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2021 NFL Super Bowl LV Opening Odds Analysis

Following 17 weeks of regular season games and three rounds of postseason matchups, the top team from each of the two NFL conferences will square off against one another in Super Bowl LV.

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The AFC went chalk with the Kansas City Chiefs winning their second-straight conference title as clear favorites. They are also the defending Super Bowl champs from last year.

The NFC title went to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as a wild card team. They needed three- straight victories on the road against lower seeds to punch their ticket to Super Bowl LV.

The matchup is set and the actual game will be played on Sunday, Feb. 7 at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa Bay. The Buccaneers are the first NFL team to ever play in a Super Bowl at their home stadium. As many as 22,000 fans are expected to attend the game. Game time on CBS is set for 6:30 p.m. (ET).

Super Bowl LV Opening Odds

The Oddsmakers opened Kansas City as a three-point favorite to win back-to-back Super Bowl titles even with Tampa Bay playing at home. The opening betting line for the total was set at 56.5 points.

The two week timeframe between the conference championship games and the Super Bowl gives bettors plenty of time to place their actual bets. However, the early money coming into the online books have already pushed that spread to 3.5 points. The extra half point makes Tampa Bay a bit more attractive if you are expecting a tight game.

The total line dipped a bit at certain online books to 56 points. With Patrick Mahomes at quarterback for the Chiefs and Tom Brady under center for Tampa Bay, most bettors are expecting a shootout that should result in a very active scoreboard.

Live NFL Super Bowl Odds

A third option for betting on this Super Bowl matchup is the money line for the straight-up winner. Kansas City opened at -170 with Tampa Bay set as a +145 underdog. Since then, you will find the Chiefs as high as -175 at a few online books. The Buccaneers have jumped to +155.

As a general betting strategy, you might want to wait on a money line bet for the Chiefs to see if that number goes down a bit. Getting Tampa Bay at +155 might be as high as it gets, so pulling the trigger now makes some betting sense.

Super Bowl LV Betting Trends

Looking at the recent past may provide some valuable insight into predicting future outcomes. Yet, betting trends tend to be a bit overrated in the general handicapping process. None the less, there are a few interesting ones surrounding this game.

With an overall straight-up record of 16-2 this season, the Chiefs have now won 25 of their last 27 games SU. They have a SU 10-game winning streak on the road. However, Kansas City is a costly 1-8-1 against the spread in its last 10 games overall.

Winning NFL Super Bowl Predictions

Tampa Bay is 7-2-1 ATS in its last 10 home games closing as an underdog. It has won its last seven games SU. The total has stayed UNDER in four of the Bucs’ last six home games.

While these two teams do not face one another all that much, Tampa Bay has a 7-2 edge ATS in the last nine meetings overall. It is 4-1 ATS in its last five home games against Kansas City.

Missed NFL Championship Sunday? Read our NFL game recaps.

About the Author

A big part of the services that my marketing company, Blue Pointe Advisors, LLC offers is written content for sports betting websites.  I have been working as a full-time sports betting writer for the past nine years following a previous career in the field of sales and marketing.

I consider myself extremely fortunate to be able to write about my true passion in life; the world of sports. I also enjoy concentrating the bulk of my pieces towards the betting angle in sports.

It is always a challenge to take past results and current form to try and correctly determine a future result. Sports brings out the unpredictability in what should be a fairly predictable outcome based on the stats, facts and recent trends in a particular matchup. The one thing that I have learned over the past decade or so is that when it comes to betting on sports there is no such thing as a lock.

The main objective with my writing style is to create insightful articles on a wide variety of sporting topics that can provide an edge to today's sophisticated online player. While there are times when my predictions fall well short of the actual outcome, I still enjoy trying to come up with a logical explanation to support my views on every pick I make.

My love of sports started a long time ago when I was just a kid growing up just outside Philadelphia. While I was a big Phillies, Flyers and 76ers fan, my number one team was always the Eagles. My dad was a season ticket holder from 1961 to 2002 and I would honestly say that he missed less than a handful of games than more than a few dismal seasons.

I was fortunate enough to go to a number of Eagles’ games back in the day including the 1980 NFC Championship when Wilbert Montgomery ran roughshod over the bitter rival Dallas Cowboys to lead Philly to their first appearance in a Super Bowl. Flash forward 40 years later and am I still celebrating the thrilling victory over New England in Super Bowl LVII. I know that my dad was smiling down on that one.