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It is a fact that some pitchers absolutely “own” some hitters and vice versa, and it is with that in mind that we approach one of our favorite baseball propositions – who’ll get a hit (or even more than one). Read our MLB total bases props betting guide.
On this particular day, we’ll concentrate on hitters who we think will fall short of the mark facing pitchers who have experienced some success against them.
And remember that you can bet a plethora of baseball props all day long.
Bet the Under on These Five MLB Player Props
Twins vs. White Sox Predictions
MLB Hits Props Odds: Andrelton Simmons Over 0.5 (-165) / Under 0.5 (+125)
The Play: UNDER 0.5 (+125)
Well, let’s put it this way – we figure the longer Dallas Keuchel stays in the game, the worse the chances are that the “over” is going to cash.
Simmons, who has 1120 career base hits, can’t seem to get to first base against the former Cy Young winner. And we mean that, almost completely. In 20 lifetime plate appearances against Keuchel, he’s got one hit and one walk to show for it. All told, a .053 batting average and .153 OPS.
We should note that Simmons has struck out only once in all those appearances, so he’ll put the ball in play. Keuchel, who’s allowed nine runs on 15 hits in 12-2/3 innings against the Twins this season. So there’s some hope if you’re looking strongly at the Simmons side. Keuchel has pitched to a .288 BAbip (Batting Average on Balls in Play), which is a bit better than average.
MLB Hits Props Odds: Miguel Sano Over 0.5 (-165) / Under 0.5 (+125)
The Play: UNDER 0.5 (+125)
You and I both know that Sano can hit the ball a long way. But in 24 PA’s lifetime against Keuchel, he has one walk and four hits, none of which have gone for extra bases.
Perhaps we should also point out that since the beginning of last season, Sano is hitting exactly .200. If you want encouragement, then point to the fact that he has had two hits in four of his last 15 games.
Mariners vs. Rockies Predictions
MLB Hits Props Odds: CJ Cron Under 1.5 (-225) / Over 1.5 (+185)
The Play: UNDER 1.5 (-225)
The only player in the Colorado lineup with whom Marco Gonzales has any notable history is CJ Cron, who has just one hit in 13 career plate appearances against him. And although Cron’s OPS is much better at Coors Field than it is on the road (.946 to .682), it’s not like he has completely gotten Coors Fever, as his batting average at home is .273 (remember, batting average is what’s most important here). Two hits or more would be a stretch.
MLB Hits Props Odds: Mike Zunino Over 0.5 (-140) / Under 0.5 (+100)
The Play: UNDER 0.5 (+100)
The guy John Means really would have had to worry about in this game was Mike Brosseau, the guy who plays all over the place in the infield for the Rays, and who absolutely owns him. Brosseau is 5-for-11 lifetime against Means, with four homers and six RBI.
But Brosseau is out of action at the moment with an oblique strain. So then we turn our attention to who might NOT be so worrisome, and the answer is Mike Zunino, who is 0-for-7 with five K’s against Means.
Zunino, who was named to the All-Star team for the American League, has 19 homers but is batting just .196. Half of his hits have been home runs. And if O’s manager Brandon Hyde can work the matchups right, he’ll avoid putting Zunino against the one or two relief pitcher against whom he has done any damage.
MLB Hits Props Odds: Orlando Arcia Over 0.5 (-160) / Under 0.5 (+120)
The Play: UNDER 0.5 (+120)
Well, to use some perspective, out of all of today’s participants, Arcia is the one who’s had the most lifetime plate appearances against the opposing starter without any hits. In Arcia’s case, he is 0-for-11 with six strikeouts and a walk against Darvish.
Arcia only has ten hits this season. Darvish is averaging a little less than six innings per start, and has done well enough to be named to the National League All-Star team (7-3, 3.09 ERA, 1.000 WHIP). Last year, of course, he was runner-up in the NL Cy Young voting.
