On Saturday, November 22, the sport of boxing will have a massive card before Thanksgiving weekend where most fans and bettors will be stuffing their faces with good food and football bets.

With that said, Saturday’s massive fight card will be live on DAZN PPV from the ANB Arena, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. The event will be headlined by a light heavyweight title fight as David Benavidez puts his belt on the line against Anthony Yarde.

However, the fight that I’m the most excited for is this super flyweight unification bout as Jesse “Bam” Rodriguez (22-0, 15 KOs) puts his WBC and WBO belts on the line against Fernando “Pumita” Martinez (18-0, 9 KOs) and his WBA world title.   

Martinez spent his last two trips inside the ring battling against Japan’s Kazuto Ioka where Pumita defeated his opponent via unanimous decision in July 2024, and May 2025. With the first victory, Martinez also captured the WBA super flyweight belt.

Keep in mind, Martinez also held the IBF belt, as well. Yet, he was stripped of it when the Argentine decided to fight Ioka again.

Rodriguez is not only the consensus choice as the top fighter in this weight class, but he’s also quickly moving up the pound-for-pound best fighter list. Bam last fought in July and beat Phumelela Cafu for the WBO super flyweight title. Rodriguez won via 10^th round TKO and is looking to clean out this division before moving up.

With that said, let’s take a look at the latest Jesse Rodriguez vs. Fernando Martinez odds, courtesy of the top sports betting sites, and make our Fernando Martinez vs. Jesse Rodriguez predictions. You can compare our picks with the best handicappers through our elite handicapping membership!

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Jesse Rodriguez vs. Fernando Martinez Preview

Check out the latest tale of the tape for Jesse Rodriguez vs. Fernando Martinez:

Jesse Rodriguez Recent Fights

As mentioned above, Jesse “Bam” Rodriguez last fought in July, when he took out Cafu via TKO in the 10^th round. It was his third straight TKO/KO victory and the fourth consecutive fight to end inside the distance.

Last year, Rodriguez fought twice. In June 2024, he beat Juan Francisco Estrada for the WBC super flyweight title via 7^th round knockout. Five months later, he easily dispatched Pedro Guevara via 3^rd round TKO.

In 2023, Bam also fought twice. However, both bouts were in the flyweight division where he beat Christian Hernandez via unanimous decision for the WBO title in April of that year.

In December 2023, Rodriguez walked away with the WBO and IBF flyweight titles after beating the previously unbeaten Sunny Edwards in a 9^th round stoppage.

Rodriguez has not been tested to the point of concern since his pro bout in 2017, where he won 39-37 on the cards.

As for this weekend’s fight, Rodriguez feels that a strong win over Martinez will help him climb up in the P4P rankings:

“Humbly enough, I’m able to say, you know, I feel like I’m placed correctly on the pound-for-pound list. But come November 22nd, if I’m able to go out there and perform how I have been against a fighter like Martinez, that’s definitely gonna put me up there with the Usyks, Crawfords and ‘The Monster’ [Inoue].”

Jesse Rodriguez Odds

Rodriguez comes into this title unification bout with Martinez as the favorite. He opened at -750 odds and has seen his fightline settle in at a range of -800 to -1400. His two previous bouts (Cafu and Guevara) saw Bam a massive favorite with odds as high as -2500 to -3500 in those fights.

His two bouts against Juan Francisco Estrada and Sunny Edwards saw the odds much closer. In fact, those are the closest boxing odds for his pro career.

Against Estrada, Bam opened at -225 but closed as high as -650. In the Edwards fight, his closest odds, Rodriguez opened as a -135 favorite and closed at odds between -190 and -240.

The only time he opened with a smaller line was against Carlos Cuadras in February 2022. Bam opened at +110 odds but closed as high as -500 in that bout.

Fernando Martinez Recent Fights

Fernando “Pumita” Martinez’s first world title fight came in October 2022, and it was for the IBF super flyweight belt. Pumita defeated Jerwin Ancajas via unanimous decision with the closest score being 118-110. Basically, Martinez wiped the mat with Ancajas to win his first world championship.

Martinez defended that title two times before being stripped in late 2024. His first defense was against Jade Bornea in June 2023, and Martinez won via 11^th round TKO.  

His second IBF title defense came in July 2024, when Pumita defeated Ioka for the first time. Eventually, Martinez decided he wanted to rematch the Japanese champion and was stripped of his IBF title because of it.

Pumita ended up beating Ioka via unanimous decision in May 2025, via the scores of 114-113, 115-112, 117-110. It was confusing seeing the vast difference in scores from the judges.

Martinez feels that he’s the best champion in this weight class and is confident that he will show it on Saturday:

“I’ve fought two great champions and beat them. And on November 22, I’m going to show the world that I’m the best champion. The main thing I got out of those fights was experience, and I’m going to show that on November 22.”

Fernando Martinez Odds

There’s limited betting data for Martinez’s pro career. He opened as a +460 underdog for this weekend’s bout, but has seen those odds rise to a range of +550 to +750.

