It’s time for THE PLAYERS Championship at TPC Sawgrass and the Players Stadium Course at Ponte Vedra Beach, Florida. The event comes after a string of exciting finishes on the PGA Tour, it has a $25 million dollar purse and an all-star field. One thing it won’t have is a defending champion, as Cameron Smith has moved to the exhibition-style LivGolf series.
This will be one of the toughest fields of the season following a packed field last week. Like last week, Jon Rahm comes in as one of the favorites along with Rory McIlroy. Both enter the opening round at +400 with Scottie Scheffler at +440 giving us essentially three favorites outright.
There’s not much daylight between players as you go through the rest of the odds list. Here are the favorites to win THE PLAYERS Championship outright:
Jon Rahm +400
Rory McIlroy +400
Scottie Scheffler +440
Justin Thomas +600
Patrick Cantlay +600
Max Homa +600
The odds list is pretty tight behind Rahm as it includes two players that have won THE PLAYERS recently. That’s Justin Thomas who won in 2021 and McIlroy who took the title in 2019. This event was skipped in 2020 due to COVID.
There are also other former PLAYERS champs down the odds list such as Jason Day at +800, Si Woo Im at +900, and Rickie Fowler who comes in at +1100. Like I said this week the field is bunched together.
2023 Players Championship Preview
Where: Ponte Vedra Beach, Florida
Course: TPC Sawgrass/ Players Stadium Course
Format: Stroke Play
Par: 72
Length: 7189
When: March 9 –12, 2022
Purse: $25 Million
TV Coverage: NBC, Golf, Peacock, ESPN+, SiriusXM
TPC Sawgrass Stadium Course is one of Florida’s premier courses and its Island green is well known to all PGA fans. TPC Sawgrass will not be as difficult as Bay Hill was last week when it comes to wind and the rough, but there will be some gusts blowing and a chance for wet weather, especially on Friday. The weekend should be in the 70s and great for play. Sawgrass features narrow fairways, water hazards including marshes, and bunkers placed around every landing area. There’s not a lot of mercy given to wayward approach shots.
2023 Players Championship Predictions
Scottie Scheffler +440
Scottie Scheffler looked to be in good form for much of the Arnold Palmer Invitational but missed several opportunities to grab the win. He was not alone as putting became an issue with several players during the final few holes. Scheffler is now 4th in FedEx points and No. 2 on the OWGR. He’s not missed the weekend any this season and he’s riding a streak of T12 or better, six finishes inside the top ten, and his win a few weeks ago at the Phoenix Open.
Tony Finau +660
Tony Finau has not had the best luck at TPC Sawgrass and this event as he’s 2 for 6 overall with a best finish of T22. However, he’s been on a roll for several months and finished off last season with a string of wins and has already won this season. Finau has had a stronger short game and putter since his last visit here and is now 13th on the OWGR and 8th in FedEx Cup points. He’s also first on Tour ins scrambling from the fringe and 2nd on 125-150 approaches which are important at TPC Sawgrass.
Shane Lowry +1000
Shane Lowry didn’t look to be at his best last week at the Arnold Palmer Invitational where he carded a 67th finish with three rounds in the 70s and an 80 on Friday. All of that aside, Lowry was T5 at the Honda Classic and T14 at the Genesis Invitational. Lowry has been known for solid play and as a good player when it comes to scrambling. If he can get his putter going this week he should be around on Sunday.
Others I Like: Rory McIlroy (+400) has seemingly been the favorite for weeks but has seemed a bit off except for a DP World Tour win. He seems to be struggling with his driver and long irons at times with a lot of shots off the fairway. And, he’s finished 10th or worse in four of his last five outings. Rickie Fowler (+1100) won this tournament in 2015 and seems to be getting his game back on track. He’s moved to 21 st in FedEx points and is now No. 71 st on the OWGR. Much better than No 167 back in August.
