UFC on ESPN+ 114 Odds and Predictions

Fans and bettors alike are getting a truly awesome card when UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo drops down on May 3rd at the Wells Fargo Arena in Des Moines, Iowa.

The main event alone is a big enough draw to get even the most casual MMA fan excited, but the UFC on ESPN 67 odds are just as alluring. I’ll walk you through the latest pricing for this event, while closing things out with my top UFC picks, analysis, and predictions for every bout.

Where To Watch UFC on ESPN 67?

If you want to watch UFC on ESPN 67, tune into ESPN+ to catch the Prelims at 6:30 pm EST, while the main card can be viewed on ESPN+ and ESPN2 starting at 9:00 pm EST.

When Is UFC on ESPN 67?

The next big MMA event arrives this Saturday, May 3rd, 2025.

Where Is UFC on ESPN 67?

Want to attend the bouts in person? Head to Des Moines, Iowa. This weekend’s star-studded card is going down there at the Wells Fargo Arena.

UFC on ESPN 67 Main Card Odds

Check out the latest UFC on ESPN 67 odds for the Main Card, courtesy of the top sports betting sites: 

This is a stacked card, as the main event between Cory Sandhagen and Deiveson Figueiredo is a lights out clash between two explosive MMA superstars, and the rest of the bouts here are not far behind.

Big names such as Bo Nickal, Daniel Rodriguez, and Jeremy Stephens are hard to ignore, although the pricing for some of these is definitely interesting. We have three huge betting favorites, with Sandhagen expected to breeze past a once lethal Figueiredo, and guys like Nickal and Jones also being heavily favored to get a win.

You can roll with my UFC on ESPN 67 predictions above, or read on for a bit more analysis as to why I like each pick. Whether you use my picks or not, make sure you’re taking advantage of the  best handicappers available online to help you finalize your wagers across all betting markets.

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UFC on ESPN 67 Predictions For The Main Card

The main card for UFC on ESPN 67 starts at 9:00 pm EST on ESPN2 and ESPN+.

Cory Sandhagen (-450) vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (+350)

This is a massive main event, albeit one that would have felt a lot cooler about 3-4 years ago. Deiveson Figueiredo (24-4-1) is seemingly a shell of his former self now at age 37, as he has just one win by stoppage since 2020.

The guy is as explosive as anyone, as he still has 18 career finishes to his name, and he did submit Cody Garbrandt as recently as 2024. Overall, his form is actually solid enough, as he lost to Petyr Yan via Decision last November, but is otherwise 3-1 over his last four bouts.

Figueiredo provides insane betting value, elite striking, and a versatile skill-set. However, he’s a bit long in the tooth, he loses two inches in reach to Cory Sandhagen, and he is the slightly inferior striker between the two.

Sandhagen (17-5) doesn’t have the wild resume Daico has, but he’s still been rather dominant throughout his career. The 33-year old has seven KOs to his name and has never been knocked out himself. There’s a first time for everything, but he went toe-to-toe with massive names like Umar Nurmagomedov, Petyr Yan, and T.J. Dillashaw, and escaped without getting finished.

All things told, this line feels thick and you’re getting obscene value with Figueiredo. I understand why Sandhagen is favored, but this price feels insulting. Figueiredo may be aging, but he’s still fared well in recent bouts and in theory has the skill-set and explosiveness to end this thing at any point.

Bet: Deiveson Figueiredo (+350)

Bo Nickal (-300) vs. Reinier de Ridder (+250)

We get another sizable favorite with Bo Nickal (7-0) hoping to stay perfect when he battles Reinier de Ridder (19-2). Nickal is expected to win, seeing as he has passed the eye test during a 4-0 start in the UFC.

He’s coming off a nice Decision win over Paul Craig last November, but this will admittedly be a step up in competition. Nickal offers a versatile skill-set, however, while the 29-year old has earned finishes in six of his seven wins.

As great as Nickal has been, he does have a stiff test ahead of him. Reinier de Ridder has been pretty dominant throughout his career, as The Dutch Knight has a staggering 13 submissions under his belt and has impressed thus far under the UFC banner.

de Ridder definitely has his question marks, as he got TKO’d twice by Anatol Malykhin, but those aren’t losses anyone should be ashamed of. de Ridder has otherwise been a brute, and he reminded us of that by forcing very good fighters in Kevin Holland and Gerald Meerschaert to tap out in the past year.

Call me crazy, but this is another spot where I prefer the value. Nickal is a rising prospect, but he has to prove his worth yet and it’s not like this weekend’s opponent is going to be a breeze. I think there’s potential for elite betting value across this main card.

Bet: Reinier de Ridder (+250)

Santiago Ponzinibbio (-120) vs. Daniel Rodriguez (+100)

Is it time to slow down and roll with the favorites? Perhaps, as Santiago Ponzinibbio (31-8) is an explosive monster (17 KOs) that is hard to bet against. He still has that elite finishing ability, too, as he TKO’d Carlston Harris this past January.

