2025-26 NBA Championship Odds and Predictions

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The 2025-26 NBA season has already crossed the midpoint and we’re now passing through the All-Star Weekend. This is when real postseason contenders start making a move towards Playoff seeding and rounding into championship form.

Currently, the Oklahoma City Thunder remain a sizable NBA betting favorite to win the 2026 NBA Championship. Only the Denver Nuggets are within striking distance and that’s due to the duo of Murray and Jokic.

With that in mind, let’s take a look at the latest NBA Championship odds and make our predictions for which team will cut down the nets as the 2026 NBA Champions.

NBA Championship Odds

Check out the latest NBA Championship odds, courtesy of the best sports betting sites:

NBA TeamOpening OddsOctober OddsFebruary Odds
Oklahoma City Thunder+260+245+110
Houston Rockets+700+1100+2200
Denver Nuggets+800+600+600
Cleveland Cavaliers+850+850+1400
New York Knicks+850+850+1700
Minnesota Timberwolves+1300+1400+2500
Los Angeles Lakers+1400+1400+4000
Orlando Magic+2000+2200+7000
Philadelphia 76ers+3000+3500+4500
San Antonio Spurs+6000+6500+1400
Boston Celtics+6000+6000+1400
Detroit Pistons+7000+6000+1400

As mentioned, the Thunder are running away with the top spot on the basketball betting boards. They continue to lead as the odds-on favorite and there appears to be nothing stopping them from entering the Playoffs as a large favorite to win the Finals.

Teams like Cleveland, New York and Houston were all within striking distance of the Thunder at the start of the season, but they’re now further behind and looking as if they won’t challenge OKC for the championship.

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NBA Championship Favorites

The following teams are considered the top favorites to win the 2026 NBA Championship:

Oklahoma City Thunder (+110)

Record & Position: 40-13, 1st in Western Conference standings.

The Thunder are the betting favorites to repeat as NBA champions due to their elite playmakers on both sides of the court. They currently have the best record in the NBA and lead the Western Conference by a handful of games.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is one of the league’s best two-way guards and is in the running for another NBA MVP. Chet Holmgren’s versatility makes him a difficult matchup for 90% of the league. And, OKC has a strong supporting cast that runs 10 deep.

OKC is built for the Playoffs with their pace versatility, scoring inside or outside, and an elite defense. They’re clearly the team to beat this season.

Denver Nuggets (+600)

Record & Position: 34-19, 3rd in Western Conference standings.

Denver’s core remains among the most talented and balanced in the West, if not the entire league. With Nikola Jokic healthy, after a mid-season injury, the Nuggets are reestablishing themselves as a true contender. The robin to his batman is Jamal Murray and he’s been putting up big numbers all season long.

The supporting cast has seen a number of injuries to players like Gordon and Johnson. Yet, the Nuggets are third in the West as of this writing. As long as they can remain healthy in the Playoffs, this championship-winning core could challenge the Thunder for the right to play in the NBA Finals this year.

Cleveland Cavaliers (+1400)

Record & Position: 32-21, 4th in Eastern Conference standings.

Cleveland’s addition of James Harden at the trade deadline, was a fantastic move for a team looking to win a championship. The duo of Donovan Mitchell and Harden is hard for any team to stop as each player can get hot and drop 50 points on a given night.

Even Mobley has been injured, but he should be back after the All-Star break which sets this team up nicely for a run towards the top of the East.  

Cavaliers represent a blend of experience (Harden, Mitchell) and emerging talent like Tyson and Ellis who they got in a trade from Sacramento. The talent on this team is undeniable, they just need to play to their full potential in the Playoffs.

Boston Celtics (+1400)

Record & Position: 34-19, tied for 2nd in Eastern Conference standings.

The Boston Celtics seem to always finds a way to win regardless of the circumstances. Jayson Tatum has been out all season as he recovers from an injury, yet this team is thriving and contending. A big part of it can be attributed to Jaylen Brown who is in the running for the 2025-26 NBA MVP race.  

In addition to Brown, key players like Derrick White have stepped up to add firepower to a wounded team. The trade for Vucevic gives Boston a veteran presence in the paint, which should also help in the postseason.

Nobody will want to play this team in the Playoffs. Even without Tatum, they’re still a tough out and playing with house money this season.

Detroit Pistons (+1400)

Record & Position: 38-13, current Eastern Conference leader.

The Detroit Pistons have surprised many critics this year as they lead the Eastern Conference at the time of this writing. Detroit has shown a strong blend of scoring and high-caliber defense, along with solid depth. These are the ingredients for a deep run in the Playoffs.