2023 Players Championship Betting Lines
Jon Rahm +400
Rory McIlroy +400
Scottie Scheffler +440
Justin Thomas +600
Patrick Cantlay +600
Max Homa +600
Xander Schauffele +660
Collin Morikawa +660
Tony Finau +660
Viktor Hovland +700
Will Zalatoris +800
Jordan Spieth +800
Matt Fitzpatrick +800
Tyrrell Hatton +800
Jason Day +800
Cameron Young +900
Sungjae Im +900
Tom Kim +900
Shane Lowry +1000
Keegan Bradley +1000
Rickie Fowler +1100
Keith Mitchell +1200
Si-Woo Kim +1200
Sam Burns +1320
Corey Conners +1320
Tommy Fleetwood +1320
Adam Scott +1320
Chris Kirk +1320
Harris English +1320
Kurt Kitayama +1320
Hideki Matsuyama +1400
Sahith Theegala +1400
Seamus Power +1400
Justin Rose +1400
Alex Noren +1400
Taylor Montgomery +1600
Brian Harman +1600
Adam Hadwin +1600
Jhonattan Vegas +1600
Matt Kuchar +1600
Tom Hoge +1800
Billy Horschel +1800
Aaron Wise +1800
Gary Woodland +2000
Min Woo Lee +2000
Russell Henley +2000
Maverick McNealy +2000
Thomas Detry +2000
Wyndham Clark +2000
Luke List +2000
Christiaan Bezuidenhout +2000
Denny McCarthy +2000
Sepp Straka +2000
Lucas Herbert +2000
Francesco Molinari +2000
Kyoung-Hoon Lee +2000
Taylor Pendrith +2000
Andrew Putnam +2000
Emiliano Grillo +2000
Taylor Moore +2000
Danny Willett +2000
Webb Simpson +2000
Aaron Rai +2000
Ryan Fox +2000
Nick Taylor +2000
Davis Riley +2000
Doug Ghim +2000
Brendon Todd +2000
Stephan Jaeger +2000
Beau Hossler +2000
Adam Svensson +2000
Justin Suh +2000
Russell Knox +2500
JT Poston +2500
Patrick Rodgers +2500
Scott Stallings +2500
JJ Spaun +2500
Lanto Griffin +2500
Ben Griffin +2500
Sam Ryder +2500
Eric Cole +2500
Lee Hodges +2500
Cameron Davis +2500
Davis Thompson +2500
Mackenzie Hughes +2500
Dylan Frittelli +2500
Seong-Hyeon Kim +2500
Ben Martin +2500
Brandon Wu +2500
Martin Laird +2500
Ryan Palmer +2500
Matt Wallace +2500
Trey Mullinax +2500
Tyler Duncan +2500
Robby Shelton +2500
Adam Schenk +2500
Byeong-Hun An +3000
Joel Dahmen +3000
Will Gordon +3000
Joseph Bramlett +3000
Nick Hardy +3000
Hayden Buckley +3000
Garrick Higgo +3000
Kevin Kisner +3000
Matthew Nesmith +3000
Adam Long +3000
David Lipsky +3000
Patton Kizzire +3000
Kramer Hickok +3000
Alex Smalley +3000
Nate Lashley +3000
Mark Hubbard +3500
Scott Piercy +3500
Kevin Streelman +3500
Dylan Wu +3500
Peter Malnati +3500
Chesson Hadley +4000
Matthias Schwab +4000
Erik Barnes +4000
Troy Merritt +4000
Stewart Cink +4000
Harrison Endycott +4000
David Lingmerth +4000
Lucas Glover +4000
James Hahn +4000
Justin Lower +4000
Doc Redman +4000
Ryan Armour +4000
Andrew Novak +4000
Michael Thompson +4000
Greyson Sigg +4000
Kevin Tway +4000
Aaron Baddeley +4000
Callum Tarren +4000
Robert Streb +5000
Austin Smotherman +5000
Kelly Kraft +5000
Chez Reavie +5000
Ryan Brehm +6000
Chad Ramey +7000
Tyson Alexander +7000
Nick Watney +7000
Max McGreevy +7000
Jerry Kelly +7000