Last season, the AFC East turned out to be one of the most lopsided divisions in the entire NFL. The Buffalo Bills ran away with the East after finishing 13-4 and clinching the title by December. No other team in the AFC East finished with a winning record.

For the Bills, it was their fifth consecutive AFC East crown. However, they still have a long way to go to catch the New England Patriots who won 11 in a row from 2009-2019, with Tom Brady at the helm.

This season, the Bills are considered a large NFL betting favorite to win the division and make a run at the AFC Championship. In fact, Buffalo is considered one of the top Super Bowl contenders, as well.

While the Bills have added some key pieces to their roster, the rest of the division has seen a large overhaul from coaching staffs down to the players on the field. Will it be enough to catch Buffalo?

Let’s take a look at the latest AFC East odds, courtesy of the top sports betting sites, and make our 2025-26 AFC East division predictions.

What Teams Are In The AFC East?

The following four NFL teams are in the AFC East:

• Buffalo Bills: 15 division titles, last won in 2024
• Miami Dolphins: 13 division titles, last won in 2008
• New England Patriots: 22 division titles, last won in 2019
• New York Jets: 4 division titles, last won in 2002

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AFC East Division

Buffalo Bills Season Preview

• 2024-25 Offense: 30.6 ppg (2), 361.2 ypg (10), 69.6% RZ TDs (2)
• 2024-25 Defense: 21.6 ppg (12), 340.7 ypg (16), 1.8 TO (4)

The Buffalo Bills come into this season with one of the most complete rosters in the NFL. They also had a strong draft class that brought in some much-needed depth to the backend of the defense.

Additionally, the Bills brought back Tre White and Dane Jackson to the secondary. They also added Joey Bosa, Michael Hoecht, and Larry Ogunjobi to the defensive line and swapped out Von Miller and Jordan Phillips. Veteran Shaq Thomas was signed to add key depth to the linebacker group.

The defense has let down Buffalo in the postseason over the last few years. However, there’s a lot of optimism with this unit heading into the season especially with rookies Maxwell Hariston (CB) and Landon Jackson (DL).

With that said, this team will still live and die by the arm and legs of the reigning NFL MVP Josh Allen. The talented QB put up some serious numbers last year and will be called upon to do something similar this season.

The Bills added wide receivers Elijah Moore and Josh Palmer to the offense with the hopes that they can help this passing attack take another step towards Top 3 in the league.

The two wild cards for this offense are second-year WR Keon Coleman and running back James Cook. Coleman missed time last year with an injury but flashed his potential. Cook held out for most of the offseason as he wants a new contract. So, we’ll see how his situation plays out into the season.

Buffalo Bills Win Total

• Over 12.5 (+120)
• Under 12.5 (-150)

Over the first seven weeks, Buffalo could go 7-0 or 6-1 at worse. They play the Ravens, Jets, Dolphins, Saints, Falcons and Panthers. They also have a Week 6 bye.

The second half of the season is more challenging as the Bills will face teams like the Chiefs, Bucs, Texans, Bengals and Eagles. Fortunately, all of those games except the Houston matchup, will be played in Buffalo.

This team has a real chance to win 14 or 15 games on the season. Take the Over 12.5 wins and the attractive +120 value.

Bet: Over 12.5 (+120)

Will The Buffalo Bills Make The 2025-26 NFL Playoffs?

• Yes (-800)
• No (+500)

The Buffalo Bills are the biggest favorites to make the Playoffs. The Ravens (-550), Chiefs (-400) and Eagles (-400) are behind the Bills. This is largely due to their respective divisions. The AFC East is considered to be weaker than the AFC North, AFC West and NFC East.

With that said, I have no doubt that the Bills will make the Playoffs. The only question is whether or not they can wrestle the top spot in the AFC from the Chiefs.

There’s no value in these odds. So, either bite the bullet and take the large line or hope Buffalo loses a few early season games and then this line will come down. I don’t see the latter happening.

Bet: Yes (-800)

Miami Dolphins Season Preview

• 2024-25 Offense: 20.3 ppg (22), 325.4 ypg (18), 56.6% RZ TDs (16)
• 2024-25 Defense: 21.4 ppg (9), 314.4 ypg (6), 0.9 TO (26)

Last year, the Miami Dolphins were expected to content for the AFC East division. Instead, they finished 8-9 and missed the Playoffs. The team unraveled late in the season and faded down the stretch.

This year, Miami has seen a sizable overhaul with a number of key players departing the team. Offensively, the Dolphins were a disappointment last season. At best, they were a middle of the pack team.

