NASCAR will be celebrating Father’s Day, June 15, with a brand-new race on the calendar – the Viva Mexico 250. This event marks the 16^th race of the season and the first time that the Cup Series has competed at the Autódromo Hermanos Rodríguez in Mexico City, Mexico.

Although this is the Cup Series’ first ever race at this venue, the Xfinity Series raced here from 2005 to 2008. This track is a road course, which is why you see some of Cup’s best road racers sitting on top of the betting boards.

For example, arguably the top road course driver is Shane Van Gisbergen (+300) and he comes into Sunday’s race as the odds-on favorite to win the Viva Mexico 250. He’s followed by Christopher Bell, William Byron, Chase Elliott, Tyler Reddick and Kyle Larson.

You will notice that some of the sport’s top drivers sit as longshots to win this race. Cup drivers like Ryan Blaney, Joey Logano, and Denny Hamlin all sit at +5000 odds. You will probably never see those three with NASCAR betting odds that high for another race.

Speaking of Hamlin, he won last weekend’s Firekeepers Casino 400 in Michigan. If you missed any of the action from Michigan International Speedway for the Truck Series or Cup Series races, then check out our weekly NASCAR results summary.

With that said, let’s take a look at the latest NASCAR Mexico City odds, courtesy of the top sports betting sites, and make our Viva Mexico 250 predictions for this weekend’s Mexico City NASCAR Cup Series race.

Viva Mexico 250 Race Profile

The Autódromo Hermanos Rodríguez broke ground in early 1959, and first opened in November of that year. It started off as a home for F1 races and quickly expanded into other series. The venue has undergone a number of changes to the layouts in order to accommodate the various organizations.

For the Cup Series race, the drivers will compete on the 2.42-mile layout that features 15 turns on an asphalt surface.

Sunday’s Viva Mexico 250 breaks down as follows:

• Total Miles: 241.7 miles
• Total Laps: 100 laps
• Stage 1: NA
• Stage 2: NA
• Final Stage: NA

The Viva Mexico 250 can be seen live on Amazon Prime beginning at 3pm ET.

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Viva Mexico 250 Odds

Check out the latest Viva Mexico 250 odds:

Viva Mexico 250 Favorites

The following drivers are considered by oddsmakers to be the odds-on favorites to win the Viva Mexico 250:

Shane Van Gisbergen +300        

• Driver Standings: 33
• Wins: 0
• Top 5: 0
• Top 10: 1

Shane Van Gisbergen is widely considered to be the best road course driver by the sportsbooks and top handicappers. This is largely due to his time outside of NASCAR. However, since coming to the Cup Series in 2023, SVG does have one road course win which came at Chicago in that season.

SVG also won at Chicago in the Xfinity Series during the 2024 season. Additionally, he won back-to-back road races in Portland and Sonoma last year as well.

So, if you are keeping track, van Gisbergen has four road wins in NASCAR’s top two national divisions. Last year, SVG only ran 12 Cup Series races since he was in the Xfinity Series full time. His best finish was runner-up at the oldest road race on the docket – Watkins Glen.

You have to imagine that van Gisbergen will contend for a checkered flag on Sunday. But are his low odds worth the bet?

For SVG, he will need a road course win to lock-in a Playoff spot. Otherwise, his poor results for the 2025 season will keep him out of the postseason.

Christopher Bell +600

• Driver Standings: 4
• Wins: 3
• Top 5: 6
• Top 10: 10

Christopher Bell enters this weekend sitting 4^th in the driver standings. And, you might not think of him as a road course driver, but Bell does have three road wins over the last five years in the Cup Series. This includes taking the checkered flag at COTA earlier in the season. Prior to that, Bell was runner-up at Charlotte ROVAL last fall.

Bell faded last week in Michigan and ended up 16^th overall. It snapped a four-race streak of finishing inside the Top 10. I expect the #20 car to be a Top 10 driver this weekend with a race-winning ceiling.

With that said, I do think there’s better value on the board.

William Byron +700          

• Driver Standings: 1
• Wins: 1
• Top 5: 7
• Top 10: 9

William Byron remains on top of the standings after a disappointing 28^th finish at Michigan last weekend. He clearly had the best car and led the most laps, but ran out of gas in the final laps.

Yet, even with that poor showing Byron still has five Top 6 finishes in the last eight Cup Series races. Prior to Michigan, Byron was 5^th in Nashville and runner-up in the Coca Cola 600.

You might be surprised to learn this, but Byron does have two road course wins over the last two years. He won at COTA in 2024, and Watkins Glen in 2023. Additionally, he also has a number of Top 3 results at COTA this year and Charlotte’s ROVAL over the last two years.

Byron was runner-up to Bell at COTA this spring. I can see the #24 contending for a checkered flag this weekend and I like his odds better than the two favorites ahead of him.

Chase Elliott +700

• Driver Standings: 5
• Wins: 0
• Top 5: 3
• Top 10: 7

When I think of road course drivers in the Cup Series, I always think of Chase Elliott first. In my opinion, he’s the best full-time road course driver in the Series. At the very least, he’s the most accomplished. Elliott has seven wins and an 8.8 average finish in road course races.

