2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational Odds and Picks

After an exciting finish at the Honda Classic, you may not think that things could get any better. Well, the Arnold Palmer Invitational is next up for the PGA Tour and it now has a purse of 20 million bucks with Scottie Scheffler returning to defend his title! Joining Scheffler are the top two favorites heading into the opening round which are Jon Rahm and Rory McIlroy.

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If that sounds familiar it’s because these were the same three players that topped the odds list for this event last season. Rahm comes in as the favorite once again but at +600 with McIlroy at +900. And once again, Scottie Scheffler sits next in line at +1000.

Here are the top five favorites to win the 2023 Arnold Palmer Classic outright:

Jon Rahm +600

Rory McIlroy +900

Scottie Scheffler +1000

Max Homa +1800

Collin Morikawa +1800

As listed above, Max Homa and Collin Morikawa both come in at +1800 to round out the top of the favorites list. Last season the two additional top five favorites included Viktor Hovland and Hideki Matsuyama. Hovland comes in at +2800, but he may still be getting his swing back after a back injury that sidelined him some towards the end of last year. Hideki Matsuyama enters the opening round at +6000.

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2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational Preview

Where: Bay Hill, Florida

Course: Bay Hill Golf Club

Format: Stroke Play

Par: 72

Length: 7454

When: March 2 –5, 2023

Purse: $20 Million

TV Coverage: Golf Channel/NBC/Peacock/ESPN+

This course is one of the toughest on the PGA schedule and it can even be harder if the infamous Bay Hill winds get going. The event three years ago had the highest scoring average in a non-major in the last four PGA seasons at 2.17 strokes over par. One interesting fact is that this tournament has not ended in a playoff since 1999.

The course has some challenging holes including the No. 6 horseshoe par five with wraps around a lake. It’s always fun watching some players on youtube trying to drive the green over the water. However, Dechambeau is out – so we probably won’t see too much of that this time around.

Bay Hill is an iconic course with a traditional Florida look. It takes full advantage of the gently rolling terrain as rises in the course serve as additional obstacles to bunkers and water hazards. It’s always beautiful on TV.

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2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational Predictions

Scottie Scheffler +1000

Scottie Scheffler has played in nine events this season including the Presidents Cup which was a team win. In the other eight events, he has finished T12 or better seven times and has yet to miss a weekend. He won the Phoenix Open several weeks ago and carded the T12 at the Genisis. Scheffler is coming in with a strong game at a course where he racked up one of his wins last season. He’s 1 of 1 in title defenses.

Jason Day +2800

Jason Day is a past Champion here with his win in 2016 and he’s playing great golf as of late. He’s finished in the top ten in four of his last five outings with the outlier being a T18 at the American Express. He finished 5th at the Phoenix Open and was T9 at the Genesis. Day has missed the weekend twice this season but he’s finished T21 or better in nine of eleven tournaments played so far.

Chris Kirk +5000

Chris Kirk pulled out the win after a one-hole playoff last week at the Honda Classic. That was his first PGA Tour win in almost 7 years which included some tough personal issues. But he looked amazing last week and had a great short game going for most of the week. That type of play will be rewarded here.

Others I Like: I can’t stop thinking about two players. Will Zalatoris (+2000) has a nice style of play that should fit at Bay Hill if he’s healthy. I think he’s very close to being 100 percent. I’m also keeping an eye on rookie Eric Cole (+20000). He almost won last week against Kirk and it will be interesting to see how he shows after such an emotional finish.

PGA Statistics

2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Lines

Jon Rahm +600

Rory McIlroy +900

Scottie Scheffler +1000

Max Homa +1800

Collin Morikawa +1800

Will Zalatoris +2000

Justin Thomas +2000

Xander Schauffele +2200

Tony Finau +2200

Patrick Cantlay +2200

Jason Day +2800

Viktor Hovland +2800

Matt Fitzpatrick +3300

Sungjae Im +3300

Tyrrell Hatton +3300

Jordan Spieth +4000

Sam Burns +4000

Cameron Young +4000

Tom Kim +5000

Sahith Theegala +5000

Shane Lowry +5000

Chris Kirk +5000

Keith Mitchell +5000

Hideki Matsuyama +6000

Corey Conners +6600

Keegan Bradley +6600

Tommy Fleetwood +6600

Rickie Fowler +6600

Gary Woodland +8000

Adam Scott +8000

Adam Hadwin +8000

Seamus Power +8000

Billy Horschel +8000

Justin Rose +8000

Nick Taylor +10000

Wyndham Clark +10000

Taylor Montgomery +10000

Luke List +10000

Si-Woo Kim +10000

Aaron Wise +10000

Tom Hoge +10000

Lucas Herbert +12500

Alex Noren +12500

Christiaan Bezuidenhout +12500

Min Woo Lee +12500

Adrian Meronk +12500

Russell Henley +12500

Harris English +15000

Francesco Molinari +15000

Kyoung-Hoon Lee +15000

Sam Ryder +15000

Thomas Detry +15000

Ryan Fox +15000

Beau Hossler +15000

Brian Harman +15000

Taylor Moore +15000

Byeong-Hun An +15000

Patrick Rodgers +15000

Taylor Pendrith +15000

Sepp Straka +15000

JJ Spaun +17500

Cameron Davis +20000

Brendon Todd +20000

Kurt Kitayama +20000

Danny Willett +20000

Joel Dahmen +20000

Davis Riley +20000

Justin Suh +20000

Eric Cole +20000

Andrew Putnam +20000

Adam Svensson +20000

Hayden Buckley +25000

Lee Hodges +25000

Emiliano Grillo +25000

Robby Shelton +25000

Ben Taylor +25000

Scott Stallings +25000

Ludvig Aberg +25000

Joseph Bramlett +25000

Alex Smalley +25000

David Lipsky +25000

Garrick Higgo +25000

Davis Thompson +25000

Ben Griffin +25000

S.H. Kim +25000

Nick Hardy +30000

Trey Mullinax +30000

Adam Schenk +30000

Aaron Rai +30000

Mackenzie Hughes +30000

Padraig Harrington +30000

Will Gordon +30000

Patton Kizzire +30000

Zach Johnson +30000

Ryan Palmer +30000

Matthew Nesmith +30000

Peter Malnati +30000

Kevin Kisner +30000

Webb Simpson +30000

Martin Laird +30000

David Lingmerth +30000

Charley Hoffman +30000

Luke Donald +50000

Kevin Streelman +50000

Greyson Sigg +50000

Stewart Cink +50000

Chez Reavie +50000

Lucas Glover +50000

Justin Lower +50000

Cole Hammer +50000

Callum Tarren +50000

Pierceson Coody +50000

Troy Merritt +50000

Aaron Baddeley +50000

Thriston Lawrence +50000

Ryan Brehm +100000

Tyson Alexander +100000

Kyle Westmoreland +100000

Kamaiu Johnson +200000

Greg Koch +200000