Miami failed to score enough points to take advantage of their Top 10 defense. So, they decided to let their elder running backs of Mostert and Wilson go. They also traded starting TE Jonnu Smith to the Steelers. Unfortunately, Miami didn’t add any notable players on offense in the draft.

Most notably, they added depth pieces in Alexander Mattison and Nick Westbrook-Ikhine, along with trading for Darren Waller who is coming out of retirement.

Defensively, the Dolphins traded Jalen Ramsey to the Steelers and acquired safety Minka Fitzpatrick. They also lost other key defensive contributors like Calais Campbell, Kendall Fuller, Siran Neil and Jordan Poyer.

Not only did their offense not improve, but the Miami defense appears to have taken a step back. Sure, this defense could find some young players to step up and help it reclaim a spot in the Top 10. DT Kenneth Grant could be a significant draft pick along with Maryland’s Jordan Phillips.

I don’t see this defense reaching its full potential until late in the year. By then, it will be too late. The Dolphins will be lucky to finish above .500 on the season. I don’t see it happening. Instead, I see a mass overhaul of the coaching staff after another disappointing year.

Miami Dolphins Win Total

• Over 7.5 (-105)
• Under 7.5 (-115)

We’ll see how good the Dolphins are in the AFC East withing the first month of the season. Miami plays all three of their divisional rivals within the first month of the season. In fact, it’s three weeks in a row. They do get the Patriots and Jets at home.

Looking at the first half of their schedule, Miami has a decent shot at going at least 4-4. Wins over the Colts, Jets, Panthers and Browns while losing to the Bills, Patriots, Chargers and Falcons.

The second half of the season gets tougher for Miami. They will lose to Baltimore, Buffalo, Washington, the Bengals, Bucs and Pats. That leaves potential wins over the Saints, Jets and Steelers. That Week 18 game versus the Patriots could go either way depending on what’s at stake.

With that said, this is going to be a 7 to 8 win team. The sportsbooks really hit the O/U on the head here. I would avoid wagering on this. However, since we’re here to make picks, let’s take the Under.

I’m not a believer in the Dolphins, their coaches, offensive line or defense.

Bet: Under 7.5 (-115)

Will The Miami Dolphins Make The 2025-26 NFL Playoffs?

• Yes (+180)
• No (-230)

At 7-10 or 8-9, there’s no chance that the Dolphins make the Playoffs. They will most likely be eliminated from postseason contention before Christmas.

There’s no value with this prop bet and the Yes option is not worth the risk. This is a losing team who is a near-lock to finish under .500 on the season.

Bet: No (-230)

New England Patriots Season Preview

• 2024-25 Offense: 17.0 ppg (30), 292.0 ypg (31), 46.8% RZ TDs (30)
• 2024-25 Defense: 24.5 ppg (21), 342.9 ypg (21), 0.7 TO (30)

There’s a reason why the Patriots finished 4-13 on the season. Simply put, they were a bad team. Offensively, this was one of the worst units in the NFL. They were in the bottom three for most major offensive statistical categories from points scored to red zone touchdowns scored.

It’s a big reason why New England is on its third head coach in the last two years. Even though last season was a rebuilding year, they still came in well below their lowest of expectations.

Mike Vrabel has taken over as the head coach, so you know this team will have structure, intensity, defense and a physical offensive line.

We saw that right away with drafting Will Campbell to help protect franchise QB Drake Maye who was the lone bright spot of last year. He gives this team hope moving forward and is the second best QB in the division.

The team also added Stefon Diggs, Mack Hollins and Austin Hooper to the offense. These veterans are here to balance out the youth movement and provide Maye with some experienced playmakers.

New England had a strong draft, where many pundits gave them an A grade. In addition to Campbell, they also selected talented running back TreVeyon Henderson from Ohio State and WR Kyle Williams from Washington State. Henderson could fight for the starting RB spot.

Defensively, the Patriots fell below expectations, which was the biggest surprise for last year. This team is accustomed to having a solid defense but that wasn’t the case in 2024-25. They finished in the bottom one-third of the league and were one of the worst at creating turnovers.

So, the team brought in players like Harold Landry and Carlton Davis to provide high-quality starters and to lock down key positions like corner.

I see the Patriots taking a big step this year. I think they can become a winning football team with the key additions to the roster and the new coaching staff. Will it be enough to make the Playoffs?

New England Patriots Win Total

• Over 8.5 (-105)
• Under 8.5 (-115)

A big benefit of finishing last in the AFC East this past season, is that they get a more favorable schedule this year. Don’t look now, but the Pats have a clear path to potentially winning 10 games or more.

