Crystal Palace vs Lyon Best Pick, Prediction and Odds

No bet on Crystal Palace at Lyon. Lyon won all four of their home games in last season’s Europa League league phase, and four is two short of the six the method needs. Palace have not played away in the competition in either season we read.

Lyon are +115 at DraftKings, the draw is +270 and Crystal Palace +215. The three prices carry a 5.3% margin. Taken out, it leaves Lyon at 44.2%, Palace at 30.2% and the draw at 25.7%. A bet needs a chance of ours 5 points above one of those, and none exists for this game.

Why there is no number

A number for a night at the Groupama Stadium would come from what Lyon score and concede at home and what Palace score and concede away, counted in league-phase games of this competition only. Both records have to hold six games: this season’s first and, failing that, last season’s at the same venue.

Lyon’s home record is the closest thing to evidence on the page. In 2025-26 they beat RB Salzburg 2-0, FC Basel 2-0, Go Ahead Eagles 2-1 and PAOK 4-2 in Lyon. That is 4-0-0 (wins, draws, losses) with 2.50 goals scored a game and 0.75 conceded, where the average home side in that 144-game league phase scored 1.52 and conceded 1.16. It is still four games, and their one game of 2026-27 was away, a 2-1 win at Anderlecht on 16 September.

Palace’s half of it is empty. Their one Europa League game, a 4-0 win over Lech Poznan on 17 September, was at Selhurst Park, and ESPN’s 2025-26 table for the competition has no Crystal Palace row.

The table

Palace sit 2nd of 36 and Lyon 11th, each with three points from one game. Lyon ended the 2025-26 league phase in 1st place: 21 points from 8 games, 7-0-1, with 18 scored and 5 conceded.

Seven wins in eight put Lyon top of last season’s table, and they are the home side priced at 44.2% here. We would like to test that price. Four home games do not let us.

Pick: No bet

No bet on the result. Lyon’s home sample stops at four games and Palace’s away sample at zero, so there is no chance of ours to set against +115, +270 or +215.

What changes it

Lyon’s four home games from last season cannot be topped up with this season’s: the method takes six from one season or none. They played 4 of their 8 league-phase games at home in 2025-26. If this phase gives each club the same split, neither record reaches six before it ends.

Nothing on this page says who is fit or picked for 15 October. Look up both squads before you bet.

The total

Goals are set at 2.5: -155 the over, +125 the under. That is 57.8% over and 42.2% under with the margin out. We put no figure against it, and the total is never the bet on this page.

For reference only: three of Lyon’s eight league-phase games last season went over 2.5. Both clubs’ single game this season did too, at 2-1 and 4-0.

The last meeting

ESPN holds one meeting of the pair, in all competitions it lists for them. On 5 August 2023, with Crystal Palace listed as the home side, Palace won 2-0. It predates both seasons we read, and the method does not use it.

Crystal Palace at Lyon, UEFA Europa League, Thursday 15 October, 12:45 PM ET, Groupama Stadium, Lyon. Prices: DraftKings via ESPN, read 13 October 2026, 04:58 UTC. Results and tables: ESPN, read 13 October 2026. Nothing here states who is available.