That said, the Argentine Dagger hasn’t been consistent as of late. He’s 38 years old now, and it’s shown, as he’s just 3-4 over his last seven fights. He still earned finishes in two of those three wins, though, so we know that when he wins, he goes for it all.

Ponzinibbio is a fun guy to bet on, but he’s still in suspect form and he has four losses via KO. One of those came not that long ago (2023) against Kevin Holland, too. It’s arguable we shouldn’t be too concerned about that when he faces Daniel Rodriguez (18-5), however.

Rodirguez does have eight knockouts to his name, but he’s also 38 now and is past his prime. He’s not quite as explosive as his opponent, while he hasn’t won via stoppage since earning a TKO versus Preston Parsons in 2021.

I do think this fight is pretty even, but the finishing upside leans in Santiago’s favor.

Bet: Santiago Ponzinibbio (-120)

Montel Jackson (-205) vs. Daniel Marcos (+175)

Next up is an interesting battle between Montel Jackson (14-2) and Daniel Marcos (17-0). Jackson has been on fire, scoring eight KOs across 14 wins and securing victories in each of his last five bouts.

Quik KO’d Da’Mon Blackshear last July and has KO wins in each of his last two fights. He is definitely feeling it right now, while he will come into this one with a huge six-inch reach edge and better takedown numbers.

Marcos is undefeated, of course, with the 32-year old surviving most of his UFC battles to this point. He did deliver a KO victory in his official UFC debut back in 2023, but he’s been involved in a bunch of Decisions ever since.

It’s tough to bet against a guy who is 17-0, but Jackson is a real problem to deal with and has a significant reach advantage. I think Marcos tastes defeat for the first time this weekend.

Bet: Montel Jackson (-205)

Serhiy Sidey (-145) vs. Cameron Smotherman (+125)

We have a pretty tightly priced battle here, with Serhiy Sidey (11-2) tentatively expected to edge out Cameron Smotherman (12-4). The 28-year old Sidey has proven impossible to finish, while he has seven knockouts to his name.

Sidey is coming off a Decision win over Garrett Armfield last November, while his lone loss in the last four years came to Ramon Taveras. He will own a three-inch reach edge in this bout, and grades out as the more accurate striker.

Smotherman is a bit younger and the more impactful striker (6.25 significant strikes landed per minute), but he’s also been vulnerable with two KO losses in his career already. He does have solid finishing ability and he’s coming in hot with four straight wins, but I think Sidey will be too tough of a challenge.

Brace for a lot of damage on both sides, but Sidey is extremely difficult to take out. Look for him to squeak out the Decision victory.

Bet: Serhiy Sidey (-145)

Mason Jones (-550) vs. Jeremy Stephens (+420)

Wrapping up the UFC on ESPN 67 main card is a clash between Mason Jones (15-2) and the battle tested Jeremy Stephens (29-21). Lil Heathen was once a tough out, but he has fallen apart in recent years, with the 38-year old going just 1-7-1 over his last nine appearances in the Octagon.

Stephens does have 29 wins with 19 coming via KO, but he hasn’t stopped anyone early in a fight in six years. On the flip side, he’s lost early eight different times, and age is obviously not in his corner.

Mason Jones is far younger at 30, has a four-inch reach advantage, and grades out as the more lethal striker. He’s also more aggressive and more successful with his takedowns, so across the board he checks in as the guy we want to bet on here.

Jones is also simply in fantastic form. He’s riding a nice four-fight winning streak, and he ultimately has bigger fish to fry. He could add to his seven career KOs in this one.

Bet: Mason Jones (-550)

UFC on ESPN 67 Preliminary Card Odds

Check out the latest UFC on ESPN+ 114 odds for the Preliminary Card.

The pricing is just as interesting going into the UFC on ESPN 67 Prelims. There are a few bouts that could get out of control, but you’re getting pretty good value across the board.

The trick will be deciding whether or not we can trust a 38-year old Cupcake Tate, as well as deciding which upset picks actually make sense here.

You can roll with my UFC on ESPN 67 predictions above, or read on for further analysis.

UFC on ESPN 67 Predictions For The Preliminary Card

The UFC on ESPN 67 Prelims fires off at 6:00 pm EST on ESPN+.

Miesha Tate (-131) vs. Yana Santos (+111)

It’s nice to see Cupcake back in action. She has been pretty hit or miss since coming back out of retirement, with the 38-year old going just 2-4 over her last six bouts. She did submit Julia Avila in her last fight, however, which provides optimism as she looks to build some momentum.

Tate is a versatile fighter who can get it done standing up or on the mat, so she automatically has the leg up against Yana Santos (15-8), who really only finishes fights with her fists. Tate has the clear edge on the mat, and she’s historically the more aggressive and more successful takedown artist.

It’s true that Tate has some things working against her. She’s three years older than her opponent, she loses 3.5 inches in reach, and she’s not quite as good in the striking department. Overall, though, Tate has the more reliable skill-set and I think she can get it done.

Bet: Miesha Tate (-131)

Azamat Bekoev (-380) vs. Ryan Loder (+315)

Next up is a not so intense battle between Azamat Bekoev (19-3) and Ryan Loder (8-1). Bekoev has much more experience despite being four years younger, and he offers more impactful striking and much more aggressive takedowns.