New England could start off the season 4-0 depending on how they fare against the Dolphins and Steelers. I do see them taking out the Raiders and Panthers. A SNF loss to Buffalo should have them anywhere from 2-3 to 4-1.

The Pats then get the Titans and Browns, which should be two wins. However, their second half of the season gets a lot tougher with games against the Falcons, Bucs, Bengals, Bills, and Ravens. I see losses in all five of those games.

With that said, New England is right on the cusp of finishing anywhere from 9-8 to 11-6 on the season. If they can improve that poor defense, and protect Maye, the Pats could be a winning football team that threatens to land one of the AFC Wild Card spots.

For this prop bet, take the Over and take advantage of the value at -105 odds.

Bet: Over 8.5 (-105)

Will The New England Patriots Make The 2025-26 NFL Playoffs?

• Yes (+140)
• No (-170)

While I think the win total of 9 or more is an easy-money pick, this prop bet is a little bit harder. New England will not dethrone the Bills for the AFC East division.

So, the Patriots will have to fight for one of the three AFC Wild Card spots. And, that’s going to be a hard fight because the Denver Broncos, Los Angeles Chargers, Cincinnati Bengals, and Pittsburgh Steelers will all be in that fight. My money is on the Broncos, Bengals and Chargers.

However, if you are looking for a sleeper team to crash the AFC Playoff party, then take New England.

Bet: No (-170)

New York Jets Season Preview

• 2024-25 Offense: 19.9 ppg (24), 310.3 ypg (24), 54.55% RZ TDs (21)
• 2024-25 Defense: 23.8 ppg (19), 313.8 ypg (5), 1.0 TO (20)

If it weren’t for the Patriots, the New York Jets would’ve finished in the basement of the AFC East. New York was the most disappointing team in the division, and quite possibly the entire conference last season. They were a trendy pick to upstage the Bills and win the division. Instead, they finished 5-12 and overhauled the entire franchise.

Aaron Glenn takes over as the head coach for the Jets in what will be a tough season. This team is favored to finish last and struggle to win six games on the season. We’ll break down those two aspects further below.

The Jets ditched Aaron Rodgers and brought in Justin Fields to be their new starting QB. And, other than extending players like Garrett Wilson and Sauce Gardner, the Jets didn’t do much to improve their level of talent unless you consider Josh Reynolds a notable addition.

In addition to losing Rodgers, the Jets also parted ways with Davante Adams, Tyler Conklin, Haason Reddick, CJ Mosley, and DJ Reed to name a few. They have holes on both sides of the ball.

New York was smart to draft Armand Membou with the no.7 overall pick as they really needed to improve their offensive line play from last year. They got a sneaky-good TE in Mason Taylor who could end up starting this season.

But their biggest steal in the draft was Azareye’h Thomas who they got in the third round. Thomas is the perfect fit for Glenn’s defensive scheme.

You can close your eyes and throw a dart, which will hit an area of need or weakness for the Jets. However, they do have some building blocks for the future. Yet, the present is going to be murky and disheartening for Jets fans worldwide.

New York Jets Win Total

• Over 6.5 (+115)
• Under 6.5 (-145)

Unlike the Patriots, who are taking full advantage of finishing fourth and getting a winnable schedule, the Jets’ schedule is a lot tougher. In fact, I don’t see how this team finishes with more than five wins on the season. And, that’s being generous.

The Jets will lose to Buffalo twice, the Bucs, the Cowboys, Broncos, Bengals, Ravens, and Falcons. And, if they split with the Dolphins and Patriots, that’s a 7-10 record at best.

However, in their other five games on the season, New York plays the Steelers, Panthers, Browns, Jaguars and Saints. That Steelers game is in Week 1, and you can bet that Aaron Rodgers is salivating to get revenge.

The Jets might be able to beat the Browns and Saints. But it’s a toss-up against the Jaguars and Panthers. The smart bet here is for the Jets to finish at 6-11 or worse. New York could start the season going 0-6 and be in full tank mode by time we approach Halloween.

Take the Under! 2026 will be a better year for the Jets.

Bet: Under 6.5 (-145)

Will The New York Jets Make The 2025-26 NFL Playoffs?

• Yes (+450)
• No (-700)

Only the Browns, Saints, and Giants have larger odds to miss the Playoffs than the Jets do. New York is pegged to be one of the worst teams in the NFL next season. And, as I laid out above, it’s easy to see why.

The offense could improve on last year’s numbers but it won’t translate into wins. Simply put, they will go into most of their games with less overall talent and the inferior QB play.

