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The best home run hitters in baseball typically have a home run rate of 10 percent. Aaron Judge of the Yankees continues to lead the majors in home runs with 29.
Judge has 283 at-bats this season giving him a home run rate of 10.2 percent. In Judge’s last game against the Astros, it was his walk-off homer that gave the Yankees a 6-3 win.
Will Judge homer today? Here’s a look at the best MLB home run props picks for Thursday, June 30, 2022.
Julio Rodriguez – OVER 0.5 HRs (+440)
Rodriguez has been hitting the ball very well as of late. He’s 11-for-34 with four home runs and eight RBIs since last Tuesday. He homered last night in a 9-3 win over the Baltimore Orioles.
The last time Rodriguez homered he did so in consecutive games. He hit one on Friday night and then again on Saturday night against the Angels.
He’s batting .272 and has 12 homers and 38 RBIs for the season. Rodriguez will go up against Oakland pitcher Adrian Martinez who has exactly one start this season.
Martinez pitched 5.1 innings and didn’t allow a run against Detroit back in early May. That was Detroit though, the worst offensive team in baseball.
Cody Bellinger – OVER 0.5 HRs (+480)
Bellinger has struggled for the most part this season. He’s batting just .212, but he may be starting to turn a corner. Over his last four games, Bellinger is 4-for-16 with a home run and two RBIs.
Tonight, he will go up against San Diego ace Joe Musgrove. The Padres pitcher is 8-1 on the season with a 2.12 ERA. He doesn’t give up many runs, however, he was tagged for six in his last game against the Phillies.
In that game, Musgrove gave up not one, but two home runs. It was also the second consecutive game in which Musgrove gave up a homer.
Dansby Swanson – OVER 0.5 HRs (+385)
Over the last seven days, Swanson is 8-for-27 with three home runs and five RBIs. He now has 13 dingers for the season along with 43 RBIs. He’s batting .295 as well.
Swanson will go up against Philadelphia starter Aaron Nola who is 4-5 with a 2.98 ERA this season. Nola is coming of a seven-inning performance where he allowed just one run and struck out 10 against the Padres.
Nola has only given up one home run in June and that was back on June 1. For the season, Nola has allowed 10 homers.
Swanson is 9-for-42 with one home run against Nola in his career.
Aaron Judge – OVER 0.5 HRs (+240)
As mentioned above, Judge leads the majors in homers with 29. He hit one last night against Oakland. Prior to that homer, it was his walk-off homer that beat Houston, the team Judge will face tonight.
Judge will start against Luis Garcia (5-5, 3.68) who has pitched well for Houston; however, he has given up five home runs over his last four starts. In a loss to Miami on June 10, Garcia gave up three home runs.
