2025 PGA Championship Odds, Predictions, and How To Watch

It’s PGA Championship time — and the 2025 edition is shaping up to be a beauty. With golf’s elite converging at one of the sport’s classic venues, the stage is set for drama, heartbreak, and potentially huge betting wins.

Whether you’re just diving into golf betting or scouring for sharp PGA picks, we’ve got your pre-tournament preview right here. For more insight into the PGA Tour, be sure to check out our PGA Tour blog section. And if you’re shopping for a new book, check out these sports betting sites.

Where Is the PGA Championship?

The 2025 PGA Championship will be played at Quail Hollow Club in Charlotte, North Carolina — a familiar stop for PGA Tour fans and the host of the 2017 PGA Championship (won by Justin Thomas). This course, known for its tough closing stretch and slick Bermuda greens, is a demanding but fair test that favors great ball strikers.

The event is set for May 15–18, 2025, with four rounds of championship golf culminating on Sunday.

How To Watch the PGA Championship

You can catch every round of the 2025 PGA Championship live on:

• CBS (Saturday & Sunday coverage)
• ESPN (Thursday & Friday)
• ESPN+ (for early-round and featured group streaming)

Live streaming is available through the ESPN app and Paramount+.

PGA Championship Schedule

• Thursday, May 15 – Round 1
• Friday, May 16 – Round 2
• Saturday, May 17 – Round 3
• Sunday, May 18 – Final Round

Who Won the PGA Championship 2024?

Xander Schauffele captured the 2024 PGA Championship at Valhalla, posting a final-round 65 to win by a stroke over Bryson DeChambeau. Schauffele’s poise led him to his first major title. He would go on to win a second major at The Open Championship a month later.

The PGA Championship Odds

Check out the latest odds for the PGA Championship:

Scottie Scheffler enters the PGA Championship as the clear favorite at +425, but there’s a noticeable cluster in the +2000 to +5000 range packed with former major winners and rising stars. It’s a wide-open field — perfect for spotting value with help from the best handicappers.

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The PGA Championship Favorites

The following golfers are considered the favorites to win the tournament, according to the latest PGA Championship odds:

Scottie Scheffler (+425)

If you’re looking for a reason to back Scottie Scheffler at Quail Hollow, you won’t need to squint. The World No. 1 is on an absolute tear, and the numbers back it up. He’s fresh off a wire-to-wire win at THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson, firing rounds of 61-63-68-63 to finish at 31-under par. In fact, he’s finished in the top five in five of his last ten events, with two wins and a handful of top-10s sprinkled in. He’s not just showing up — he’s contending every week.

Scheffler’s history at the PGA Championship is trending in the right direction, too. He tied for eighth in 2024 at Valhalla (-13), and in 2023 he finished solo second (-7). That’s two straight top-10 finishes, and this year, he gets a crack at Quail Hollow — a course tailor-made for elite tee-to-green play. In 2022, he missed the cut, but it’s safe to say the current version of Scheffler is a different beast entirely.

Dig into the strokes-gained stats, and it’s a green light across the board. Scheffler ranks 2nd in Off-the-Tee, 1st in Approach, and 1st in Total Strokes Gained this season. Over his past five tournaments, he’s averaging 2.447 total strokes gained per round — a truly bonkers number. Even his putting, once a minor weakness, has improved, with a recent average of 0.675 strokes gained on the greens. Pair that with an average driving distance of 302 yards and a fairways-and-greens machine of a swing, and you’ve got the full package.

In short, Scheffler is doing Scheffler things — striping it, scoring, and making a course like Quail Hollow feel very manageable. At +425, you’re not getting long odds, but you’re betting on form, data, and a player who shows up in majors. If you’re backing one of the chalk favorites, Scottie is the clear choice.

Rory McIlroy (+500)

If you’re building a case for Rory McIlroy at the 2025 PGA Championship, start with this: he owns Quail Hollow. The Northern Irishman has dominated here for over a decade, racking up the best cumulative score to par (-102) at PGA Tour events on this course since 2010. That’s not just a stat — it’s a love letter to a layout that suits his game perfectly.