Defensively, the Jets could improve here too. Yet, it won’t be enough to even sniff a .500 record, let alone a Playoff berth.

Bet: No (-700)

AFC East Division Odds

• Buffalo Bills -260
• New England Patriots +500
• Miami Dolphins +600
• New York Jets +1800

I don’t think there’s any doubt who will win this division. In fact, if your NFL pick to win the AFC East isn’t the Buffalo Bills, then you are just throwing money away and you can contact me because I will take your wagers directly. I mean, even a blind bettor can see this clearly. However, if you need more assistance on your NFL wagers, then check out what the best handicappers are saying for the NFL.

Not only does Buffalo have the best player in the division (Josh Allen), but they also have the best coach, front office, offense, and possibly even the best defense.

I expect the Patriots to make a move up in the division by flirting with a winning record. However, I don’t see any other AFC East team making the Playoffs other than the Bills.

The Dolphins are a trainwreck waiting to happen. Part of me believes that the entire coaching staff will get axed after this season ends. The Jets are “rebuilding” and have no franchise QB as I don’t consider Fields to be the solution.

When you combine the Bills’ talent and the rest of the division’s lack of talent in key positions or depth, it’s clear-cut and dry; Buffalo is winning this division by December.

Bet: Buffalo Bills -260

AFC East Exact Order Of The Division

As you can see from above, I’m all-in on Buffalo winning this division. So, it comes down to how we see the rest of the AFC East shaking out.

The odds for this prop bet are pretty clear. NFL sportsbooks feel that the Patriots will finish second, the Dolphins in third, and the Jets in last.

It really is hard to argue against this. I like what the Patriots are doing but it will take another year or two before they’re a real threat to win the AFC East. The Dolphins are heading in the wrong direction and the Jets are easily one of the worst teams in the AFC Conference.

Bet: Bills 1st (-260), Patriots 2nd (+175), Dolphins 3rd (+180), Jets 4th (-105)

AFC East Division Top 2 Finishing Position

• Buffalo & New England Patriots (+100)
• Buffalo Bills & Miami Dolphins (+220)
• Buffalo Bills & New York Jets (+500)
• Miami Dolphins & New England Patriots (+1400)
• New York Jets & New England Patriots (+3500)
• Miami Dolphins a& New York Jets (+4000)

As you can see from the prop bet above, I like the Bills and Patriots to finish as the top two teams in the AFC East. The only other realistic option is that the Dolphins edge out the Patriots for second. However, I don’t see that happening. And, even if Buffalo slept for half the season, there’s no way that they don’t finish in the top two.

We’re fortunate to even get plus-money odds for Bills and Patriots considering they appear to be the best teams in the AFC East.

Bet: Bills and Patriots (+100)

AFC East Season Matchups

Buffalo Bills Series Matchups

I see the Bills sweeping the AFC East this year. The only game in question will be Week 18 when they play the Jets. Buffalo could be resting their starters that week.

The Patriots could give Buffalo a tough time at home, but that game is in Week 15 where the Bills will still be jockeying for the #1 seed in the AFC. So, the odds are that Buffalo should win that matchup, as well.

Bet: 2-0 vs. Jets (-230), 2-0 vs. Miami (-125), 2-0 vs. NE (NA)

Miami Dolphins Series Matchups

Despite my thoughts of the Dolphins finishing 8-9 at best, I do see this team going 3-3 in the division. I believe they will sweep the Jets. And, I see Miami splitting the series with the Patriots. However, they will drop both games to Buffalo as they have the last few years.

Bet: 2-0 vs. Jets (+140), 0-2 vs. Bills (-125), 1-1 vs. NE (+115)

New England Patriots Series Matchups

Like the Dolphins, the Patriots should go 3-3 in the division which includes sweeping the Jets, as well. A split with Miami and losing both games to Buffalo will keep them at .500 in the AFC East.

Bet: 2-0 vs. Jets (NA), 0-2 vs. Bills (NA), 2-0 vs. Miami (+225)

New York Jets Series Matchups

At best, the Jets go 1-5 in the AFC East this season. This team is in for a long year and I don’t see them being good enough to win against the starters of the other teams in the division. The only chance they have at winning one AFC East game is if Buffalo rests their starters in Week 18.

Bet: 0-2 vs. Bills (-230), 0-2 vs. NE (NA), 0-2 vs. Miami (+140)

AFC East Champions

The Buffalo Bills are the reigning AFC East champs and have won five in a row. However, the New England Patriots hold the record for most division titles with 22.

The following is a list of the most recent AFC East winners: