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Memphis Grizzlies vs Minnesota Timberwolves April 10th 2025
At 9:30 ET, the Memphis Grizzlies (-113) will host the Minnesota Timberwolves (-105) in a Western Conference matchup. Memphis (-1.5) is favored in this game, and they are currently on a three-game win streak.
This game will be played at FedExForum in Memphis, and it can be seen on TNT. The over/under line for this game is 233 points.
Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies Key Information
- Sport: NBA
- Teams: Minnesota Timberwolves at Memphis Grizzlies
- Where: Memphis at FedExForum
- Date: Thursday, April 10th
- Betting Odds MEM -1.5, MIN -105 | MEM -113 O/U 233
The Timberwolves Can Win If…
The Timberwolves dropped to 46-33 on the season after a 110-103 road loss to the Bucks on Tuesday. Minnesota, favored by six points, not only lost but also failed to cover the spread. The game’s total points of 213 fell short of the 222.5 O/U line.
Minnesota appeared in control after a 12-0 run and a 90-70 lead going into the 4th quarter, but they were outscored 40-13 in the final period, leading to the loss.
Anthony Edwards led the Timberwolves with 25 points in their 110-103 loss to the Bucks, though he shot just 37% from the field and 18.2% from three. Donte DiVincenzo added 24 points, hitting 6 threes at a 60% clip, while Naz Reid contributed 17 points, connecting on 3 threes at 42.9%.
As a team, the Timberwolves shot 46.1% from the field and 32.5% from beyond the arc, making 13 threes. Edwards scored 14 points in the 3rd quarter, while DiVincenzo added 9 in the 3rd and 8 more in the 4th.
The Timberwolves put together three strong defensive quarters but struggled in the 4th, allowing 40 points in their 110-103 loss to the Bucks. Overall, they held Milwaukee to 12 made threes on 33% shooting from deep.
Minnesota sent the Bucks to the line 25 times, where they hit 18 free throws. The Timberwolves grabbed 32 defensive rebounds, gave up 11 offensive boards, and recorded 4 steals and 3 blocks.
- When looking at their past five road matchups, Minnesota has an ATS record of 2-3 while averaging 113 per game. The team went 3-2 overall in these games.
- As the betting underdog, the Timberwolves have an ATS mark of just 7-3 in their last ten games. Minnesota posted a straight up mark of 6-4 in these matchups.
- Over their last three games, the Timberwolves have an over/under record of 0-3 and are 1-2 vs. the spread.
The Grizzlies Can Win If…
The Grizzlies improved to 47-32 on the season with a dominant 124-100 win over the Hornets on Tuesday. Memphis, favored by 14.5 points, covered the spread in the road victory. The game’s total of 224 points fell short of the 230-point over/under line.
Memphis took control early with an 11-0 run, turning a 15-6 deficit into a 17-15 lead. They outscored the Hornets 33-18 in the 1st quarter and maintained their advantage throughout, leading 97-74 going into the 4th quarter.
In their win over the Hornets, the Grizzlies hit 18 threes, despite shooting just 32.7% from beyond the arc. Overall, they shot 45.2% from the field. Ja Morant led the way with 28 points, 8 assists, and 4 made threes at a 40% clip.
Desmond Bane added 19 points, hitting 3 threes at 60%, while Zach Edey contributed 17 points and 19 rebounds, shooting 77.8% from the field. Morant scored 9 points in both the 1st and 3rd quarters, while Edey added 11 of his points in the 2nd quarter.
The Grizzlies put together a strong defensive performance on Tuesday, holding the Hornets to 100 points. Memphis was particularly effective in the 1st quarter, allowing just 18 points. They gave up 26 points in both the 2nd and 4th quarters and 30 in the 3rd.
Memphis limited Charlotte to 11 made three-pointers on 28% shooting. The Hornets also went 15/23 from the free-throw line. The Grizzlies grabbed 38 defensive rebounds, allowing 6 offensive boards, and recorded 12 steals.
- In their last ten games at home, the Grizzlies have a straight up record of 6-4 while going 4-6 vs. the spread. The team averaged 114 points per game in this stretch.
- In their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Grizzlies have a straight up record of 8-2 and an ATS mark of 4-6.
- In their last three games, the Grizzlies have an over/under record of 2-1 and are 0-3 vs. the spread.
The Lean
For today’s matchup we are recommending to take the Grizzlies to secure the win, with an expected final score of 139-130. When it comes to the spread, we believe they’ll cover at -1.5.
Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 233 and given that our model is projecting 269 points between the teams, we like the over.
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Memphis Looks to Avoid Play-In, Minnesota Aims to Climb
As the NBA regular season winds down, the Memphis Grizzlies and Minnesota Timberwolves find themselves in a fierce battle for playoff positioning in the Western Conference. When the two teams face off Thursday night in Memphis, the stakes couldn’t be higher.
The Grizzlies (47-32) are determined to avoid the play-in tournament and can clinch a top-six seed by winning out. Their current three-game win streak—including a dominant 124-100 road victory over the Charlotte Hornets—has them trending upward at the right time.
“We’re in a tough, tough battle with some other teams,” said interim coach Tuomas Iisalo. “And I couldn’t ask for more from our guys. They are doing everything they can.”
However, Memphis suffered a setback despite Tuesday’s win. Rookie Jaylen Wells, who has started 74 games, sustained a broken wrist after a hard fall. His absence is significant for a team that relied on his defensive presence and ability to guard top opposing scorers.
Stepping up in Wells’ absence has been fellow rookie Zach Edey. The 7-foot-4 big man has delivered back-to-back monster performances, recording 21 rebounds at Detroit and following it with 17 points and 19 rebounds against Charlotte.
“He’s in a rhythm,” Iisalo said. “It looks sustainable. He’s playing with great poise and physicality.”
Minnesota Eyes Rebound After Collapse
The Timberwolves (46-33) also find themselves in the heart of the playoff race but enter Thursday’s matchup reeling from a dramatic 110-103 loss to the Milwaukee Bucks. Minnesota squandered a 24-point lead, allowing Milwaukee to outscore them 40-13 in the fourth quarter.
Despite the disappointment, coach Chris Finch is confident in his team’s ability to bounce back.
“We’ve got to shake it off,” Finch said. “We have to get the ones that are there to be gotten.”
Star guard Anthony Edwards scored 25 points but struggled with efficiency, going 10-of-27 from the floor. Edwards acknowledged the weight of the loss but remained optimistic.
“We’re good,” Edwards said. “Of course we didn’t want to lose, but we know we need to win the next game.”
Minnesota had won five straight games before the loss to Milwaukee and still has a shot at securing as high as the No. 3 seed if things break right.
Series Recap and Final Push
This will be the third meeting between the Grizzlies and Timberwolves this season. Memphis has won both prior matchups—a 127-125 road win on Jan. 11 and a 108-106 home victory on Jan. 20.
With only a few games remaining, every possession matters. For both teams, Thursday night’s contest is not just another game—it’s a playoff-caliber showdown with postseason implications on the line.
