Alabama at Mississippi State Best Pick, Prediction and Odds

No. 8 Alabama visits No. 24 Mississippi State on Saturday 3 October, at Davis Wade Stadium in Starkville, with kickoff at 12:00 AM ET. Alabama opened as a 3-point favorite. Rankings are from the AP poll for week 4.

This is the early page for the game: what is already known. Our full prediction, with the call and the numbers behind it, goes up on this page before kickoff.

The two teams in 2026, through 23 September

Alabama is 3-0 this season, 1-0 in the Southeastern Conference. Most recently it beat Florida State 50-36 at home on 19 September. It has scored 47.7 points a game and allowed 21.0.

Mississippi State is 3-0 this season, 1-0 in the Southeastern Conference. Most recently it beat South Carolina 41-34 on the road on 19 September. It has scored 47.0 points a game and allowed 20.0.

Last season

Alabama went 11-4 in 2025, scoring 29.5 points a game and allowing 19.2. Its season ended with a loss against Indiana, 38-3.

Mississippi State went 5-8 in 2025, scoring 30.4 points a game and allowing 30.2. Its season ended with a loss against Wake Forest, 43-29.

The early line

At DraftKings, read 24 September 2026, Mississippi State is +3. The total is 58.5. The moneylines price Mississippi State to win 41.7% of the time, with the margin removed.

Lines move through the week. The full prediction reads them again on the day it goes up.

The teams

The Alabama Crimson Tide and Mississippi State Bulldogs team pages hold both schedules and last season’s results. Every game this week is on our college football predictions page.

Alabama at Mississippi State, Saturday 3 October, 12:00 AM ET, at Davis Wade Stadium in Starkville. Results: ESPN, read 24 September 2026. Line: DraftKings via ESPN, read 2026-09-24 05:06 UTC. Rankings: 2026 NCAA Football Rankings – AP Poll Week 4.