2025 PGA Truist Championship Odds and Predictions

The PGA Tour rolls into its final stretch of spring with a stacked field at the 2025 Truist Championship, and golf bettors should be circling this one. With a deep mix of proven stars and ascending talents, this tournament is shaping up to be one of the most competitive non-major events of the year. This week offers plenty of intrigue — and potentially profitable opportunities.

The Truist Championship is one of the more unique stops on the tour. There’s no cut, which means all 72 players will play through the weekend. This is a limited field event, which means there’s also more prize money on the line. The Truist Championship purse this year is set at $20 million, with the winner set to take home a hefty $3.6 million along with 750 FedEx Cup points.

If you’re just getting into betting on golf or looking to sharpen your edge, check out our full PGA Tour coverage and the top-rated sports betting sites before locking in your picks.

Where Is the Truist Championship?

The 2025 Truist Championship takes place at the Philadelphia Cricket Club — the oldest country club in the United States. Located in Flourtown, Pennsylvania, the Wissahickon Course is known for its tree-lined fairways, punishing bunkers, and classic Donald Ross design.

It’s a shotmaker’s track that rewards accuracy over brute strength, setting up a fun contrast from the bomb-and-gouge setups we often see on Tour. The tournament tees off Thursday morning and runs through Sunday.

How To Watch the Truist Championship

Catch the action live on Golf Channel and CBS, with streaming coverage via the NBC Sports app and Paramount+. Featured group coverage begins early Thursday, with network broadcasts picking up for the weekend rounds.

Who Won the Truist Championship 2024?

Rory McIlroy took home the trophy in 2024, holding off Xander Schauffele with a final round 66 to finish 17-under. Rory’s steady tee-to-green game was the difference, as he gained more than nine strokes on the field with his irons and approaches.

In news that should surprise nobody, McIlroy checks in as the +400 favorite to win it again this year. This will be McIlroy’s first second appearance on the PGA Tour since his dramatic win at the Masters last month.

The Truist Championship Odds

Check out the latest Truist Championship odds:

As mentioned, McIlroy is the favorite at +400 after his win at this event last year, albeit at a different course. There’s a steep drop to the +1400–+2000 tier, where elite talents like Morikawa, Aberg, and Cantlay offer better value. With so many top-tier names bunched together, sharp bettors will want to lean on course history and iron play — something the best handicappers weigh heavily this week.

Hit A Hole In One

With Expert
PGA Picks!

Get Free Trial

The Truist Championship Favorites

The following golfers are considered the odds-on favorites, according to the latest Truist Championship odds:

Rory McIlroy (+400)

Rory McIlroy enters the 2025 Truist Championship in rare form — and while this is his first trip to the Philadelphia Cricket Club for the event, that doesn’t make him any less dangerous. The defending Truist champ won last year at Quail Hollow, and he’s carried that momentum straight into this season. With wins at The Masters and THE PLAYERS Championship already in 2025, Rory has made one thing clear: right now, he’s playing the best golf of anyone on the planet.

Even without course history to lean on, McIlroy’s numbers give you every reason to back him. Over his last five tournaments, he’s averaging 0.318 strokes gained off the tee and a scorching 0.572 strokes gained putting — the latter being the one part of his game that’s historically streaky. When Rory’s rolling it well, everyone else is in trouble. His total strokes gained average (a whopping 1.454 per round) over that span shows just how complete his game is right now.

And it’s not just raw stats — the results are matching. Since February, Rory has racked up four top-five finishes, including two wins and a T5 at the Texas Children’s Houston Open. He’s shooting low numbers on tough tracks, consistently stringing together rounds in the mid-to-upper 60s, and making it look easy. Even his “off weeks” — like a T12 at the Zurich Classic — still feature 64s and 68s. That’s the mark of a player with an extremely high floor.

Sure, the +450 price tag isn’t a bargain, but with this kind of dominance, you’re not buying a lottery ticket — you’re buying a potential wire-to-wire winner. While others will be figuring out the nuances of Wissahickon, Rory’s elite shot-shaping and creativity should thrive on a classic, demanding layout. If you want a rock-solid pick this week, the defending champ is still the man to beat.

Ludvig Aberg (+1600)

Ludvig Aberg is quickly becoming one of the most electric young players on the PGA Tour, and this week could mark his true breakout on U.S. soil. At +1600, he’s priced among the favorites — and for good reason. He’s already racked up a win at the Genesis Invitational this season and has finished inside the top 10 three times in his last 10 starts. While this will be his first look at the Philadelphia Cricket Club, Aberg’s elite tee-to-green game should translate well to the classic layout.

Aberg ranks 15th on Tour in Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee, gaining a massive 0.588 strokes per round over his last five events. That level of consistency off the tee will be a major asset at Wissahickon, where placement off the tee is key on narrow fairways. He’s also 110th in SG: Approach, but that undersells how dangerous he is with mid-irons — a key weapon at a demanding par-70 like this one. Even on off weeks, his floor remains high due to that ball-striking.

What’s holding him back lately is the putter — he’s losing 0.270 strokes on the greens, and that’s been the difference between top-20s and contending. But if the flatstick heats up even slightly, Aberg is live to win any tournament he enters. He gained nearly 0.6 strokes putting per round in his win at Genesis, proving he’s more than capable when everything clicks. This is a high-ceiling player who can beat elite fields — and he’s already done it this year.

In a field packed with names like Rory and JT, Aberg still stands out as a sharp bet. His game is built for tough golf courses, and the Cricket Club’s demanding setup could be just the stage he needs to add a second Tour win. At +1600, you’re betting on a rising star with a complete toolkit and the confidence to pull it off.

Justin Thomas (+1600)

Justin Thomas might not have the course history that turns heads at the Truist Championship, but don’t let that fool you — he’s one of the hottest players in the field and could easily be holding the trophy come Sunday. In his last 10 starts, JT has five top-10 finishes and two runner-ups, including a close call at The American Express and a win just weeks ago at RBC Heritage. At +1600, you’re getting a player who’s clearly back in form and playing with full confidence.

His stats back up the eye test. Over his last five tournaments, Thomas is gaining 0.583 strokes putting — a massive improvement over the putter woes that plagued him last season. He’s also averaging 1.321 total strokes gained per round in that stretch, ranking among the best in this field. When JT’s putter is cooperating, the rest of his game is more than enough to take on a tough, classic venue like Wissahickon.

While his finishes at past Truist Championships have been average (T14 in 2023 being the best), those came at Quail Hollow — a different test than what he’ll face this week in Pennsylvania. The Philadelphia Cricket Club rewards precise iron play and a sharp short game, and that’s where Thomas excels when he’s on. He’s shown the ability to go low this season (just ask the 61 he dropped in round one at RBC) and he’s trending in the exact direction you want heading into a challenging setup.

Thomas is one of the rare players who can spike in all four key areas when his confidence is high, and right now, that seems to be the case. With elite recent form, a reawakened putter, and a very beatable field outside of Rory, JT is one of the smartest outright bets on the board at +1600.

The Best Truist Championship Betting Value

The following golfers offer betting value based on their current seasons to date and their past performances at the Truist Championship:

Tommy Fleetwood (+2500)

Tommy Fleetwood is no stranger to contending at the Truist Championship, and with the event shifting to the Philadelphia Cricket Club this year, he’s primed to make another run at his first PGA Tour win. He’s finished T5 and T13 in his last two Truist starts, and while those came at Quail Hollow, the switch to Wissahickon’s tighter, more strategic setup could actually play even more into his strengths. At +2500, he offers excellent value as a player who consistently hangs around leaderboards on tough courses.

Fleetwood’s recent results quietly make a strong case. He’s posted seven top-20 finishes in his last 10 events, including a 7th at RBC Heritage and T5s at both Genesis and BMW. That’s steady, dependable form — and it comes with a solid statistical foundation. Over his last five tournaments, Fleetwood is gaining 0.108 strokes off the tee and 0.134 strokes putting, showing balanced play that’s critical on a demanding Donald Ross layout like this one.

He also just feels due. Despite knocking on the door multiple times in the U.S., Fleetwood has yet to grab that elusive win, but he’s been close enough often enough to believe it’s coming. His performance at The Genesis (T5, -8) and RBC Heritage (7th, -13) shows he’s capable of going low on tight, tree-lined setups. If his approach game heats up this week, he could easily be in the final group on Sunday.

Fleetwood’s mix of consistency, recent form, and mental toughness to grind through a tough course makes him a solid value play at +2500. He won’t be the most popular pick in the field, but he just might be the most satisfying one if he finally breaks through with a win in Philly.

