Phoenix Suns vs Philadelphia 76ers Picks and Predictions November 4th 2024

Suns vs 76ers NBA Mon, Nov 4, 22:15 pm.
Suns
ML: -210
0
0
76ers
ML: 175
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At 10:15 ET, the 1-4 Philadelphia 76ers (+257) will travel to take on the 5-1 Phoenix Suns (-318) in a non-conference matchup. The game will be played at Footprint Center in Phoenix and can be seen on NBCS.

Currently, the Suns are favored by 7.5 points and the over/under line is set at 227.

76ers vs. Suns Key Information

  • