sugar 400 Winners
David Pearson holds the record for the most Coke Zero Sugar 400 wins with five. Cale Yarborough and Tony Stewart are tied for second all-time with four wins apiece.
The following is a list of the most recent winners:
- 2024: Harrison Burton
- 2023: Chris Buescher
- 2022: Austin Dillon
- 2021: Ryan Blaney
- 2020: William Byron
- 2019: Justin Haley
- 2018: Erik Jones
- 2017: Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
- 2016: Brad Keselowski
- 2015: Dale Earnhardt Jr.
The Woods Brothers hold the record for most team wins with 10. Hendrick Motorsports is second with six. Ford and Chevy are tied with 22 wins apiece in the Coke Zero Sugar 400. Toyota has won this race just two times, with the last one coming in 2018.
NASCAR Coke Zero Sugar 400 Odds
The following NASCAR Cup Series Coke Zero Sugar 400 odds are courtesy of the top sports betting sites:
NASCAR Odds | NASCAR Odds |
---|---|
Ryan Blaney +1000 | Joey Logano +1000 |
Austin Cindric +1200 | Brad Keselowski +1200 |
William Byron +1400 | Chase Elliott +1400 |
Kyle Busch +1400 | Kyle Larson +1600 |
Christopher Bell +1600 | Chris Buescher +1600 |
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. +2000 | Alex Bowman +2000 |
Denny Hamlin +2000 | Bubba Wallace +2000 |
Chase Briscoe +2200 | Carson Hocevar +2200 |
Tyler Reddick +2500 | Ryan Preece +2500 |
Ross Chastain +3000 | Ty Gibbs +3500 |
NASCAR Coke Zero Sugar 400 Favorites
The following drivers are considered by oddsmakers to be the odds-on favorites to win the Coke Zero Sugar 400:
Ryan Blaney +1000
- Standings: 5
- Win: 1
- Top 5: 9
- Top 10: 13
Ryan Blaney is locked into the Playoffs, so just getting through this race in one piece should be his main goal along with 13 other drivers who have already solidified their postseason spots.
Blaney might be sitting on top of the betting boards, but he’s not someone that I’m feeling good about this weekend. In fact, when it comes to Daytona and Talladega, it’s more about betting on who you think will survive the wrecks to win, not necessarily the best driver.
Blaney has three DNFs in the last four races, which includes the last two Coke Zero Sugar 400 races. He won this event in 2021, but I’m fading his chances of winning this weekend.
Joey Logano +1000
- Standings: 12
- Win: 1
- Top 5: 3
- Top 10: 7
I’m not feeling that much more excited about Joey Logano this weekend either. He’s scored three straight DNFs at Daytona and six in the last 11 events at this track. Logano has never won a Coke Zero Sugar 400 races, but he was 5th here in 2023.
I think a Top 10 is Logano’s ceiling for this weekend’s race. His average finish of 18.5 is probably closer to where he will end up on Saturday night.
Austin Cindric +1200
- Standings: 15
- Win: 1
- Top 5: 2
- Top 10: 5
Of the Team Penske drivers, I like Austin Cindric the most. He has a 15.9 average finish and has finished the last three races at Daytona. He was 8th in this year’s Daytona 500 and 18th in this race last year. A Top 10 result wouldn’t be out of the realm of possibility for the 2022 Daytona 500 winner.
Brad Keselowski +1200
- Standings: 19
- Win: 0
- Top 5: 4
- Top 10: 8
For Brad Keselowski, he needs a small miracle this weekend to make the Playoffs. In other words, he needs to win this race to get into the postseason. And, in 32 appearances at DIS, Keselowski has one win which came in 2016.
In fact, since that win, Keselowski has 11 DNFs in the last 17 Daytona races. He was 8th in this race last year and 2nd in 2023. So, there’s a chance that he can run in the Top 10 and flirt with a Top 5 finish. Unfortunately, that won’t be enough to get to the postseason.
William Byron +1400
- Standings: 1
- Win: 2
- Top 5: 9
- Top 10: 13
I like William Byron’s chances this weekend. He’s won two of the last races held at Daytona, which both were the Daytona 500 races. He crashed out of this event last year, but was 8th in 2023. Byron’s three wins at this track are tied for the most in the Cup Series.
With the way he’s been winning at Daytona, combined with already locking up the Regular Season Championship, I can see Byron flirting with a victory in this race on Saturday night.
Chase Elliott +1400
- Standings: 2
- Win: 1
- Top 5: 7
- Top 10: 12
Chase Elliott fell short of winning the regular season title, as his teammate Byron secured that accomplishment after last weekend’s race at Richmond.
Elliott would love to get revenge on Byron and the field with a win this Saturday night. Unfortunately, I think he will fall short there, as well.
Elliott has never won at Daytona in 19 Cup Series starts. He was 4th in this race in 2023, and second in 2021. Yet, he crashed out of this event last year. If he can survive the late-race chaos, I can see the #9 car in the Top 5.
The Best Coke Zero Sugar 400 Betting Value
The following drivers are my NASCAR picks for the best betting value in the Coke Zero Sugar 400 based on their previous success at the Daytona International Speedway:
Alex Bowman +2000
- Standings: 9
- Win: 0
- Top 5: 6
- Top 10: 14
Alex Bowman and Bubba Wallace are my top two betting value plays this weekend. In fact, I like their chances of winning more so than just about all of the favorites ahead of them. Let’s start with Alex Bowman first.
The #48 car sits in the final Playoff spot prior to this race. He has about a 60 point lead over the 17th spot and isn’t far behind Reddick in 15th. So, if Reddick falters at all, and I believe he will, then Bowman will leapfrog him.
Also, unless a first-time winner comes out of this race like last year with Harrison Burton, then I see Bowman capturing the final Playoff spot.
You might be surprised to know that Bowman has just one DNF in 18 starts at Daytona. That’s the best among the Cup field. He also has a 10.0 average finish in the Coke Zero Sugar 400 race over the last five events. In fact, Bowman has four Top 6 finishes at Daytona in the last five races here.
I think Bowman could be a strong contender to win this race. The only thing that might prevent that is if he plays it safe and stays out of trouble to secure a Playoff spot instead of going for the win. At +120 odds to finish in the Top 10, I’m loving that value, as well.
Bubba Wallace +2000
- Standings: 10
- Win: 1
- Top 5: 4
- Top 10: 10
Bubba Wallace has never won at Daytona, but he’s already made it to the Playoffs this year with a win at Indy. Wallace also has the best average finish (13.0) at DIS among Cup drivers. He was 6th in this race last year. All three of his DNFs have come in the Daytona 500, so he has never crashed out of this race.
Wallace’s best result for this race came in 2021, when he was runner up. He’s also led laps in eight of the last races at this track. Wallace has +100 odds to finish in the Top 10. I’m taking that all day.
The Top Coke Zero Sugar 400 Longshot
Austin Dillon +4000 surprised the field and the sportsbooks last weekend by winning at Richmond and making it to the Playoffs. So, he comes into this race riding on a high and without any pressure.
With that said, I like Dillon on Saturday night. He’s won twice at DIS in his career including the 2022 edition of this race.
Now, I don’t expect him to win two races in a row, but a Top 10 finish of +250 odds is a nice line to take a flier on.
Coke Zero Sugar 400 Predictions
Listen, picking these Daytona and Talladega races are the toughest ones to predict due to the big wrecks late in the race that take out half the field.
So, let’s think about drivers that play it safe, navigate the wrecks and have had success at this venue. Those drivers include Byron, Cindric, Bowman, Wallace, and Hamlin.
I can see any of those drivers winning. But, for some reason, I really like the duo of Wallace and Bowman on Saturday night. I think we could see one of those two drivers win. You can double dip by picking both of them. For me, I will get a little nuts here and take Bowman for the win.
Five of the last seven winners of the Coke Zero Sugar 400 have been first time winners on the season. Guest what, Bowman has yet to pick up a victory in 2025.
Bet: Alex Bowman (+2000)
NASCAR Coke Zero Sugar 400 Prop Bets
The following Coke Zero Sugar 400 prop bets are courtesy of various sportsbooks like Bet365:
The Best Top 5 Bet for the Coke Zero Sugar 400
This really is a crap shoot. With that in mind, William Byron has won two of the last three DIS events and has already locked up the regular season crown. If anyone can pull off a Top 5 finish this weekend, it should be a driver that’s tied for the most active DIS wins (three) in the Cup Series.
Brad Keselowski at +225 could also be a serious consideration since he’s trying to make the Playoffs by winning this race.
Bet: William Byron (+260)
The Best Top 10 Bet for the Coke Zero Sugar 400
For me, this prop bet is all about Bubba Wallace or Alex Bowman. I think both have a great shot at finishing in the Top 5, let alone the Top 10. Furthermore, these two drivers sit at the top of the field for the best average finish at Daytona.
With that said, I will lean towards Bowman since he has better odds of +120 compared to Wallace’s +100 odds for a Top 10 finish. Bowman has a 10.0 average finish in the last five Coke Zero Sugar 400 races. Additionally, he’s tallied four Top 6s in the last five DIS events.
Bet: Alex Bowman (+120)
Winning Manufacturer
- Chevrolet (+120)
- Ford (+150)
- Toyota (+320)
I’m a bit surprised by these odds considering that there are four Fords at the top of the betting boards to win this race. Nevertheless, I did take Chevy to win this race with Bowman. But Byron could easily win, as well.
However, I rather hedge my bet here and go with Toyota considering I really like Bubba Wallace on Saturday night and his teammate, Tyler Reddick is fighting for the Playoffs, as well. Let’s not forget that Hamlin has won three times at DIS, as well.
Bet: Toyota (+320)
Team of Race Winner
- Team Penske (+320)
- Hendrick Motorsports (+350)
- RFK Racing (+550)
- Joe Gibbs Racing (+550)
- 23XI Racing (+1000)
- Richard Childress Racing (+1000)
- Spire Motorsports (+1100)
- Trackhouse Racing (+1400)
All three of Team Penske’s drivers are at the top of the betting boards. Then comes three of Hendrick’s drivers. I also picked the fourth Hendrick driver to win this race. Yet, I would prefer not to double down on Hendrick for this prop bet. And, I chose Toyota for the manufacturer prop bet as a hedge opportunity.
So, since this is Daytona where the big wrecks happen, let’s ride with Team Penske on this one as they steal the win by surviving the war of attrition.
Bet: Team Penske (+320)