The rain-delayed Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 500 at Texas Motor Speedway is in the books and Kyle Busch finally won a race this season. Busch’s win did little shake up the NASCAR Cup Series Playoffs heading into the final elimination race at Martinsville. And it didn’t influence oddsmakers on who will win at Martinsville. Martin Truex Jr comes in as the lone favorite at +310.
Truex has won the last two races at the famed short track in Virginia. A win this weekend will push him over the cutline and onto the list of the final for drivers racing for the Cup Series Championship next week at Phoenix.
Following behind Truex is a nice group of drivers representing all three manufactures in the Series. Chase Elliott is the lone Chevrolet driver (at +850 and below) favored to win with the rest being Toyotas and Fords.
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As mentioned above, Kyle Busch won at Texas but he was eliminated from the Championship Playoffs during the last round. But the win did help move Busch back up the favorites list as he’s bunched in with Kevin Harvick and Joey Logano at +850. Here are the favorites according to Intertops.
Martin Truex Jr +310
Brad Keselowski +525
Denny Hamlin +550
Chase Elliott +750
Kevin Harvick +850
Kyle Busch +850
Joey Logano +850
Championship Playoff Drivers:
Not much changed after the Texas race as the remaining eight drivers in the NASCAR Cup Series Playoffs hold the same spots. Logano was locked in due to his win in this round. Martinsville is the last race in this round and four drivers will be eliminated. The remaining four will race for the Championship next week at Phoenix.
1. Joey Logano
2. Kevin Harvick
3. Denny Hamlin
4. Brad Keselowski
Cutoff Line:
5. Chase Elliott
6. Alex Bowman
7. Martin Truex Jr
8. Kurt Busch
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2020 Xfinity 500 Preview
Track: Martinsville Speedway, Ridgeway, Virginia
Type: Oval, 0.526 miles, asphalt
Turns: 4
Banking: Turns; 12°. Straights; 0°
Race Distance: 263 miles, 500 laps
Defending Track Winner: Martin Truex Jr.
TV/Radio: NBCSN / MRN / PRN
Start Time: Sunday, November 1, at 2:00 PM Eastern
2020 Xfinity 500 Picks
Kevin Harvick +850
Kevin Harvick’s lone win at Martinsville came in 2011 and it’s not considered one of his best tracks. However, this is a playoff cutoff race and only four drivers move forward. Harvick has a small advantage in points and a solid run could secure his advancement. But a win would cement it! And He’s not as bad as people say at Martinsville. Over the last ten races at the track, he’s finished in the top-ten six times.
Denny Hamlin +550
Denny Hamlin has won five times at Martinsville Speedway. Everything I said about Harvick above also applies to Hamlin – last chance of a win to move on. Hamlin has finished in the top-five 15 times and 21 times in the top-ten. He’s only had two DNFs at Martinsville out of 29 Cup Series starts.
Ryan Blaney +900
Ryan Blaney has four top-five finishes in his last six races at Martinsville. At the last Martinsville race, he finished second, and the race before that he came across the line in the fifth spot. Blaney seems to have figured something out about the Virginia racetrack.
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Others I like
Martin Truex Jr and Chase Elliott: I like both Martin Truex Jr and Chase Elliott at Martinsville but hiccups over the last few races have put a seed of doubt in my mind. They both need 100% perfect runs to score the win this weekend because coming back from a mistake is hard to do at Martinsville.
One Fantasy Driver
Here’s the guy I round out my fantasy team with this week – Bubba Wallace! NASCAR stats show that Darrel Wallace Jr has scored a bunch of points at Martinsville over the last two races at the track. There may not be too many passing points on the fantasy side at Martinsville, but the Wallace stats shows that he’s managed to finish stages well.
2020 Xfinity 500 Odds
Bet on the 2020 Xfinity 500 at the BetOnline Sportsbook or Americas Bookie.
Martin Truex Jr +310
Brad Keselowski +525
Denny Hamlin +550
Chase Elliott +750
Kevin Harvick +850
Kyle Busch +850
Joey Logano +850
Ryan Blaney +900
Alex Bowman +2000
Kurt Busch +2500
William Byron +3000
Clint Bowyer +3300
Jimmie Johnson +3500
Erik Jones +6000
Matt Dibenedetto +6000
Aric Almirola +7500
Austin Dillon +7500
Tyler Reddick +8000
Christopher Bell +10000
Cole Custer +15000
Ryan Newman +15000
Matt Kenseth +20000
Ricky Stenhouse +25000
Darrell Wallace Jr +30000
John Hunter Nemechek +30000
Chris Buescher +40000
Ty Dillon +50000
Brennan Poole +50000
Michael McDowell +100000
Ryan Preece +100000
Daniel Suarez +100000
J.J. Yeley +100000
Josh Bilicki +150000
James Davison +150000
Timmy Hill +150000
Quinn Houff +150000
Corey Lajoie +150000
Joey Gase +150000
