Super Bowl LXI is on Sunday, February 14, 2027, at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, California, two weeks after the AFC and NFC Championship Games on January 31. The last one went to the Seattle Seahawks, who beat the New England Patriots 29-13 at Levi’s Stadium on February 8, 2026.
Seattle closed as a 4.5-point favorite with a total of 45.5, so the favorite covered and the game went under by 3.5 points. New England did not score until the fourth quarter. This guide covers how the game is bet, which numbers are worth reading before it, and how to size and protect a wager.
How the Super Bowl is bet
Betting the Super Bowl works the same way as betting any NFL game. The difference is volume: books post far more markets for this one game than for a regular-season Sunday, most of them props.
- Moneyline: pick the winner. Seattle was -230 against New England’s +190 in Super Bowl LX, so $230 on Seattle won $100 and $100 on New England would have won $190.
- Point spread: the favorite has to win by more than the number. At -4.5, Seattle needed to win by 5 or more, and it won by 16.
- Total: bet whether the two teams combine for more or fewer points than the line. The 45.5 total lost to the under at 42.
- Props: bets on something inside the game rather than its result, such as a player’s yards, the first team to score or the MVP. Our Super Bowl prop betting guide and the general prop betting guide cover them.
- Parlays: two or more bets tied into one ticket. Every leg has to win, which is why the payout is bigger.
- Futures: a bet on the champion, placed before the matchup is set.
- Live bets: prices that move during the game, drive by drive.
If odds are new to you, start with how betting odds work. A price of -230 implies a 69.7% chance and +190 implies 34.5%; the two add up to more than 100% because the book keeps a margin.
The numbers worth reading first
A season of box scores tells you less than a few rate stats do. On offense, EPA (expected points added) values each play by how much it changed a team’s scoring chances given the down, distance and field position. Success rate is the share of plays that gain at least 50% of the yards needed on first down, 70% on second and all of them on third or fourth.
On defense, the same two numbers work in reverse: EPA allowed per play and success rate allowed. Points allowed per drive is the simplest of the three and still one of the most useful, because it strips out pace. DVOA, the defense-adjusted value over average, compares every play to the league average and adjusts for the opponent.
For props, look at the player numbers that match the bet. Yards after catch shows which receivers create yards on their own. Completion percentage over expected (CPOE) measures a quarterback’s accuracy against the difficulty of his throws. Red zone touchdown rate and third-down conversion rate decide a lot of first-scorer and total-touchdown markets.
Futures: when to bet the champion
A Super Bowl future is a long bet, placed months before anyone knows who will play. A price of +1000 implies a 9.1% chance and +2000 implies 4.8%, and a futures bet is worth making only when you rate a team’s chance higher than the price does. Our Super Bowl odds page tracks the board through the season.
Prices move with results. A contender that starts 0-2 will usually drift out, and a team that wins early will shorten, so the same team can be a better or worse bet in October than in August. Money tied up in a future also sits idle until February 14.
How much to stake, and when to hedge
The simplest staking rule is a fixed share of your bankroll on every bet. At 2% of $10,000, each bet is $200. If the bankroll grows to $12,000 the stake rises to $240, and if it falls to $8,000 it drops to $160, so a losing run shrinks your bets instead of your options. Our guide to what a unit is in betting goes further.
A hedge is a second bet against your first one, placed later at a new price, to lock in part of a win. Say you hold a future on a team at +1000 for $100, and it reaches the Super Bowl as a 3-point underdog at +130. A bet of about $478 on the other side at -130 wins about $368 if your team loses, and your ticket pays $1,000 if it wins, so you come out ahead $268 or more either way. The cost is most of the upside. The hedge bet guide works through more cases.
The biggest winning Super Bowl bets at one book
Bovada has published a list of the biggest winning Super Bowl bets placed with it. Its largest payout was $70,000 on a $12,727 bet that Kyle Juszczyk would score a touchdown in the Super Bowl after the 2019 season, between the Chiefs and the 49ers.
Most of its list comes from one game. The Patriots beat the Rams 13-3 in Super Bowl LIII on February 3, 2019, and by Bovada’s account a $500 bet on the combined score landing between 0 and 20 paid $25,000, and a $450 bet on New England by exactly 10 paid $11,250. A $500 bet on the Super Bowl 50 MVP returned $10,000.
Where to go from here
Our NFL predictions hub lists the games we have called this week. Each team has its own page under NFL teams, and NFL game results has the scores. For paid picks, see our buy picks page or the handicapper plans.
If you want to compare the people selling picks, the SportsHub leaderboard ranks its members, and you can sign up with SportsHub to follow the ones you pick.