Over the last five years (excluding the pandemic gap), McIlroy has played 20 rounds at Quail Hollow and sits at -37, with the next closest player (Xander Schauffele) trailing at -22. Oh, and about that 2024 Wells Fargo? He won it by five shots, putting on a clinic and reminding the field that he’s still lethal when confident. This isn’t just a return to familiar ground — it’s practically home-court advantage.

Momentum matters too. McIlroy just snapped an 11-year major drought by winning the 2025 Masters, joining the ultra-elite club of career Grand Slam winners. The floodgates may have finally opened. Now, at a venue where he’s historically dominant, he’s gunning for his third PGA Championship title. Add in some motivation to close the gap with Scheffler as the alpha, and Rory’s ceiling feels as high as ever.

At +500, the value isn’t enormous, but the argument is rock solid. If you’re betting on course history, recent form, and narrative momentum, Rory’s one of the safest picks on the board. And with +100 for a top 5 finish and -190 for a top 10, even the books expect him to be right there on Sunday.

Bryson DeChambeau (+950)

If you’re targeting value with upside, Bryson DeChambeau is an intriguing play at the 2025 PGA Championship. He nearly won it all last year, finishing solo second at 20-under — only one shot behind Xander Schauffele’s record-setting total of -21. Now he returns to Quail Hollow, where his singular mix of power and precision could be the perfect formula to close the deal.

DeChambeau has quietly put together a stellar recent run. Over his last 10 starts, he’s logged three top-five finishes, including a win at the 2024 U.S. Open. He also finished T5 at the 2025 Masters, showing he can contend across different major venues. Unlike past years, it’s not just bomb-and-gouge — Bryson’s recent stats reveal a more balanced and complete player.

Let’s talk strokes gained. Bryson has averaged 1.906 total strokes gained per round over his past five tournaments. He’s been particularly strong off the tee (0.569) and around the green (0.515), and he’s gaining nearly half a stroke on the greens (0.484) — a huge improvement over previous seasons. He’s also averaging 330.8 yards off the tee and hitting greens at a 59.72% clip, proving that he’s pairing distance with control.

At +950, DeChambeau offers significantly more value than the top two favorites, but he’s not just a dart throw. He’s proven he can win majors, contend deep into Sundays, and now he’s got the form, stats, and recent course history to back it up. If he rolls the rock even moderately well, Bryson has the toolkit to bulldoze Quail Hollow and cash in.

The Best PGA Championship Betting Value

The following golfers are considered the odds-on favorites, according to the latest PGA Championship odds:

Ludvig Aberg (+2800)

Ludvig Aberg might be flying under the radar for many, but don’t sleep on the young Swede. Despite his relatively recent transition to the professional ranks, Aberg has already shown that he belongs on the big stage. At the 2024 PGA Championship, he missed the cut in his first appearance, but the experience only sharpened his game. Now, with a full season under his belt, he’s ready to make a serious push at Quail Hollow.

Aberg’s off-the-tee game is already his strength, with an average of 0.588 strokes gained in his last five tournaments — good for 9th on the PGA Tour. That power off the tee will be crucial at Quail Hollow, where driving distance and accuracy are key. While his putting (currently ranked 149th in strokes gained) has room for improvement, Aberg’s ball-striking gives him the skills to mitigate those weaknesses, especially when his approach game is on. His 12-under finish at The Genesis Invitational proves he has the potential to go low in big events.

Looking at his strokes gained stats, Aberg has demonstrated consistency in his recent play, averaging 0.302 strokes gained total in his past five tournaments. While his greens-in-regulation and putting stats are still a work in progress, he’s already showing the kind of improvement needed to contend at a major like the PGA Championship. His ability to rise to the occasion in future tournaments will make him a strong contender if he keeps trending upward.