Bekoev is also extremely versatile and always looking to end the fighter early. Fifteen of his 19 victories have come by stoppage, with eight of them being submissions. He has been submitted once, but that was back in 2021, and he hasn’t lost since.

He’s riding a nice seven-fight winning streak, and he showed out with a KO win in his UFC debut. He looks like a really good bet to keep it rolling versus Loder, who simply isn’t as versatile or as experienced.

Bet: Azamat Bekoev (-380)

Gillian Robertson (-310) vs. Marina Rodriguez (+260)

We have a few female-led fights and one of them has Gillian Robertson (15-8) heating up at just the right time as she prepares to take on Marina Rodriguez (17-5-2).

Rodriguez has the better record, but Robertson is on fire these days. She’s overcome a lull in her career to win each of her last three fights, and go 5-1 over her last six. She’s done it in a multitude of ways, too, grinding out some Decision wins, and also racking up three wins via stoppage.

Robertson is a hefty favorite here, as he’s eight years younger than her opponent and is more active with takedowns and pressure. Her nine submissions make her a major threat if/when the fight goes to the mat, too.

Rodriguez is starting to flame out at age 37. She got her career off to a blistering start, but she’s regressed with a 1-4 record over her last five fights. Only one of those defeats came via stoppage, though, so she’s at least hung tight for the most part.

She will have the striking edge in this one, but she doesn’t have a huge reach advantage, so I don’t think she will handle Robertson’s pressure all that well. If true, this one could end early with Rodriguez tapping.

Bet: Gillian Robertson (-310)

Gaston Bolanos (-150) vs. Quang Le (+130)

This one is priced quite closely, as Gaston Bolanos (8-4) is a narrow favorite to upend Quang Le (8-2) this weekend. There is not a sizable gap between these two guys in terms of height, reach, or statistics, other than Le being the more aggressive fighter in pursuit and with takedowns.

Bolanos is also not as versatile as his opponent. He has six KOs to his name, but his power has yet to fully translate to the UFC. He’s a solid 2-1 under the UFC banner, but both wins are by Decision and his loss came by TKO.

Le has proven he can win in a number of ways, while five of his eight victories have come via stoppage. He got off to an 8-0 start and has regressed sharply since entering the UFC (0-2), but I think this is a spot where he could calibrate a bit and bounce back.

This one feels like a toss-up, but Le is due for some positive regression and I like his +130 odds.

Bet: Quang Le (+130)

Thomas Petersen (-240) vs. Don’Tale Mayes (+205)

The odds stretch out a bit for this one, as Thomas Petersen (9-3) is the clear betting favorite when he goes toe-to-toe with Don’Tale Mayes (11-8).

Mayes is three years older and has suffered several more defeats, but it’s impossible to ignore his insane seven-inch reach advantage in this one. Despite that fact, he grades out as the weaker striker and Petersen is also much better at taking the fight to the floor.

Petersen did lose via TKO in his last fight and is just 1-2 over his last three bouts, but he was a dominant force prior to coming to the UFC. If he can regain that form and close the gap between him and Mayes, he should be able to live up to his favorite billing.

Bet: Thomas Petersen (-240)

Ivana Petrovic (-230) vs. Juliana Miller (+195)

Lastly, we have our third fight between the ladies, with Ivana Petrovic (7-2) looking like a safe bet when she takes on Juliana Miller (4-3). Petrovic has more experience than her opponent, and she will also have a four-inch reach edge in her favor.

The offensive numbers favor Petrovic across the board, too. She’s slightly less accurate with her striking, but she inflicts more damage and she’s the more (successfully) aggressive fighter. Petrovic has a versatile game and she knows how to finish the job, as she has six of seven wins via stoppage.

Juliana Miller is behind the eight ball in every way going into this one. She has looked overmatched in several of her fights, and she’s just 1-3 over her last four bouts. Luana Santos TKO’d her in her last fight in 2023, and the long layoff isn’t likely to do her any favors.

Bet: Ivana Petrovic (-230)

The Best UFC Fight Night Picks

The following is our best UFC Fight Night picks for this weekend’s event:

• Deiveson Figueiredo (+350)
• Montel Jackson (-205)
• Azamat Bekoev (-380)

I love the betting value associated with Deiveson Figueiredo. He is a walking KO waiting to happen, while he also sports high-level submissions chops. Cory Sandhagen is a huge favorite, but the pricing is disrespectful. Put some honor on Deiveson’s name and bet on him at this staggering +350 price.

Montel Jackson and Azamat Bekoev are properly priced, but they are favorites who are in good spots to add another win to their record. Bekoev is just more skilled than the guy he is facing, while Jackson has a nice reach advantage and is a major threat to score a knockout.

Mason Jones is also a terrific bet to get the win. As far as “locks” go, he’s up there. I’d just rather seek out a tad more value than just rely on someone priced that high.

UFC on ESPN 67 Card

Check out the updated UFC Fight Night fight card: