2025 WNBA Championship Odds, Predictions and Schedule

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Kody Miller

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The WNBA enters 2025 with more momentum than ever. Between elite-level talent, the league’s newest expansion team, and growing national attention, this season is shaping up to be one of the most competitive yet.

Below, we’ll break down the latest odds, highlight top contenders, and pinpoint betting value before the postseason push. Check out our full WNBA coverage and get daily WNBA picks from expert handicappers.

WNBA Championship Schedule

Here’s the full 2025 WNBA calendar leading up to the Finals:

  • May 16: Regular Season Begins
  • June 1–17: Commissioner’s Cup Tournament
  • July 1: Commissioner’s Cup Championship
  • July 17–21: WNBA All-Star Break
  • July 19: WNBA All-Star Game
  • September 11: Regular Season Ends
  • September 14: Playoffs Begin
  • October 17: Latest Possible Finals Date

Who Won the Championship Last Year?

The New York Liberty toppled the Minnesota Lynx in a 5-game thriller to win the 2024 WNBA title. Somewhat shockingly, this was the Liberty’s first-ever league title despite having been one of the league’s original franchises.

Who Has the Most WNBA Championships?

The Houston Comets and Minnesota Lynx each have four WNBA titles, tied for the most in league history.

WNBA Championship Odds

Below are the latest odds to win the 2025 WNBA Championship (with Connecticut removed from the market):

WNBA OddsWNBA Odds
New York Liberty +230Indiana Fever +350
Las Vegas Aces +350Minnesota Lynx +400
Phoenix Mercury +1000Seattle Storm +3000
Los Angeles Sparks +4000Chicago Sky +5000
Atlanta Dream +5000Dallas Wings +6000
Washington Mystics +7500Connecticut Sun +7500
Golden State Valkyries +20000

These odds highlight a clear top tier, with the Liberty leading the way and a tight race among three other contenders. For additional insight into betting strategy, visit our Best Handicappers page or compare offers on our sports betting sites page.

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WNBA Championship Favorites

The following WNBA teams are considered the odds-on favorites to win the 2025 WNBA Championship:

New York Liberty (+230)

If you’re looking for a WNBA futures bet that mixes short odds with real staying power, the New York Liberty at +230 to win it all might be the most grounded pick on the board. They’re not a longshot, and they’re certainly not sneaking up on anyone, but that doesn’t mean there isn’t value. After finally breaking through for their first championship in franchise history last year, the Liberty return with continuity, chemistry, and a clear hunger to repeat.

The foundation is stacked. Jonquel Jones is fresh off a Finals MVP run, Breanna Stewart is a two-way force, and Sabrina Ionescu is poised to take another leap, with MVP buzz already developing around her. ESPN’s BPI has New York as the No. 1 overall team with a projected win total of 31.2. They were elite across nearly every advanced stat last season and return most of that core, along with new additions Natasha Cloud and Marine Johannes to shore up the backcourt.

Sure, they lost Kayla Thornton and Betnijah Laney-Hamilton (the latter to injury), but the depth is still among the best in the league. The frontcourt rotation could get even scarier if Leonie Fiebich continues her rise — her net rating during last year’s playoff run was the best of any player on the team. In short: this is a championship-caliber roster that knows what it takes to win and is built to do it again.

Repeat titles aren’t easy, but the Liberty have the pieces, the playoff seasoning, and the right kind of offseason upgrades. At +230, you’re betting on a favorite — but one with very real potential to cash again.

Las Vegas Aces (+370)

If you’re fading the hype around the Liberty and looking for a quality alternative, Las Vegas at +370 to win the 2025 WNBA title is still one of the sharpest bets on the board. They’re not quite the juggernaut they were in 2022–23, but this is a battle-tested team with championship DNA, an MVP centerpiece, and a coach who knows how to manage high expectations. Back-to-back titles (2022 and 2023) don’t happen by accident, and the Aces have the pieces to make it three.

Despite losing Kelsey Plum and veterans like Sydney Colson and Alysha Clark, the core of A’ja Wilson, Jackie Young, and Chelsea Gray is still one of the most formidable in the league. Add in the acquisition of Jewell Loyd, who just happened to lead the league in scoring in 2023, and you’ve got a new “big four” with scary upside. If Gray is healthy and Loyd meshes quickly, Las Vegas could find itself right back in the Finals.

The concern here is chemistry. This team thrived on continuity during its title runs, and a few of those dependable locker room pieces are now gone. But let’s not overthink this: the Aces still have multiple Olympians, former MVPs, and postseason killers on the floor. They didn’t just win titles — they dominated for two straight years. Even if the offense takes a few weeks to gel, no one will want to face this squad come playoff time.

And the biggest reason to bet? At +370, you’re getting an elite team at a slight discount because of recency bias. The Aces lost to New York in the semis last year, sure. But that was with an injured Gray and a mid-season return for Loyd. Fully healthy and fully loaded, Vegas has all the tools to reclaim its throne.

Indiana Fever (+370)

The Indiana Fever at +370 to win the 2025 WNBA Championship isn’t just about Caitlin Clark fever – ha! – it’s a legit bet on a rapidly ascending team that already proved it belongs in the playoff picture. After returning to the postseason for the first time since 2016, the Fever now bring back a deeper, more experienced version of last year’s squad — and they’ve loaded up with firepower.

Clark is the centerpiece, of course. The reigning Rookie of the Year led the league in assists and earned All-WNBA First Team honors in her debut season. But she’s no longer doing it alone. With DeWanna Bonner, Natasha Howard, and Sophie Cunningham joining a core that includes Aliyah Boston and Kelsey Mitchell, this is suddenly one of the most balanced and dangerous rosters in the league. They finished third in offensive rating and first in field goal percentage last season, all with a rookie point guard at the helm.

The big question is defense. Indiana gave up 109.5 points per 100 possessions last season, which won’t cut it in a title run. But early signs this preseason suggest improvement, and if they can defend even at a league-average level, their offense can carry them deep into the playoffs. They went just 8-12 on the road last year and were 3-12 against top-tier teams, but there’s reason to believe those numbers normalize with more chemistry and experience.

Indiana is a high-ceiling, low-floor play — but at +370, you’re betting on a team with two former No. 1 overall picks, the league’s top assist generator, and a frontcourt that can defend and rebound at a championship level. If the defense levels up, the Fever could crash the party a year earlier than expected.

Minnesota Lynx (+370)

If you’re looking for a team with both value and vengeance, the Minnesota Lynx at +370 offer a compelling futures bet. After coming within one win of a WNBA title in 2024, the Lynx return all five starters, a dominant defense, and the reigning Defensive Player of the Year in Napheesa Collier, who is playing like an MVP-in-waiting. They finished 30-10 last year and pushed the Liberty to the brink in a five-game Finals. This team is legit.

Their strengths are clear: chemistry, ball movement, and three-point shooting. The Lynx led the league in assist rate (76.4%) and three-point percentage (38.0%) last season. Their defense was just as lethal, holding opponents to a league-best 41.0% shooting. While other teams made splashy additions, Minnesota’s biggest weapon might be continuity, especially with Coach Cheryl Reeve pulling the strings again.

There are questions about their frontcourt depth, particularly with Dorka Juhasz out for the season and Alanna Smith nursing injuries. But the additions of Marieme Badiane and the return of Jessica Shepard could help solidify things inside. This group may not have the flash of a Liberty or Fever roster, but they know who they are, they play connected basketball, and they’ve already shown they can go toe-to-toe with the league’s best.

At +370, you’re banking on a team with cohesion, elite defense, and one of the top two players in the world in Collier, who finished second in MVP voting and still looks like she’s on the rise. With a chip on their shoulder and no signs of regression, Minnesota is a sharp bet to finish the job they started a year ago.

The Best WNBA Championship Betting Value

If you’re hunting for mid-tier value in the 2025 WNBA Championship market, the Phoenix Mercury at +1800 deserve a long look. Their roster may not have the star wattage of past years with Diana Taurasi and Brittney Griner, but it does feature a brand-new “big three” in Kahleah Copper, Alyssa Thomas, and Satou Sabally — a trio capable of flipping the playoff script. Each player brings versatility, athleticism, and big-game experience, and if they mesh quickly, Phoenix could easily outperform its preseason expectations.

The upside lies in the matchup nightmares this trio can create. Thomas is a point forward who impacts both ends, Sabally is a positionless Swiss Army knife, and Copper brings elite slashing and scoring ability. If their chemistry develops fast, the Mercury can attack opponents from all angles. They’ll play fast, spread the floor, and lean on athleticism — all ingredients that translate well come playoff time.

Yes, the guard depth is a real concern, and yes, the bench is thin on WNBA experience. But in a wide-open league where injuries and late-season surges often swing outcomes, Phoenix has the kind of high-variance roster you want exposure to at +1800. If things click, they won’t be anywhere near this price by August.

The Top WNBA Championship Longshot

The Chicago Sky at +7000 present a quietly intriguing option. While they finished just 13-27 last year, Chicago was in playoff contention until the final week — and that was with Angel Reese missing the stretch run due to a wrist injury. Reese and fellow All-Rookie standout Kamilla Cardoso form one of the most promising young frontcourts in the league, and with better guard play around them this season, the Sky could take a significant step forward.

Chicago’s offseason moves suggest they’re done rebuilding and ready to compete. They brought back veteran Courtney Vandersloot to run the point and traded for Ariel Atkins, a proven scorer and defender who should bring some much-needed stability to the perimeter. Add in a new coaching staff led by Tyler Marsh, and you’ve got a team that’s trying to shift both culture and offensive identity.

The downside? Offense was a struggle last year — they ranked 11th in scoring and dead last in offensive efficiency. But if Reese and Cardoso make expected second-year leaps and the new backcourt can mesh quickly, there’s enough upside here to make +7000 a worthwhile dart. A playoff push would be an accomplishment, but with a bit of chaos in the standings, the Sky might just fly further than anyone expects.

WNBA Championship Prediction

When it comes to picking a 2025 WNBA champion with the odds in mind, the New York Liberty at +230 strike the best balance between elite ceiling and betting value. They were dominant last season, finishing 32-8 and claiming their first-ever title, and they return nearly every key piece from that run. With Stewart, Jones, and Ionescu leading the charge, plus new backcourt depth in Cloud and Johannes, this team is deeper, more experienced, and even more motivated. They don’t have the longest odds, but they have the fewest weaknesses.

At the same time, you’re not paying an unreasonable premium for a heavy favorite. The Aces, Fever, and Lynx are all bunched up at the +370 mark, but each has question marks. New York? They’ve already done it, and they have the star power to run it back. With the rest of the field tightening up, the Liberty are still the best bet until someone dethrones them.

Bet: New York Liberty (+230)

WNBA Championship Winners

The following teams are the most recent WNBA Championship winners:

YearWinnerRunner-Up
2024New York LibertyMinnesota Lynx
2023Las Vegas AcesNew York Liberty
2022Las Vegas AcesConnecticut Sun
2021Chicago SkyPhoenix Mercury
2020Seattle StormLas Vegas Aces
2019Washington MysticsConnecticut Sun
2018Seattle StormWashington Mystics
2017Minnesota LynxLos Angeles Sparks
2016Los Angeles SparksMinnesota Lynx
2015Minnesota LynxIndiana Fever