At +2500, Aberg is an interesting pick for anyone looking for longshot value. With his ball-striking prowess and steady development in other areas, he could be the surprise winner this year, especially as he gains more confidence in major settings. It might be a bit of a gamble, but Aberg has the tools to make a splash at Quail Hollow.

Collin Morikawa (+2500)

Collin Morikawa knows what it takes to win a PGA Championship — he’s already done it once, taking home the Wanamaker Trophy in 2020 with a blistering final round. Now he returns to the event in solid form and fresh off a T4 at last year’s edition, where he posted a strong 15-under total. A proven major winner with nerves of steel and one of the purest iron games in the world, Morikawa enters Quail Hollow as one of the more quietly dangerous players on the board.

His recent stats back that up. Morikawa has averaged 0.989 total strokes gained per round over his last five tournaments — good for 5th on Tour. While he’s not the longest player off the tee, he’s extremely accurate and ranks 4th in Strokes Gained: Approach with a season-long average of 0.930. That kind of precision is crucial at Quail Hollow, a course known for penalizing poor iron play and demanding smart second shots.

Morikawa has shown flashes of elite form in recent weeks, most notably with a runner-up finish at the Arnold Palmer Invitational (-10) and a T10 at THE PLAYERS. He’s also consistently inside the top 20 in putting efficiency stats, with a Putts Per Round average of 28.56. If his short game holds up, his elite approach play could carry him into Sunday contention once again.

At +2500, you’re getting a major-winning pedigree at a price point typically reserved for unproven commodities. If you’re looking for a mix of course fit, recent form, and historical success at the PGA, Morikawa checks every box. He’s not just a solid top-10 bet — he’s got real win equity.

Top PGA Championship Longshot

If you’re hunting for a proven grinder who could quietly sneak into contention, look no further than Tommy Fleetwood (+4500). He’s finished inside the top 20 in seven of his last ten starts, including a T4 at the Truist Championship and a 7th at RBC Heritage. He’s coming in under the radar, but with +4500 odds, he offers solid longshot value with legitimate top-5 upside.

Fleetwood has been especially sharp with his irons lately. He ranks 13th in Strokes Gained: Approach and is gaining 0.651 strokes per round in that category. His recent trend is even better, averaging 0.362 SG: Approach over his last five tournaments. That kind of iron play is key at Quail Hollow, where second shots separate the contenders from the pretenders.

While his off-the-tee and putting stats aren’t elite, they’re not holding him back either. He’s gained strokes in both categories recently — including 0.134 SG: Putting and 0.108 SG: Off-the-Tee over his last five events — and ranks 10th on Tour in Total Strokes Gained across the season. He’s also been remarkably consistent at the PGA Championship, with top-30 finishes in four of his last five appearances, including a T5 in 2022.

Fleetwood’s major championship track record is full of close calls, and this could be the week he finally breaks through. With a well-rounded game, strong iron play, and a recent run of high-end finishes, he’s an ideal longshot dart to stash on your PGA Championship betting card. I know I talk him up just about every week, but Fleetwood is far too talented a player to continue his winless streak on tour forever.

The PGA Championship Predictions

With the way the stars are aligning, Rory McIlroy is the pick to win the 2025 PGA Championship. He’s already won this event twice and returns to Quail Hollow, a course he’s absolutely dominated over the years. His resume here is unmatched, and he just blew away the field by five strokes at last year’s Wells Fargo Championship. Add in the momentum from his recent Masters victory, and you have a lethal combination of confidence and form.

While Scheffler is the world’s most consistent player and Bryson DeChambeau is close to peaking at the right time, McIlroy offers the best mix of value and upside at +500. He’s top five in nearly every relevant stat and seems locked in mentally, which has always been the final piece of the puzzle. A confident Rory is a dangerous one, and I think he’ll win his second major of the season this weekend.

Check out more expert golf picks for additional betting insights on the PGA Tour.

Bet: Rory McIlroy to win (+500)

PGA Championship Winners

The following is a list of the most recent PGA Championship winners: