2021 NFL Super Bowl LV Opening Odds Analysis

Following 17 weeks of regular season games and three rounds of postseason matchups, the top team from each of the two NFL conferences will square off against one another in Super Bowl LV.

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The AFC went chalk with the Kansas City Chiefs winning their second-straight conference title as clear favorites. They are also the defending Super Bowl champs from last year.

The NFC title went to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as a wild card team. They needed three- straight victories on the road against lower seeds to punch their ticket to Super Bowl LV.

The matchup is set and the actual game will be played on Sunday, Feb. 7 at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa Bay. The Buccaneers are the first NFL team to ever play in a Super Bowl at their home stadium. As many as 22,000 fans are expected to attend the game. Game time on CBS is set for 6:30 p.m. (ET).

Super Bowl LV Opening Odds

The Oddsmakers opened Kansas City as a three-point favorite to win back-to-back Super Bowl titles even with Tampa Bay playing at home. The opening betting line for the total was set at 56.5 points.

The two week timeframe between the conference championship games and the Super Bowl gives bettors plenty of time to place their actual bets. However, the early money coming into the online books have already pushed that spread to 3.5 points. The extra half point makes Tampa Bay a bit more attractive if you are expecting a tight game.

The total line dipped a bit at certain online books to 56 points. With Patrick Mahomes at quarterback for the Chiefs and Tom Brady under center for Tampa Bay, most bettors are expecting a shootout that should result in a very active scoreboard.

Live NFL Super Bowl Odds

A third option for betting on this Super Bowl matchup is the money line for the straight-up winner. Kansas City opened at -170 with Tampa Bay set as a +145 underdog. Since then, you will find the Chiefs as high as -175 at a few online books. The Buccaneers have jumped to +155.

As a general betting strategy, you might want to wait on a money line bet for the Chiefs to see if that number goes down a bit. Getting Tampa Bay at +155 might be as high as it gets, so pulling the trigger now makes some betting sense.

Super Bowl LV Betting Trends

Looking at the recent past may provide some valuable insight into predicting future outcomes. Yet, betting trends tend to be a bit overrated in the general handicapping process. None the less, there are a few interesting ones surrounding this game.

With an overall straight-up record of 16-2 this season, the Chiefs have now won 25 of their last 27 games SU. They have a SU 10-game winning streak on the road. However, Kansas City is a costly 1-8-1 against the spread in its last 10 games overall.

Winning NFL Super Bowl Predictions

Tampa Bay is 7-2-1 ATS in its last 10 home games closing as an underdog. It has won its last seven games SU. The total has stayed UNDER in four of the Bucs’ last six home games.

While these two teams do not face one another all that much, Tampa Bay has a 7-2 edge ATS in the last nine meetings overall. It is 4-1 ATS in its last five home games against Kansas City.

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