Cade Cunningham leads this squad as an elite playmaker with scoring versatility and above average defense. But there is a nice blend of youthful stars and veteran presence on this roster. The former can be seen with players like Jalen Duren and Ausar Thompson. The latter can be seen in players like Tobias Harris and Duncan Robinson.

With a Top 10 offense and a Top 5 defense, according to points scored and allowed, Detroit is a real threat to win this Conference. And, at +1400 odds, there’s plenty of value here.

NBA Championship Betting Value

Looking for teams that might outperform their odds? Here are two with juicy value and real-world title potential:

New York Knicks (+1700)

Record & Position: 34-19, 2nd in Eastern Conference standings.

The New York Knicks are my favorite value play at the time of this writing. They are tied for second in the Eastern Conference and have a core of players that rivals any team in the league. In fact, they could have the best starting five in the NBA.

Jalen Brunson is New York’s leading scorer with a pension for clutch production. He is that dude but isn’t alone. The Knicks also have Karl-Anthon Towns, OG Anunoby, Mikal Bridges, and Josh Hart. I really like the trade deadline addition of Jose Alvarado. I think he fits perfectly with this Knicks team.

The Knicks have had some lapses in the first half of the season but I expect this team to play committed basketball on both ends of the court. They have the star power, role players, depth, and coaching staff to be a world champion.

Minnesota Timberwolves (+2500)

Record & Position: 32-22, tied for 6th in West.

Minnesota’s core of Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle, Jaden McDaniels, and Rudy Gobert make this team a real contender in the West. It wasn’t that long ago when this team made the Conference Finals. I can see them doing it again if they get a favorable draw.

They added to their depth and role players with the trade of Ayo Dosunmu. He gives this team another two-way guard that can produce as a starter or off the bench. DiVincenzo is a sharp shooter that can get hot and win a game with his stroke. And, let’s not forget that this team hoodwinked the NBA by trading Mike Conley only to re-sign him after he was released.

The Timberwolves are a good team and they have the talent on both ends of the court to make a deep run once again. The only question is whether or not they can beat the Thunder.

The Best NBA Championship Longshot

The Orlando Magic (+7000) are easily my NBA pick as the top longshot. At the time of this writing, the Magic are 27-24 and sit 7th in the Eastern Conference.

Yet, this is more of a byproduct of injuries than it is lack of talent or skill. In fact, this team has stars and play solid basketball on both sides of the court.

They’re led by their duo of Forwards in Paolo Banchero and Franz Wagner. Yet, the latter has missed 25 games and the former has missed 10 games up to this point.

Their backcourt has seen a boost with Anthon Black having a career year so far and Jalen Suggs. Yet, the latter has missed 20 games so far. The trade for Desmon Bane has paid off big time for the Magic as he’s third on the team in scoring and a reliable professional on both ends of the court.

Once this team gets fully healthy, they will be a scary bunch. Definitely take a small flier on Orlando’s championship odds along with looking at game, Playoff and Division odds as well.

NBA Championship Predictions

It really is hard to pick against the Thunder. Sure, Denver has better value and a championship-caliber team but they lack top-tier depth and have seen far too many injuries for my liking.

OKC has also seen its share of injures as Jalen Williams has missed 26 games while Hartenstein has missed 22 contests. They added Jared McCain at the trade deadline and this young guard as huge upside.

The depth is unparalleled in the West and they’re arguable the best team on the defensive side of the ball. The only team I think that can beat the Thunder is the Spurs. I love the construction of that roster and their level of play on both sides of the court. However, the have to prove it’s possible in the Playoffs, not just the regular season.

Take OKC to win their second consecutive championship while we still get plus-money odds.

Bet: OKC Thunder (+110)

NBA Finals Winners

The following is a list of the most recent NBA Champions:

YearTeamConferenceDivision
2024-25Oklahoma City ThunderWestern Northwest
2023-24Boston CelticsEasternAtlantic
2022-23Denver NuggetsWesternNorthwest
2021-22Golden State WarriorsWesternPacific
2020-21Milwaukee BucksEasternCentral
2019-20Los Angeles LakersWesternPacific
2018-19Toronto RaptorsEasternAtlantic
2017-18Golden State WarriorsWesternPacific
2016-17Golden State WarriorsWesternPacific
2015-16 Cleveland CavaliersEasternCentral
2014-15 Golden State WarriorsWesternPacific