Currently, the #9 car is 5^th in the standings. However, he’s been one of the most consistent drivers this year and one of the only cars without a DNF on the season. Elliott was 4^th at COTA this year and is a reliable Top 5 driver whenever road racing.

I think the #9 car could sneak his way into contention for the race win by time it’s all said and done in Mexico City on Sunday.

Tyler Reddick +800

• Driver Standings: 6
• Wins: 0
• Top 5: 3
• Top 10: 5

Tyler Reddick is another driver without a DNF on the year. This has kept him flirting with a Top 5 spot, while he still searches for his first win on the year.

Reddick is another driver not known for his road course prowess. And, yet, the #45 car has three road course wins in his Cup Series career: 2023 COTA, 2022 Indy Road Course, 2022 Road America.

Although it’s been over two years since his last road win, I do believe that Reddick should flirt with a Top 5 finish this weekend. He definitely has a Top 10 floor. However, I wouldn’t get too excited to lay money on his race-winning odds since Reddick has just one Top 10 in the last seven Cup races.

Kyle Larson +900

• Driver Standings: 2
• Wins: 3
• Top 5: 9
• Top 10: 11

Other than Elliott, I’m really high on his Hendrick Motorsports teammate Kyle Larson this weekend. The #5 car sits second in the standings but leads or is tied for the lead in wins, Top 5s, Top 10s, laps led, Stages won and Playoff Points.

In other words, he’s been the best driver in the Cup Series this year. Furthermore, Larson has almost as good of a road course resume as Elliott, and that’s saying a lot.

Larson has six road race wins in 37 road starts. More recently, Larson won two road races last year at ROVAL and Sonoma. Both are still on the docket this season.

When it comes to new territory where we have little to no data about a driver’s success at a track, then you must shift your focus to that driver’s overall talent and previous success at similar venues. Larson aces both of those categories.

Larson is a Top 10 driver with a race-winning ceiling.

The Best Viva Mexico 250 Betting Value

The following drivers are my NASCAR picks for the best betting value in the Viva Mexico 250 based on their current odds and overall season performance to date:

AJ Allmendinger +1200

• Driver Standings: 19
• Wins: 0
• Top 5: 1
• Top 10: 4

Like SVG, when there’s a road race, you call AJ Allmedinger the road course ringer. Yes, I believe I coined that phrase.

For his Cup career, Allmendinger has three road wins: 2023 ROVAL, 2021 Indy Road Course, 2014 Watkins Glen. This doesn’t count his number of Xfinity wins on road courses.

For the season, Allmendinger sits 19^th in the standings just three spots below the cut-off line. He’s closer to making the Playoffs than others on this list like SVG and Daniel Suarez.

I believe Allmendinger will be a factor in Sunday’s race as he can finish anywhere in the Top 10 from first to ninth.

Daniel Suarez +1400

• Driver Standings: 28
• Wins: 0
• Top 5: 1
• Top 10: 3

You can’t talk about a Mexico City race without mentioning the Cup Series only full-time driver from Mexico. For that very reason, I have Suarez as a value bet. Yet, besides the emotional factor, the #99 car does have a road win on his resume – 2022 Sonoma.

Last year, Suarez had multiple Top 15 finishes in road races. However, this weekend is different. NASCAR is racing in his home country. I expect this team to do everything they can to compete for the checkered flag.

I would rather take his +240 Top 5 odds than his race-winning odds at +1400 as they don’t offer as much value. However, if there’s one driver that you can emotionally invest in this weekend – it’s Suarez.

Kyle Busch +1400

• Driver Standings: 15
• Wins: 0
• Top 5: 1
• Top 10: 5

Kyle Busch has pretty much won on every type of track in all three of NASCAR’s top divisions. For his career, he does have four road course wins. His last road win came in 2015 Sonoma.

However, don’t let that fact fool you. From the 2023 COTA race to this year’s edition of COTA, Busch has four Top 5s and five Top 10s in road races. He was 5^th at COTA this spring.

For me, I think Busch’s value is with his Top 5 odds of +240. Albeit, it’s a small value. And, yet, you can’t help but feel good about Busch this Sunday as he won at this venue in 2008, which was Xfinity’s last race there.

Ryan Blaney +5000

• Driver Standings: 7
• Wins: 1
• Top 5: 6
• Top 10: 7

This is more so pointing out that Ryan Blaney has odds this large. When was the last time you saw the #12 car with +5000 odds. In his Cup career, Blaney does have a road win and it came at the 2018 ROVAL debut race.

For me, I like Blaney’s Top 10 odds of +250. He has 15 Top 10s in 35 road starts. Two of those Top 10 results came in the last four road races.

Joey Logano +5000

• Driver Standings: 9
• Wins: 1
• Top 5: 2
• Top 10: 4

The same thing can be said about the sport’s reigning Cup Series Champion, as we just said about his teammate Blaney. You will probably never see odds this high for Joey Logano again. Furthermore, Logano has the same +250 Top 10 odds as Blaney does.