Pumita returns to the underdog status for the second time in his last three bouts. He was also the underdog against Ioka in their first fight as his odds closed at +118 to +125. Following that win, Martinez closed as a -380 to -460 favorite in the Ioka rematch on May 11, 2025.

His fight odds for this weekend’s bout, is the largest underdog status of his pro career based on the data we’re able to access.

Jesse Rodriguez vs. Fernando Martinez Predictions

Rodriguez is nine years younger than Martinez and also has the height (two inch) and reach (three inch) advantages. Furthermore, Bam has the better resume. In fact, some say that Rodriguez already has a HOF worthy resume at just 25 years old.

As for this weekend’s bout, I believe Pumita is going to put up a good fight as he’s never been knocked down in his pro career. However, I can see that changing this weekend.

While I like Martinez to give Rodriguez a tough challenge, I see Bam winning this bout. He’s the better pure boxer with elite skills. He should outbox Pumita on Saturday night. And, if Martinez gets tired or careless then Rodriguez could score the stoppage considering he also has the power advantage, as well.

Bet: Jess Rodriguez (-900)

The Best Rodriguez vs. Martinez Prop Bets

Let’s take a look at some of the best Rodriguez vs. Martinez prop bets:

Over/Under 9.5 rounds

• Over 9.5 (-115)
• Under 9.5 (-115)

15 of Rodriguez’s 22 pro fights have ended inside the distance including four in a row. With that said, Martinez has never even been knocked down. So, I see this bout going at least into the championship rounds, if not the full distance.

Bet: Over 9.5 (-115)

Will Fight go the distance?

• Yes (+200)
• No (-275)

Like Martinez said, he does have championship fight experience and has competed in hostile environments to win world titles. So, the 34-year-old won’t be intimidated this weekend.

I am taking a flier on Martinez to go the distance. In half of his pro bouts, Pumita has gone the distance including four of his last five fights. Bam went the distance in two bouts prior to this four-fight streak of stoppages.

I see Rodriguez outboxing Martinez and winning on the scorecards via unanimous decision. There’s great value for the fight to go the full 12 rounds. A flier is worth it.

Bet: Yes (+200)

Method of Victory

• Martinez via TKO/KO/DQ (+1200)
• Martinez via decision (+1600)
• Rodriguez via TKO/KO/DQ (-225)
• Rodriguez via decision (+240)
• Draw (+2200)

As mentioned, I like Rodriguez to win via decision. I think it will be unanimous. In fact, the only question is how big of a disparity will Bam have on the scorecards. I can see a 117-111 score for this bout, possibly more. Either way, I do like Pumita to fight like a champion and turn this into the best bout on the PPV.

Bet: Rodriguez via decision (+240)

Betting on Rounds

• Either Winner in rounds 1-4 (+750)
• Either Winner in rounds 5-8 (+220)
• Either Winner in rounds 9-12 (+185)
• Fight To Go The Distance (+200)

As you have seen from above, I am taking this bout to go the distance (+200). However, if you are feeling a bit frisky, and think it will end inside the distance, then look at the option for either winner ending the fight in rounds 9-12.

It will take a few rounds for each man to feel things out before we get any real action. I do think things will pick up in the middle portions of this bout. Theoretically, one of these men could be worn down by the championship rounds.

Bet: Fight To Go The Distance (+200)

What’s Next For The Rodriguez vs. Martinez Winner?

If Fernando Martinez wins this fight, then you can expect an immediate rematch. However, since I am picking Rodriguez to win, we should have a few options for his next opponent.

The one fight that makes the most sense is for Rodriguez to fight the winner of Kenshiro Teraji versus IBF super flyweight champ Willibaldo Garcia. These two will compete on The Ring V card at the end of December.

Teraji is already calling out Rodriguez for a unification bout next year:

“I want to fight with [Ring, WBO and WBO champion] Bam [Rodriguez]. If he wins [against WBA titleholder Fernando Martinez on November 22] and I win there might be a chance. So, for that reason too, I want to win this next bout in great manner to show my strength to make Bam want to choose me to fight against.”

This should be on Bam’s radar since it will allow him to become the undisputed super flyweight champion and bolster his case for a mega-fight next year against Junto Nakatani or Naoya Inoue.

For Rodriguez, he was already close to a bout with Nakatani but the negotiations fell through as the Japanese champ moved up in weight. However, Bam has his sights set on fighting either Japanese star in the near future:

“I always imagined me and Inoue at 122 or Nakatani at 118. But, like you said, Nakatani, he moved up, so it’s really hard to say. But, you know, there’s a lot of time. I’m still young and got a lot to go, so there’s no rush. People have been mentioning [the Inoue] fight even before I became who I am today. So, I know when that fight does happen it’s gonna be huge for the sport of boxing.”

My money would be on Rodriguez to fight Teraji or Garcia next and wit to see how things shake out between the rumors of Nakatani vs. Inoue. Bam can beat Teraji, Garcia or Nakatani. However, Inoue is a different beast and I don’t see Rodriguez winning that fight.