Russell Henley (+3000)

Russell Henley has quietly been one of the most consistent players on Tour in 2025, and his game sets up beautifully for a course like Philadelphia Cricket Club. He’s coming off a win at the Arnold Palmer Invitational and has six top-10s in his last ten starts — including a T5 at Pebble Beach and a T8 at RBC Heritage, both tight tracks that reward precision over power. At +3000, he offers strong win equity without the premium price tag of the top-tier names.

Statistically, Henley is locked in. Over his last five tournaments, he’s averaging 0.257 strokes gained off the tee and 0.419 strokes gained putting, both key ingredients for success on a classic, tree-lined course like Wissahickon. His total strokes gained average of 1.796 per round ranks among the best in the field, showing that he’s not just playing solid golf — he’s dominating across the board.

Henley also brings recent success at the Truist Championship. While past editions were held at Quail Hollow, he finished T10 last year and enters this week with even more confidence. His ball-striking has always been reliable, but it’s the improved putting that makes him a real contender now. If he gets anything going with the irons, he’ll be in the mix on Sunday.

At +3500, Henley checks every box: recent form, elite stats, and a game that travels to any layout. With the new venue playing into his strengths, he might be the most underrated outright on the board. He’s a strong addition to any betting card, especially for those fading the shorter-priced favorites.

The Top Truist Championship Longshot

If you’re looking to swing for upside this week, Min Woo Lee at +4500 is an outstanding longshot option with real win potential. He’s already flashed that ceiling with a win at the Texas Children’s Houston Open earlier this spring, firing rounds of 66-64-63-67 to finish 20-under and dominate a strong field. While this will be his first appearance at the Truist Championship — and his first look at the Philadelphia Cricket Club — Lee’s all-around skill set makes him one of the few players in this range who can absolutely win.

His strokes gained numbers are legitimately elite in several categories. He’s currently 6th on Tour in SG: Putting and gaining a monstrous 0.950 strokes per round with the flatstick over his last five starts. He also ranks 7th in SG: Around-the-Green, which will be especially important on Wissahickon’s slick, elevated Donald Ross greens. When you add in the fact that he’s 18th overall in total strokes gained, you start to wonder why his number is this long to begin with.

Even when he’s off with the driver or irons — and he has lost strokes off the tee and on approach recently — Lee’s short game is good enough to keep him in contention. He’s made the cut in 9 of his last 10 starts, and five of those were top-20 finishes. That includes a T12 at the WM Phoenix Open and a T20 at THE PLAYERS, both on big-boy courses. His ability to score on tough layouts makes him a natural fit for a classic test like the Cricket Club.

At +5000, you’re getting a proven Tour winner with elite putting, top-tier scrambling, and a fearlessness that plays well in pressure situations. If he finds even average ball-striking this week, he’s live to chase down anyone. He’s the kind of high-upside longshot you build into your card to win big — and this might be the exact kind of course where he does it again.

The Truist Championship Predictions

My favorite outright bet to win the 2025 Truist Championship is Russell Henley at +3500.

What sets Henley apart this week isn’t just his recent surge in form — it’s how well his game matches the unique demands of the Philadelphia Cricket Club. Wissahickon has a design that punishes errant tee shots and demands precision on tiered greens. Henley thrives in that kind of environment. He’s among the most accurate players on Tour, both off the tee and with his irons, ranking consistently high in fairways hit and greens in regulation. In a field full of bombers, Henley brings a different kind of edge: control.

He’s also one of the few players in this range who has shown the ability to close. His win earlier this season at Bay Hill was a clutch performance under Sunday pressure, and he followed that with strong finishes at courses like Pebble Beach and Harbour Town — both of which share some DNA with the Philly Cricket Club in terms of tight setups and short-game challenges. His ability to avoid mistakes and hang around while others falter gives him serious value on a layout where patience matters more than power.

The market seems to have priced him just below the top tier, but the reality is that Henley is playing as well as — or better than — most of the names above him on the board. He’s not flashy, but in a grind-it-out setup where bogey avoidance and short game matter most, he’s perfectly built to win. At +3500, he gives you win equity without sacrificing return, and he might just be the smartest outright on the board.

For more expert golf picks on the Truist Championship, check out our Golf Picks This Week article. We’ll break down outrights, placements, and live value as the tournament unfolds.

Bet: Russell Henley (+3500)