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Aaron Judge continues to lead the majors with 38 home runs. In the last seven days, Judge has hit five homers and driven in 12 runs. He will be in action tonight when the Yankees take on the Kansas City Royals.
Kyle Schwarber (31) trails Judge by seven dingers. The Phillies slugger has hit two homers in the last seven days and he will be in action tonight when Philadelphia takes on in-state rival Pittsburgh.
Will these two sluggers continue their domination of the long ball? Here is a look at the top MLB home run props picks for Thursday, July 28th 2022.
Freddie Freeman – OVER 0.5 HRs (+360)
Freeman has really been pouring it on over the last 21 games. The Dodgers are 17-4 in those games and Freeman has at least one hit in 18 of them. Freeman has at least two total bases in seven of his last 10 games and tonight he goes up against a familiar pitcher – Jose Urena.
In his career, Freeman is 14-for-34 with four doubles, four home runs, and a triple. His exit velocity against Urena is 97 mph, which gives Freeman an xBA of .417. Bottom line is that Freeman has had success against Urena. He’ll enjoy it again tonight.
Shohei Ohtani – OVER 0.5 HRs. (+380)
Ohtani will pitch tonight, but he also will go up against Rangers right-hander Spencer Howard. He is 1-2 this season with a whopping 7.11 ERA. That ERA is even worse when Howard pitches on the road (10.54).
Ohtani has 21 homers this season. He has hit two over the last seven days, his last one coming on Tuesday in a win over the Royals. Ohtani hasn’t had many opportunities against Howard, but he is 3-for- 5 against him in his career.
Ohtani has a .922 OPS and 17 home runs against right-handed pitching this season.
Aaron Judge – OVER 0.5 HRs (+175)
We all know Judge is the MLB home run leader. What we might not know is that Judge really likes the Kansas City Royals. In a two-game series against the Royals way back at the end of April and beginning of May, Judge hit three home runs. On May 1, he had a two-home run games against Kansas City.
Tonight, Judge will face Royals pitcher Brady Singer. He doesn’t have a large sample size, but Judge is 3- for-5 against Singer in his career. With the way Judge has been seeing the ball, tonight’s the night. Judge has hit at least one home run in four of the Yankees last six games.
Kyle Schwarber – OVER 0.5 HRs (+225)
Schwarber has eight homers for the month of July, his most recent coming on Tuesday in a loss to Atlanta. The Phillies haven’t faced the Pirates yet this year. Schwarber will go up against Pittsburgh right- hander Zach Thompson (3-7, 4.64).
Thompson gave up eight earned runs in his last start against Miami. He didn’t allow a home run, but he did allow at least one dinger in four straight starts from June 11 to July 9. Thompson has given up 13 home runs this season. Schwarber is due to make it 14.
