2025 UFL Championship Odds, Picks, Team Breakdowns

By:

Rick Bouch

in

UFL

Last Updated on

The 2025 UFL season has reached its midpoint. Teams will soon play their Week 5 games and then have five remaining before the UFL playoffs. Birmingham, the defending UFL champions, were the favorites to repeat since the outset of the 2025 season.

The Stallions lost in Week 1 to the surprise of many, but have rebounded and won three straight to maintain a hold on first place in the USFL Division. Michigan, which lost to Birmingham in last year’s semifinals, is once again in contention for a playoff spot.

In the XFL Division, it’s been a bit of a surprise. Arlington and DC are the top two teams in the division and the halfway point of the season. The Renegades have the best defense in the league and QB Luis Perez leads an offense that can run, pass, and score on anyone in the UFL.

Be sure to bookmark Scores & Stats as our football experts keep you up to date on all the top news, best odds, and analysis throughout the rest of the 2025 UFL season. Then, continue to follow those Scores & Stats experts through the 2025 NFL season.

Where Is the UFL Championship Game?

The 2025 UFL Championship game will be played at the home of the St. Louis Battlehawks. That would be The Dome at America’s Center located in downtown St. Louis, which served as the home of the NFL’s St. Louis Rams prior to their relocation.

When Is the UFL Championship Game?

The 2025 UFL Championship game is scheduled for Saturday, June 14, 2025. The championship game follows the division championship games which will be held the week before.

What Time Is the UFL Championship Game?

The 2025 UFL Championship game time on Saturday, June 14, is 8:00 p.m. Kickoff will be shortly after the broadcast begins.

sas logo

Check Out The Best

Handicapping Membership
For More UFL Picks!

How to Watch the UFL Championship Game?

Once again, the UFL title game will be broadcast on ABC. The 2025 UFL Championship game channel will vary depending upon your local market and television provider.

UFL Schedule

  • Regular Season: March 28 – June 1
  • Playoffs: June 8 – June 14
  • Semifinals: June 8
  • Championship: June 14

UFL Championship Odds

Check out the latest UFL Championship odds courtesy of the best sports betting sites:

TeamOpening OddsMay Odds
Birmingham Stallions+200+200
Arlington Renegades+1100+350
DC Defenders+600+400
Michigan Panthers+700+450
St. Louis Battlehawks+350+500
San Antonio Brahmas+600+1800
Houston Roughnecks+1800+4000
Memphis Showboats+1600+5000

The reigning UFL champions, Birmingham Stallions, remain the odds-on favorites to win the 2025 UFL Championship. However, one team has jumped up the betting boards from a longshot to a contender – the Arlington Renegades. They went from +1100 at the start of the season to the second betting favorite at the halfway point.

Both the DC Defenders and Michigan Panthers have also made a move up the boards as they’re within striking distance of the Stallions. The Houston Roughnecks and Memphis Showboats had the longest odds to win the championship at the start of the season. They’re even bigger longshots halfway through the year with their respective odds nearly tripling since then.

Continue reading to see how we view this season playing out and compare it to what the top handicappers are predicting for the 2025 UFL Championship.

UFL Teams

The following is a breakdown of each UFL team.

Birmingham Stallions

As mentioned, Birmingham came into the 2025 season as the defending champion. Last year’s league MVP, QB Adrian Martinez, signed a reserve/futures contract with the NFL’s New York Jets in January of this year and did not return to the Stallions. That opened the door for the return of Alex McGough and Matt Corral.

McGough and Corral have each started a few games. Corral has the better numbers with four touchdown passes. The Stallions offense is only averaging 16.3 points per game, but the defense is why Birmingham will have another shot at a second straight UFL championship.

Arlington Renegades

The Renegades were among the UFL bottom-feeders last year and heading into the 2025 season. Given just +1100 odds to win the UFL championship this season, Arlington has surprised everyone.

It started right from the beginning. In Week 1, the Renegades destroyed San Antonio 33-9. The Brahmas had played in the UFL Championship game in 2024. While Arlington had the worst defense in the UFL in 2024, this year’s unit is the best in the league. The Renegades allow just 10.8 points per game.

