2022 Tour de France Winner Odds

The 2022 Tour de France starts on July 1, not in France, but in Copenhagen, Denmark, with a time trial through the city centre. The race ends 23 days later in the traditional ride around Champs-Elysees in Paris, with the winner of the yellow jersey crowned as champion. Slovenian rider Tadej Pogacar will be back to go after a three-peat as multiple riders look to take him down.

This year’s tour takes the start that the 2021 ride was supposed to have, with three days in Denmark before riding through northern France. The stages continue through France, with mountain stages in the Vosges, Alps, and the Pyrenees. Included in these is a return to L’Alpe d’Huez and multiple summits finishes before a 40km time trial in the penultimate stage.

Pogacar The Favorite

Pogacar, 23, is the clear favorite to win the 2022 Tour de France, listed at -165 at BetOnline. A title this year would be his third yellow jersey in a row. Last year he finished more than five minutes ahead of Jonas Vingegaard with Richard Carapaz in third, 7:03 behind. In 2021 he snapped the yellow jersey from country-mate Primoz Roglic on the next-to-last stage and won by 59 seconds.

Pogacar has 2022 titles at the Tirreno-Adriatico,the UAE Tour and at Strade Bianche. He also took fourth at the Tour of Flanders and will ride in the Tour of Slovenia before the Tour de France.

Roglic, also from Slovenia, has the second-best odds at +250. He finished second in 2020 but withdrew after the eighth stage last year. He won the time trial at the Tokyo Olympics last summer and won the Paris-Nice race this year.

Vingegaard is next in the BetOnline Tour de France odds at +550. The Danish rider is Jumbo-Visma’s teammate with Roglic and has a title this year at La Drome Classic, and he finished behind Roglic at Tirreno-Adriatico.

Colombian Daniel Martinez rides for Ineos Grenadiers and is +1800 to win the Tour de France. He has two titles this year, including a Tour of the Basque Country and two other podium finishes.

His Ineos teammate Richard Carapaz is +2500, and the Ecuadorian is enjoying a great 2022 season. After finishing third at the Tour de France last year, Carapaz won the road race at the Olympics. This year he has a second-place finish at the Giro d’Italia and the Volta a Catalunya.

Geraint Thomas (+2500) has two podium finishes at the Tour de France with a 2018 title and a runner-up to Egan Bernal (+5000) a year later. Last year he slipped to 41st, and he doesn’t have a podium finish this year, but he and Bernal both ride with Martinez and Carapaz at Ineos.

Sleeper Options

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A sentimental favorite is 29-year-old French rider Julian Alaphilippe who rides for Quick-Step Alpha Vinyl at +5000. The two-time defending World Champion led the 2019 race until stage 19, finishing fifth. His last two Tours have been disappointing, but last year he became just the sixth rider to ever wear the yellow, green, polka dot, and white jerseys.

Wout van Aert is having a nice season on the UCI Tour, and he is also +5000 to win the Tour de France. The Belgian rider has two titles in 2022, plus he won the points classification at Paris-Nice and made the podium at both Paris-Roubaix and Liege-Bastogne-Liege. Van Aert also won two of the first five stages at the Criterium du Dauphine.

2022 Tour de France Betting Lines

Tadaj Pogacar -165

Primoz Roglic +250

Jonas Vingegaard +550

Daniel Martinez +1800

Geraint Thomas +2500

Richard Carapaz +2500

Enric Mas Nicolau +2800

Wout van Aert +5000

Jack Haig +5000

Julian Alaphilippe +5000

Egan Bernal +5000

Adam Yates +5000

Pavel Sivakov +6500

Nairo Quintana +6500

Mike Landa +6500

Joao Almeida +6500

Thibaut Pinot +6500

Alexey Lutsenko +8000

Mark Padun +8000

Miguel Angel Lopez +8000

David Gaudu +8000

Tom Dumoulin +8000

Sepp Kuss +10000

Chris Froome +10000

Rigoberto Uran +10000

Simon Yates +15000

Tom Pidcock +15000

About the Author
Kyle Parker
Kyle Parker
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Kyle’s goal is to break down games and betting performances with sharp, experience-backed analysis built on over 25 years in the industry. As a longtime bookie, oddsmaker, and line mover, he brings a unique perspective to every recap—highlighting key trends, standout plays, and what bettors can learn moving forward.