Naoya Inoue beat Alan David Picasso by unanimous decision on December 27, 2025, in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, and kept the undisputed super bantamweight title. The judges scored it 120-108, 119-109 and 117-111, all for Inoue.
The fight went the full 12 rounds. Inoue moved to 32-0, and Picasso took the first loss of his career, falling to 32-1-1.
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How Inoue beat Picasso
Inoue won by 12, 10 and 6 points on the three cards. One judge had it 120-108, a shutout.
Picasso still heard the final bell, which kept the stoppage out of reach. The win was Inoue’s 27th in 27 world title fights, and Picasso lost no standing for taking the champion the full 12, in the words of the Bad Left Hook fight report.
What this page called before the fight
These are the bets this page published before the fight, quoted as they were, with how each one settled.
| Bet as published | How it settled |
|---|---|
| Naoya Inoue (-5000) | Won: Inoue won the fight |
| Over 5.5 rounds (-130) | Won: the fight went 12 rounds |
| No, the fight will not go the distance (-900) | Lost: the fight went the distance |
| Inoue via TKO/KO/DQ (-715) | Lost: Inoue won on points |
| Either winner in rounds 5-8 (+135) | Lost: the fight went the distance |
The price on Inoue, -5000, implied a 98.0% chance that he would win, and he did. The three props built on a stoppage all lost, because Picasso lasted 12 rounds.
The fight before the main event: Nakatani vs. Hernandez
Junto Nakatani beat Sebastian Hernandez by unanimous decision on the same card, 115-113, 115-113 and 118-110. It was the first loss for Hernandez, who fell to 20-1 with 18 knockouts.
Two of the three cards had Nakatani winning by two points. Bad Left Hook’s report, which also scored it 115-113, said the 118-110 card drew criticism at once for being too wide.
What came next: Inoue vs. Nakatani
The win over Picasso set up the fight between the two Japanese champions. Inoue beat Nakatani by unanimous decision on May 2, 2026, at the Tokyo Dome, 116-112, 115-113 and 116-112, in front of a sold-out crowd of 55,000.
Inoue kept his WBA, WBC, IBF, WBO and Ring Magazine titles at 122 pounds and went to 33-0 with 27 knockouts. Nakatani, who fell to 32-1, was cut above the left eye by a clash of heads in the 10th round.
Inoue’s next fight, and the odds on it, will be on our boxing page when it is set. The boxing betting guide explains moneylines, round props and method-of-victory bets, and books are compared on the sportsbook reviews page.
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