Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves Picks and Predictions February 24th 2025

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves February 24th 2025

At 8:00 ET, the Thunder (-691) will host the Timberwolves (+494) in a Northwest Division matchup. The Thunder are favored by 12.5 points and have won two straight games. The Timberwolves have lost two straight and are 7th in the Western Conference.

This game will be played at Paycom Center in Oklahoma City and can be seen on NBA TV. The over/under line for this game is 226.5 points.

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Timberwolves vs. Thunder Key Information

The Timberwolves dropped to 31-27 on the season after a 130-123 home loss to the Thunder on Sunday. Minnesota, who entered the game as +9 point underdogs, managed to cover the spread. The total score of 253 points exceeded the over/under line of 227.5 by 25.5 points.

Oklahoma City took control early with a 10-0 run, but Minnesota responded by outscoring them 40-26 in the 2nd quarter. However, the Thunder regained momentum in the 3rd, outscoring the Timberwolves 42-33. Both teams scored 27 points in the 4th quarter, leaving Minnesota unable to close the gap.

In their 130-123 loss to the Thunder, the Timberwolves hit 18 threes at a 40% clip, though they shot just 43.8% overall. Anthony Edwards led the way with 29 points, 10 rebounds, and 7 assists, despite shooting 38.1% from the field and 30.8% from deep.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker added 18 points, knocking down 4 threes at 57.1%. He scored 13 of his points in the 4th quarter, while Edwards put up 13 in the 3rd. Naz Reid contributed 22 points, with 12 coming in the 2nd quarter.

Defensively, the Timberwolves struggled against the Thunder, giving up 130 points on 55% shooting. Their toughest stretch came in the 3rd quarter, where they allowed 42 points. Minnesota did manage to tighten up a bit in the 2nd and 4th quarters, giving up 26 and 27 points, respectively.

The Timberwolves had a hard time defending the perimeter, as the Thunder hit 19 threes at a 54% clip. Minnesota sent Oklahoma City to the line 20 times, where they made 15 free throws. The Timberwolves recorded 6 steals and 5 blocks in the game.

Oklahoma City improved to 46-10 on the season with a 130-123 road win over the Timberwolves on Sunday. The Thunder were favored by 9 points but didn’t cover the spread, winning by 7. The game’s total points of 253.5 exceeded the over/under line of 227.5.

A 10-0 run by the Thunder turned the score from 19-15 to 25-19, and they closed the 1st quarter up 35-23. However, the Timberwolves responded by outscoring Oklahoma City 40-26 in the 2nd quarter. The Thunder regained control with a 42-33 3rd quarter and maintained their lead by tying the 4th quarter at 27-27.

In their 130-123 win over the Timberwolves, the Thunder shot 55.8% from the field and hit 19 threes at a 54.3% clip. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the way with 37 points, 8 assists, and 8 rebounds, connecting on 3 threes at 50% efficiency.

Chet Holmgren added 19 points, hitting 3 threes at 75%, while Jalen Williams contributed 18 points and 9 assists, also making 3 threes at 60%. Gilgeous-Alexander scored 16 points in the 3rd quarter, while Alex Caruso added 9 of his 11 points in the 4th.

Despite a rough 2nd quarter where the Thunder gave up 40 points, they managed to hold the Timberwolves to 123 points in a win. Oklahoma City allowed 33 points in the 3rd but tightened up in the 4th, giving up just 27 points. Overall, the Thunder held Minnesota to 43% shooting.

Oklahoma City struggled to defend the three, allowing 18 made threes on 40% shooting. They also sent the Timberwolves to the line 28 times, where they hit 27 free throws. The Thunder finished with 9 steals and 8 blocks.

The Thunder is our pick to not only win with a projected score of 138-84. But we also favor them to cover the spread. Our bet is on the Thunder at -12.5.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 226.5, and our model projects the Timberwolves and Thunder to reach a combined total of 222 points. Our bet is on taking the under.

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Familiar Foes Timberwolves, Thunder to Clash Again

The Minnesota Timberwolves and Oklahoma City Thunder have become well-acquainted, facing off for the third time in four games on Monday night in Oklahoma City. This will mark their final regular-season meeting.

The Thunder claimed a 130-123 victory in Minneapolis on Sunday, led by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s dominant performance—37 points, eight rebounds, and eight assists. When Gilgeous-Alexander re-entered the game with eight minutes remaining, Oklahoma City outscored Minnesota 25-13 to secure the win.

Thunder’s Depth on Display

While Gilgeous-Alexander spearheaded Sunday’s win, Oklahoma City’s success this season has been a collective effort. Alex Caruso drained three clutch fourth-quarter three-pointers, Chet Holmgren made a defensive impact with three blocks, and seven Thunder players recorded multiple assists.

“The depth that we have right now is a positive thing,” Thunder coach Mark Daigneault said. “It’s going to be different players on different nights. We need everybody.”

Defense has been Oklahoma City’s stronghold all season, boasting an NBA-best 104.8 defensive rating. However, Daigneault emphasized the need for improvement after Sunday’s game.

“We gotta get a little better tomorrow,” he stated.

The Thunder sit atop the Western Conference with a 46-10 record, having won nine of their last 10 games—their only loss in that span coming against Minnesota on Feb. 13.

Timberwolves Battling Injuries

Minnesota enters Monday’s contest on a rough patch, losing four of their last five games. They currently sit in seventh place in the West, just one game away from securing an automatic playoff berth.

Coach Chris Finch acknowledged Oklahoma City’s physical play and the challenges of containing their aggressive style.

“It’s a tough team to play, Oklahoma City. They’re very, very physical on one end and on the other end they seemingly create a lot of contact offensively and benefit from that,” Finch said. “It can be frustrating, but we’ve just got to try to make the next play.”

Minnesota’s roster remains shorthanded, with Rudy Gobert missing three straight games due to back spasms. Donte DiVincenzo (toe sprain) and Julius Randle (groin strain) have been sidelined for weeks, though both are nearing returns. Additionally, Jaylen Clark exited Sunday’s game with neck pain after a hard fall in the third quarter, and his status for Monday remains uncertain.

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Key Game for Both Teams

The Timberwolves begin a four-game road trip Monday, with seven of their next nine games away from home. Meanwhile, the Thunder return home for a single game before embarking on another three-game road trip.

Anthony Edwards’ discipline is also something to monitor—he has picked up two technical fouls in two games since the All-Star break, bringing his season total to 14. Just two more will trigger an automatic one-game suspension.

Can Minnesota bounce back, or will Oklahoma City continue their dominant run?