The John Deere Classic was one of the 2020 tournaments shuttered last year by COVID-19. Thankfully the event has made a return to the schedule! And, this is setting up to be a week where a possible value pick pulls off the win on Sunday similar to last week with Cameron Davis.
Davis won the Rocket Mortgage Classic last week in an extended playoff – it was his first PGA Tour victory. Davis, and others, pushed the players at the top of the favorites list to the side and it could happen again this week as the John Deere Classic field is lacking some of the Tour’s heavy hitters as players gear up for the upcoming British Open.
That opens the door for Daniel Berger to be the lone favorite at +900 with Brian Harman and Sunjae Im right behind him at +1400. Harman won this event in 2014 when he went 22 under for a one-stroke win over Zach Johnson who falls down the list of favorites into a value position of +4000.
Here are the favorites through +1600 to win the 2021 John Deere Championship outright according to Intertops.
Daniel Berger +900
Brian Harman +1400
Sungjae Im +1400
Russell Henley +1600
Kevin Streelman +2000
Tips for Picking a PGA Tournament Winner
2021 John Deere Classic Preview
Where: Silvis, Illinois
Course: TPC Deere Run
Format: Stroke Play
Par: 71
Length: 7,257
When: July 8-11, 2021
Purse: $6.2 Million.
TV Coverage: CBS/Golf Channel/PGA Live
There are going to be some monster drives off the tee at TPC Deere Run, you can expect some loud smacks coming from the CBS and Golf Channel microphones. The course lends itself to long drives that settle in open landing zones. The idea is to get past the terrain areas of natural rough. Second shots are where things start to get tight.
The course is not overly tough (for Tour Professionals) but does have some well-protected greens and fairways that drain into deep areas of the rolling terrain. Missing the fairway means trouble in deep rough areas, a well-groomed mini valley, or bunkers.
Many of the greens are elevated with a few false fronts and plenty of side bunkers. The flip side is that once on the green putters should become hot. Water only comes into play a few times and when it does it swallows golf balls. The course finishes with water along the left side of the green on No. 18.
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2021 John Deere Classic Best Bets
Sungjae Im +1400
Sungjae Im carded a T26 here in 2019 after a slight tumble down the board on the weekend. But his game, especially for TPC Deere Run, has been more on point since then. Im came close to winning a green jacket at the Masters where he finished T2 and he T5 at the Tournament of Champions. He’s now sitting at No. 28 on the World Golf Rankings list.
Zach Johnson +4000
Zach Johnson has played this course many times and picked up a John Deere win in 2012. Since then he’s shown plenty of inconsistency on Tour but always seems to play well here. He’s finished in the top ten seven times including three in second place. He came back from missing the cut at the U.S. Open to finish in the top 25 at the Travelers.
Beau Hossler +6600
Beau Hossler has only shown his power and accuracy a few times this year as he’s battled with the cut many times this season. He’s failed to move onto the weekend nine times in 2021. That being said, things have started to click – his last three events include a T19, T10, and T25 respectively. His game is well suited for TPC Deere Run.
Others: Steve Stricker (+5000) has a Legends win this year and has won this event three times in the past with the latest being in 2011. Daniel Berger (+900) is the favorite coming in as expected and warranted, but due to the nature of the field, I’m looking for more value down the favorites list.
2021 John Deere Classic Odds
Daniel Berger +900
Brian Harman +1400
Sungjae Im +1400
Russell Henley +1600
Kevin Streelman +2000
Cameron Davis +2800
Alex Noren +2800
Si-Woo Kim +3300
Seamus Power +3300
Kevin Na +4000
Troy Merritt +4000
Maverick McNealy +4000
Patton Kizzire +4000
Zach Johnson +4000
Aaron Wise +4000
Ryan Moore +4000
Doug Ghim +5000
Lucas Glover +5000
Kyle Stanley +5000
Jhonattan Vegas +5000
Hank Lebioda +5000
Doc Redman +5000
Steve Stricker +5000
Harold Varner III +5000
Charles Howell III +6600
Sebastian Munoz +6600
Beau Hossler +6600
Richy Werenski +6600
Chez Reavie +6600
JT Poston +6600
Tom Lewis +6600
Sepp Straka +6600
Patrick Rodgers +6600
Erik Van Rooyen +6600
Dylan Frittelli +6600
Pat Perez +6600
Scott Stallings +8000
Kramer Hickok +8000
Mito Pereira +8000
Luke List +8000
Henrik Norlander +8000
Keith Mitchell +8000
C T Pan +10000
Mark Hubbard +10000
Bo Hoag +10000
Andrew Putnam +10000
Scott Piercy +10000
Brice Garnett +10000
Roger Sloan +10000
Brandon Hagy +12500
Michael Thompson +12500
Matthew Nesmith +12500
Nick Taylor +12500
Chesson Hadley +12500
Ryan Armour +12500
Brian Stuard +12500
Denny McCarthy +12500
Tyler Duncan +12500
Martin Laird +12500
Hudson Swafford +12500
Sam Ryder +12500
Vincent Whaley +12500
Robert Streb +12500
Byeong-Hun An +12500
Jim Herman +12500
Satoshi Kodaira +12500
Vaughn Taylor +12500
Danny Lee +12500
Cameron Champ +12500
Rory Sabbatini +15000
Rafael Cabrera Bello +15000
Joseph Bramlett +15000
Ben Martin +15000
John Huh +15000
Harry Higgs +15000
Adam Schenk +15000
Andrew Landry +15000
Bronson Burgoon +15000
Mark Anderson +15000
Adam Long +15000
Cameron Percy +20000
Will Gordon +20000
Jason Dufner +20000
Wes Roach +20000
JJ Spaun +20000
Sean O'Hair +20000
Bill Haas +20000
Fabian Gomez +20000
Anirban Lahiri +20000
Scott Brown +20000
Kevin Tway +20000
J.B. Holmes +20000
Peter Malnati +20000
Chase Seiffert +20000
Camilo Villegas +25000
Josh Teater +25000
Aaron Baddeley +25000
Chris Baker +25000
Austin Cook +25000
Andres Romero +25000
Bo Van Pelt +25000
Sung Kang +25000
Kristoffer Ventura +25000
Rob Oppenheim +25000
Robby Shelton +25000
Rhein Gibson +25000
Michael Gellerman +30000
Ted Potter +30000
Johnson Wagner +30000
David Lingmerth +30000
Jonas Blixt +30000
Jonathan Byrd +30000
Michael Gligic +30000
George McNeill +35000
Scott Harrington +40000
Sebastian Cappelen +40000
David Hearn +40000
Brian Gay +40000
Zack Sucher +40000
Alex Schaake +40000
Grayson Murray +40000
Sang Moon Bae +40000
Rafael Campos +40000
Ryan Brehm +40000
Nelson Ledesma +40000
Martin Trainer +40000
Ricky Barnes +50000
Ben Taylor +50000
Ryan Blaum +50000
Shawn Stefani +50000
Nick Watney +50000
Luke Kluver +50000
Tripp Kinney +50000
K J Choi +50000
D J Trahan +50000
Greg Chalmers +50000
Dominic Bozzelli +50000
Willie Mack +50000
Kevin Stadler +50000
Michael Kim +50000
Michael Feagles +50000
Charlie Beljan +50000
David Perkins +50000
Chad Proehi +50000
John Senden +50000
Hunter Mahan +50000
Matt Every +50000
Mark Wilson +50000
Jason Bohn +75000
D.A. Points +100000
Harrison Frazar +100000
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