The Coca-Cola 600 on Memorial Day weekend ended with Kyle Larson capping a dominating run of 327 laps led with his second win of the season. Larson entered the weekend as one of the favorites and he showed why. The next driver on the laps led list at Charlotte was Chase Elliott – and he only was out front for 22 treks around the track!
We may see that kind of performance again this weekend with the Save Mart 350 at Sonoma Raceway. It may come from Larson (+700) or Martin Truex Jr who comes in at +400. Truex has won the last two races at the track.
That’s great for Truex but the driver topping the favorites list is Elliott who has made it clear that he’s one of the best road course drivers NASCAR has seen. Since entering the Cup Series he’s racked up 12 career wins with six of them being on road courses.
His last road course win was only two weeks ago at COTA where he won a rain-shortened event. Regardless, it was another road course victory. Elliott comes in at +200 before the Toyota Save Mart 350 set for Sunday afternoon.
As for Larson, he’s started in the front spot in the last three races but only managed one top-ten finish. That’s a stat worth taking note of. Here are the betting favorites through +1200 to win the Toyota Save Mart 350 outright according to Intertops.
Chase Elliott +200
Martin Truex Jr +400
Kyle Larson +700
Kyle Busch +750
William Byron +1200
Denny Hamlin +1200
NASCAR Handicapping Statistics
2021 Toyota Save Mart 350 Preview
Date: Sunday, June 6, 2021, 4:00 pm EST
Track: Sonoma Raceway
Type: Road Course, asphalt, 2.52 miles, 12 turns.
Race Distance: 90 laps 217.48 miles, 350 km
Defending Track Winner: Martin Truex Jr.
TV/Radio: FS1 / MRN
2021 Toyota Save Mart 350 Predictions
Chase Elliott +200
It’s hard to pass on the active Cup series driver with the most wins on road courses. Half of Chase Elliott’s Cup wins have been on this type of track. He has a streak of four road course wins plus the two addition for a total of six. His four Cup Sonoma runs include top-five and top-ten finishes.
Joey Logano +1600
Joey Logano has already won this season and he’s had some good runs at Sonoma over his last ten trips to the track. That includes a win and a handful of top-five and top-ten runs. His laps finished stat over those ten races is something to consider. In his last ten races at Sonoma, he’s finished 1080 of 1082 laps.
Kevin Harvick +2000
Kevin Harvick should not be pushed too far down the list. According to NASCAR Fantasy stats, he’s one of the top active Cup Series drivers at Sonoma over the last ten races. That includes one win during those ten races as well as eight finishes inside the top-ten.
Others to Consider: Half of Kyle Busch’s last ten Sonoma races have ended with him inside the top ten five times. Four of those were inside of the top five. Busch comes in at +750. Ryan Blaney (+2000) has four Sonoma starts with two top-ten finishes and a third-place run in 2019.
Fantasy NASCAR Tips and Strategies
2021 Toyota Save Mart 350 Odds
Chase Elliott +200
Martin Truex Jr +400
Kyle Larson +700
Kyle Busch +750
William Byron +1200
Denny Hamlin +1200
Joey Logano +1600
Kevin Harvick +2000
Ryan Blaney +2000
Alex Bowman +2000
Brad Keselowski +2800
Christopher Bell +2800
Tyler Reddick +3300
Kurt Busch +5000
Michael McDowell +6600
Chase Briscoe +8000
Ross Chastain +8000
Matt Dibenedetto +8000
Chris Buescher +8000
Cole Custer +10000
Daniel Suarez +10000
Austin Dillon +12500
Erik Jones +15000
Ricky Stenhouse Jr +20000
Aric Almirola +20000
Ryan Newman +20000
Ryan Preece +25000
Darrell Wallace Jr. +25000
Corey Lajoie +50000
Anthony Alfredo +100000
Josh Bilicki +150000
Quinn Houff +150000
Cody Ware +150000
James Davison +150000
Garrett Smithley +150000
Sam Heckert +150000
Ben Rhodes +150000
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