DC Defenders

The Defenders were a disappointment in 2024. QB Jordan Ta’amu was thought to be a leading candidate for the league MVP last  year. It didn’t happen and DC finished 4-6 in 2024. Fast-forward to 2025, and Ta’amu is leading the UFL in passing.

Ta’amu is averaging over 226 passing yards per game and leads the league in touchdown passes. More importantly, the Defenders quarterback has led his team to a 3-1 start after four games. That’s why DC is now among the top three contenders for the 2025 UFL title.

Michigan Panthers

Michigan picked up where it left off last year. The Panthers are built on defense and running the football. The offense actually leads the UFL in scoring and QB Bryce Perkins is among the top three passers in the league.

The issue for Michigan, which it was last year, is that they must play Birmingham twice. The two teams are the top two in the USFL Division once again. If they end up first and second in the division again, they will play each other in the first round of the UFL playoffs.

St. Louis Battlehawks

The Battlehawks were one of the favorites to compete for a UFL title at the beginning of the 2025 season. St. Louis began the new season as if they definitely fit for their role as a true contender. Then, the wheels kind of fell off the bus.

St. Louis lost two straight to the top two teams – Arlington and DC – in the XFL Division. The Battlehawks odds to win the UFL title have lengthened since the start of the season. St. Louis does have the league’s top rusher, RB Jacob Saylors, who leads the UFL in rushing and rushing touchdowns.

San Antonio Brahmas

One year after making the UFL championship game, the Brahmas are struggling. They are the last place team in the XFL Division and their championship odds have lengthened tremendously. The defense, which was a strength last year, is the complete opposite in 2025.

The Brahmas are giving up over 25 points per game. You just can’t win games in the UFL when you’re allowing 25-plus. It also doesn’t help that the Brahmas are the lowest-scoring team in their division.

Houston Roughnecks

Houston had the worst opening odds in the UFL championship race. The Roughnecks finished last season 1-9 and they are headed in that direction once again in 2025. Houston has just one win and that was against Memphis, the only remaining winless team in the UFL.

The Roughnecks do have a win this season, though. They beat Memphis in their first meeting. As a result, Houston does not have the worst odds in the UFL Championship race.

Memphis Showboats

The worst odds in the UFL title race belong to Memphis. That’s because, as mentioned, the Showboats have not yet won a game. One year after having the UFL’s worst defense, the Showboats are at it again. They are allowing 22 points per game.

The offense isn’t much better. If not for Houston, Memphis would be the worst offense in the UFL. The Showboats average just 12.5 points per game and are more of a sinking boat than they are show.

UFL Championship Predictions

Our pick at the beginning of the season was the Birmingham Stallions +200. Despite the early loss, the Stallions continue to have all the ingredients to win another UFL title. The culture is there. Birmingham has won three straight league championships.

The defense is outstanding. They hold teams to just over 13 points per game. That keeps them in every game. The offense, led by Corral at quarterback, continues to search for its groove. When it finds it, look out. Until someone proves otherwise, we’ll stick with our original UFL championship pick.

Bet:  Birmingham Stallions (+200)

2024 UFL Championship Game

Birmingham won the USFL championship in 2022 and 2023 and they rode that success to a 9-1 finish in the inaugural UFL season in 2024. The Stallions got the home playoff game in Round 1 and hosted second-place Michigan in the first round of the postseason. Birmingham won easily 31-18, the Stallions third win over the Panthers in 2024.

The Stallions would earn a rematch with the only team that gave Birmingham a regular season loss – San Antonio. The Brahmas won the XFL Division by upsetting St. Louis on its home turf in its semifinal game, but any thoughts of a UFL title were quickly dashed. Birmingham rushed for 210 yards and grabbed an 8-0 lead when they scored just before the end of the first half.

Then, the Stallions scored on their first two possessions of the third quarter to go ahead 22-0 and the game was essentially over. They would tack on a field goal to set the final 25-0 and record the UFL’s first and only shutout of the 2024 season.