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The 2025 PFL World Tournament is nearing the end of the first round of action. One more event is set to take place on April 18th, and we finally can punch our tickets to round two.
This week’s action features Middleweight and Lightweight battles for the men’s divisions. Several key fights are going down before we get to that point, however, and with the PFL 3 odds for 2025 officially up at most MMA betting sites, now is the time to place your bets.
Nailing PFL and UFC picks can be a bit tricky at times, of course. If you need some extra help, peruse our PFL 3 betting guide as I break down the latest odds and offer some PFL 3 predictions.
How To Watch PFL World Tournament 3?
If you want to watch PFL 3 this week, just tune into ESPN+. You can view the Prelims there, while the main card will be shown on both ESPN+ and ESPN.
When Is PFL World Tournament 3?
PFL gets going on Friday, April 18th, at 3:30 pm EST with the Prelims, and wraps up with the main card at 6:00 pm EST.
Where Is PFL World Tournament 3?
Want to watch the PFL World Tournament 3 live? The third batch of round one fights will go down at Universal Studios in Orlando, Florida.
PFL World Tournament Schedule
Check out the upcoming 2025 PFL World Tournament schedule:
- April 3: 2025 PFL World Tournament 1: First Round
- April 11: 2025 PFL World Tournament 2: First Round
- April 18: 2025 PFL World Tournament 3: First Round
- May 1: 2025 PFL World Tournament 4: First Round
- June 12: 2025 PFL World Tournament 5: Semifinals
- June 20: 2025 PFL World Tournament 6: Semifinals
- June 27: 2025 PFL World Tournament 7: Semifinals
- August 12: 2025 PFL World Tournament 8: Finals
- August 15: 2025 PFL World Tournament 9: Finals
- August 21: 2025 PFL World Tournament 10: Finals
PFL World Tournament 3 Main Card Odds
Check out the latest PFL World Tournament 3 odds for the Main Card, courtesy of the top sports betting sites:
PFL Favorite | PFL Underdog | PFL Prediction |
---|---|---|
Impa Kasanganay (-205) | Fabian Edwards (+175) | Fabian Edwards (+175) |
Brent Primus (-280) | Vinicius Cenci (+240) | Brent Primus (-280) |
Gadzhi Rabadanov (-500) | Marc Diakiese (+375) | Gadzhi Rabadanov (-500) |
Jay Jay Wilson (-145) | Mads Burnell (+115) | Jay Jay Wilson (-145) |
The PFL 3 main card looks pretty good on paper. Gadzhi Rabadanov is the lone egregiously priced favorite. Beyond him, you’re getting solid value no matter which way you bet.
Fabian Edwards stands out as a pretty compelling upset pick, while the last fight on the main card features a total toss-up between Jay Jay Wilson and Mads Burnell.
You can roll with my PFL 3 predictions when it comes to the main card, or read on for a little more analysis as to why I like each pick.
Want more advice before betting on the PFL tourney? Be sure to check out the best handicappers you’ll find online.
PFL World Tournament 3 Predictions For The Main Card
The PFL 3 main card can be viewed on ESPN+ and ESPN, starting at 6:00 pm EST.
Impa Kasanganay (-205) vs. Fabian Edwards (+175)
The main event is pretty interesting, as Impa Kasanganay (18-5) is a brutal striker and former PFL champion. He’s a solid 8-2 in PFL so far, while the 31-year old has five KOs to his name.
It’s worth noting that Dovletdzhan Yagshimuradov did KO him last November, and he’s lost via KO three times now in his career. Kasanganay was never able to blossom in the UFC, either, so it wouldn’t be all that shocking if he got tripped up here.
Fabian Edwards (13-4) is a worthy foe who offers solid versatility and toughness. He’s lost via KO just once in his career and has never been submitted, while he’s a respectable 4-2 over his last six bouts. Both of those losses came by the hands of Johnny Eblen, too, so I’m not so sure I’d use them as reasoning to shy away from the upset pick.
All things told, I am shooting for the upset here. Kasanganay has nice finishing ability, but he’s been a bit more vulnerable to the knockout than his opponent. I like the value of Edwards at +175.
Bet: Fabian Edwards (+175)
Brent Primus (-280) vs. Vinicius Cenci (+240)
Primus enters PFl 3 as a sizable favorite, but he is certainly getting a bit long in the tooth at age 39. He was a 2024 PFL Lightweight finalist and notably ousted Michael Chandler for the Lightweight title at one point, but he did get finished in his last bout.
His path to success will come on the mat, where he’s grinded his way to eight career submission wins. Primus can be a bit tough to trust against elite strikers, but has otherwise been in good form and is a big betting favorite for a reason.
He will face challenger Vinicius Cenci (10-2), who is not the easiest matchup due to his ability to also dominate on the ground (7 submissions). Cenci is in solid form with three straight wins, but he was submitted by Sam Patterson in his most recent loss, while both his defeats have come via tap out.
Primus is old and doesn’t offer much value, but he’s going to be the aggressor here and is a bit easier to trust. You can always shoot for the upset with two similarly styled fighters, but I am going with Primus.
Bet: Brent Primus (-280)
Gadzhi Rabadanov (-500) vs. Marc Diakiese (+375)
You’re getting a huge betting favorite with Gadzhi Rabadanov (24-4-1), who has been flat out dominant in PFL and Bellator in recent years. He has elite finishing ability, knows how to absorb damage, and hasn’t lost since dropping a Decision to Mehdi Dakaev back in 2020.
Gadzhi is on an impressive 10-fight winning streak; one that includes a big KO win over Brent Primus his last time out. He’s very likely to dispatch Marc Diakiese (18-7), who has KO ability, but is not very versatile and struggles to finish fights.
That’s bad news against someone like Rabadanov, who is remarkably tough, has great defense, and can end fights in a multitude of ways. Gadzhi is the easy call here. The only problem is his price is out of control, so you’ll need to target some method of victory prop bets.
Bet: Gadzhi Rabadanov (-500)
Jay Jay Wilson (-145) vs. Mads Burnell (+115)
Lastly, we have Jay Jay Wilson as a mild favorite to beat Mads Burnell. Wilson (10-1) has just one loss to his name, and it came via Decision against Gadzhi Rabadanov in 2022. That is hardly a bad loss to have on one’s MMA resume, while he’s otherwise been explosive and dynamic, earning seven wins by stoppage across his 10 wins.
The Maori Kid has never been finished and tends to inflict a lot of damage, so Mads Burnell does have his work cut out for him here, even though he’s a slight +115 underdog. Burnell (20-6) has way more experience and is a terror on the mat (9 career submission wins), but I do question his lack of versatility and toughness by comparison.
Burnell has been finished four times already in his career, and Wilson has the ability to end this fight in more ways than he does. Due to that, I’ll pounce on some solid value with Wilson at his -145 price tag.
Bet: Jay Jay Wilson (-145)
PFL World Tournament 3 Preliminary Card Odds
Check out the latest PFL World Tournament 3 odds for the Main Card, courtesy of the top sports betting sites:
PFL Favorite | PFL Underdog | PFL Prediction |
---|---|---|
Sadibou Sy (-175) | Dalton Rosta (+150) | Dalton Rosta (+150) |
Josh Silveira (-220) | Mike Shipman (+185) | Josh Silveira (-220) |
Clay Collard (-118) | Alfie Davis (-112) | Clay Collard (-118) |
Murad Ramazanov (-145) | Aaron Jeffery (+115) | Murad Ramazanov (-145) |
Khalid Murtazaliev (-175) | Nick Maximov (+145) | Khalid Murtazaliev (-175) |
PFL World Tournament 3 Predictions For The Preliminary Card
The PFL 3 Prelims get going at 3:30 pm EST on ESPN+.
Sadibou Sy (-175) vs. Dalton Rosta (+150)
The PFL 3 Prelims are pretty appealing from an odds perspective, as every single fight has a favorite with a -220 price or worse. The fun starts with this bout between Sadibou Sy (17-8) and Dalton Rosta (9-1), with Sy favored to get the win.
Sy has been a KO machine throughout his career (9 KOs), and he’s a one-dimensional fighter that is not a threat to get a submission. He reminded everyone of his dominant and explosive nature with a TKO win over Andrew Sanchez in his last fight, but has gone just 1-2 over his last three fights.
The 38-year old could slowly be nearing the end, while the 29-year old Dalton Rosta is technically just getting started. He’s also not going to submit anyone, as he has four finishes all by KO.
The kicker here is youth is on Rosta’s side, and he’s also never been finished. That is not something Sy can say, as he’s been KO’d thrice in his career.
Bet: Dalton Rosa (+150)
Josh Silveira (-220) vs. Mike Shipman (+185)
This is the Prelims fight with the longest odds, and yet it could easily be a tight battle. Josh Silveira (13-4) is the clear betting favorite thanks to his well-rounded skill-set and elite finishing ability.
Not only has Coninha scored 12 finishes across 13 wins, but he’s done so with both his fists and his grappling, while he’s yet to be finished, himself. The 32-year old has hit a wall lately, of course, going just 1-3 over his last four fights.
Two of those losses came against the explosive Impa Kasanganay, however, so I don’t think it’s necessarily a cause for alarm. That said, Mike Shipman (17-4) has proven to be a dangerous fighter (10 KOs) and has generated 15 finishes in 17 career wins.
Shipman is vulnerable to the knockout (3 KO losses), but he’s in solid form with wins in three straight bouts. I respect Shipman’s finishing ability and can’t deny the value he brings to the table, but Silveira’s losses are all Decisions against tough opponents.
Truth be told, he has the versatility to score a finish here, and his toughness and defense is likely to prevent that fate from happening to him.
Bet: Josh Silveira (-220)
Clay Collard (-118) vs. Alfie Davis (-112)
This one is priced as a literal toss-up, as Clay Collard (25-14) is the narrowest of favorites when he takes on Alfie Davis (17-5-1).
Collard has more wins and far more experience than the guy he’s facing, but he’s also eaten 14 career losses and has been vulnerable on the ground. That said, he has an alarming 12 knockouts to his name and still packs a serious punch.
Of course, the 32-year old has struggled to finish fights of late. He’s just 1-4 over his last five fights, and has one win by stoppage since 2023.
On the other side is Davis, who lacks the same experience or proven finishing ability of a grizzly veteran like Collard, but is still a worthy foe. He’s avoided any KO losses to this point in his career, while he’s a solid 3-1 over his last four fights.
This one is close to call, but the experience, toughness, and finishing ability all work to give Collard the edge. The best part? You’re not assuming much risk to roll with him at his -118 odds.
Bet: Clay Collard (-118)
Murad Ramazanov (-145) vs. Aaron Jeffery (+115)
Another PFL 3 bout that will be difficult to predict is this tilt between Murad Ramazanov (12-2) and Aaron Jeffery (15-5). Ramazanov has dropped two matches in a row, but they both came against the lethal (and undefeated) Shamil Musaev.
Nobody is holding those losses against him, especially since the 29-year old has no other losses on his ledger. Ramazanov has a versatile skill-set and Shamil is the only person to ever finish him.
Aaron Jeffery could still be up to the task, and opponent aside, Murad’s two-fight skid is still tough to ignore. Jeffery is also quite the handful (9 KO wins), with the 32-year old’s only losses since 2022 being tough Decision defeats against Fabian Edwards and John Salter.
Jeffery has a chance to grind Ramazanov to a pulp, but Murad is the more skiller fighter. I think his defense and ability to end this fight early in numerous ways wins out.
Bet: Murad Ramazanov (-145)
Khalid Murtazaliev (-175) vs. Nick Maximov (+145)
The last fight for PFL 3 features Khalid Murtazaliev (13-3), who has just one loss since 2017 and it came via Decision. He’s been very tough to take down (finished just once in his career), and he’s routinely hammered opponents into oblivion (10 KOs).
Murtazaliev is the logical betting favorite here, as he is going to be a real load for Nick Maximov (11-2). I certainly respect Maximov’s versatility and he’s the younger fighter with impressive form. However, Khalid’s finishing ability is impossible to ignore here.
Bet: Khalid Murtazaliev (-175)
The Best PFL World Tournament Picks
The following is our best PFL World Tournament picks for this week’s event:
- Gadzhi Rabadanov (-500)
- Fabian Edwards (+175)
- Khalid Murtazaliev (-175)
If you’re looking for just a handful of PFL 3 picks to target, the list above is where I’d start. I am confident in all of my 2025 PFL 3 predictions, but Gadzhi is the biggest favorite and I don’t anticipate he will falter.
Gadzhi’s price is a bit obscene, to be fair. I think his moneyline is very safe, but if you want a bit more value, target a bet involving the fight finishing inside the distance.
You don’t need to hunt for PFL 3 prop bets when it comes to Edwards, as a straight up win will do the trick at his +175 price. His matchup is not easy and he is clearly the underdog, but he has the skill-set to get it done.
Lastly, I love the finishing ability of Khalid. He’s facing a guy who has never been knocked out, but there’s a first time for everything. You don’t need a KO at his -175 price, anyways.
PFL Fight Card
Check out the updated PFL World Tournament 3 fight card:
PFL Favorite | PFL Underdog | PFL Prediction |
---|---|---|
Impa Kasanganay (-205) | Fabian Edwards (+175) | Fabian Edwards (+175) |
Brent Primus (-280) | Vinicius Cenci (+240) | Brent Primus (-280) |
Gadzhi Rabadanov (-500) | Marc Diakiese (+375) | Gadzhi Rabadanov (-500) |
Jay Jay Wilson (-145) | Mads Burnell (+115) | Jay Jay Wilson (-145) |
Sadibou Sy (-175) | Dalton Rosta (+150) | Dalton Rosta (+150) |
Josh Silveira (-220) | Mike Shipman (+185) | Josh Silveira (-220) |
Clay Collard (-118) | Alfie Davis (-112) | Clay Collard (-118) |
Murad Ramazanov (-145) | Aaron Jeffery (+115) | Murad Ramazanov (-145) |
Khalid Murtazaliev (-175) | Nick Maximov (+145) | Khalid Murtazaliev (-175) |
PFL World Tournament 1 Results
Here’s a quick recap of the PFL World Tournament 1 results:
PFL Welterweight Results
- Welterweight: Jason Jackson def. Andrey Koreshkov via 2nd rd. Submission
- Welterweight: Logan Storley def. Joseph Luciano via UD
- Welterweight: Thad Jean def. Mukhamed Berkhamov via 1st rd. KO
- Welterweight: Masayuki Kikuiri def. Giannis Bachar via 2nd rd. TKO
PFL Featherweight Results
- Featherweight: Jesus Pinedo def. Adam Borics via 1st rd. TKO
- Featherweight: Movlid Khaybulaev def. Jeremy Kennedy via SD
- Featherweight Gabriel Braga def. Frederik Dupras via 1st rd. Submission
- Featherweight: Tae Kyun Kim def. Nathan Kelly via 1st rd. Submission
PFL World Tournament 2 Results
Here’s a quick recap of the PFL World Tournament 2 results:
PFL Bantamweight Results
- Bantamweight: Marcirley Alves def. Leandro Higo via SD
- Bantamweight: Mando Gutierrez def. Francesco Nuzzi via 1st rd. Submission
- Bantamweight: Justin Wetzell def. Kasum Kasumov via UD
- Bantamweight: Jake Hadley def. Matheus Mattos via 3rd rd. Submission
PFL Women’s Flyweight Results
- Women’s Flyweight: Liz Carmouche def. Ilara Joanne via 1st rd. TKO
- Women’s Flyweight: Ekaterina Shakalova def. Juliana Velasquez via 1st rd. Submission
- Women’s Flyweight: Jena Bishop def. Kana Watanabe via UD
- Women’s Flyweight: Elora Dana def. Diana Avsaragova via 1st rd. Submission