In 49 road starts, Logano has one win, 12 Top 5s, and 23 Top 10s, with a 14.7 average finish. Although that win came in 2015 at Watkins Glen, Logano does have three Top 10s in the last seven road races.

I think a small flier on his Top 10 prop bet is worthy of consideration.

The Top Viva Mexico 250 Longshot

Denny Hamlin +5000 is my longshot pick for this weekend’s race. And, it’s because there’s a chance he might not even be there. Hamlin has stated that he would miss this weekend’s race if his fiancé hasn’t given birth to their baby before he needs to leave:

“I said from the very beginning, if she hasn’t had it by the time I need to leave for Mexico, then I’m not going to go to Mexico. I think that that’s the proper thing to do… And ultimately, I need to be there for her, during, post-(birth) and all those things. Just going to make sure I spend the proper time with her, and obviously the racing will come second this week.”

On the track, Hamlin won last weekend in Michigan and relished in being the spoiler to the fans that wanted to see a Ford or Carson Hocevar win.

Hamlin is third in the driver standings and tied for the Cup Series lead with three wins, and has the skills to take the checkered flag at any track even new ones like the Autódromo Hermanos Rodríguez. He even won the 2006 Xfinity race at this venue. Furthermore, Hamlin does have a road win on his Cup resume.

It would be hilarious if one of the sportsbooks released a prop bet on whether the baby comes before or after the Viva Mexico 250 race.

What better reason to miss the Father’s Day race, than to become a father?

Viva Mexico 250 Predictions

Will the real Chase Elliott please stand up? He’s too talented of a driver to continue racing as mid contender. Elliott leads all drivers with seven road wins and is just as capable of winning this race on Sunday as the large favorite of SVG.

In addition to Elliott, I like SVG, Allmendinger, Larson and Bell or Reddick to round out the Top 5 this weekend.

As for the winner, it’s a toss-up between teammates Elliott and Larson. They’ve combined to win 13 road races in their Cup careers. With that said, I’m going with Elliott to finally win a road race for the first time since 2021. He has three Top 5s in the last four road races.  

Bet: Chase Elliott (+700)

NASCAR Viva Mexico 250 Prop Bets

Check out some of the top Viva Mexico 250 prop bets for Sunday’s race:

The Best Top 3 Bet For the Viva Mexico 250

Chase Elliott (+220) is not only my pick to win the race, but I also really like him for the Top 3 finish prop bet. Elliott leads all Cup drivers with an 8.8 average finish in road races and also has three Top 5s in the last four road events.

Elliott was 4^th at COTA this spring, which means he’s driving well enough to win this weekend. However, a Top 3 finish could be a safer option for those risk-adverse bettors out there.

Bet: Chase Elliott (+220)

The Best Top 5 Bet for the Viva Mexico 250

Kyle Larson (+160) is my choice for the best Top 5 prop bet. Larson has six road wins in his Cup Series career which includes winning at ROVAL last October. He also won at Sonoma last summer, which gives him two road wins in the last four road races.

Bet: Kyle Larson (+160)

The Best Top 10 Bet for the Viva Mexico 250

Sure, drivers like any of the favorites or value bets listed above, can qualify for this Top 10 prop bet. However, I’m going with one of my new favorite drivers in Carson Hocevar. I love the kid’s aggressiveness on the track and his willingness to bump cars out of the way to try and win.

In five Cup Series road starts, Hocevar has a 13.4 average finish. Over the last three road races, he has a 9.3 average finish.

Hocevar has picked up some momentum on the season with a runner-up at Nashville and was a contender to win last weekend in Michigan, but had a flat tire in the final laps of the race.

At +110 odds, I like the value that Hocevar provides. If you prefer a safer option, then take a look at Busch (-150) or Allmendinger (-175).

Bet: Carson Hocevar (+110)

Winning Manufacturer

• Chevrolet (-250)
• Toyota (+300)
• Ford (+750)

Hands down, this is clearly Chevrolet’s race to lose. Most of the top contenders and pre-race favorites drive a Chevy. For example: SVG, Elliott, Byron, Larson, Allmendinger, Busch and Suarez all drive Chevys.

You basically have the best road course drivers in the Cup Series all in the same manufacturer. Viva la Chevy for this race.

Bet: Chevrolet (-250)

Team of Race Winner

• Trackhouse Racing (+215)
• Hendrick Motorsports (+225)
• Joe Gibbs Racing (+425)
• 23XI Racing (+850)
• Spire Motorsports (+1000)
• RFK Racing (+1200)
• Kaulig Racing (+1400)
• Richard Childress Racing (+1600)
• Team Penske (+1800)

This prop bet is a little more difficult considering that SVG drives for Trackhouse Racing, while Bell and Hamlin drive for Joe Gibbs Racing.

With that said, I’m taking Hendrick Motorsports for this prop bet. The team has three drivers listed in the Top 6 pre-race favorites. That’s half of the drivers at the top of the betting boards. Additionally, those three have combined to win 15 road races. In fact, Hendrick drivers won three road races last year alone: Larson with two and Byron with one.

It’s hard to argue with those numbers.

Bet: Hendrick Motorsports (+225)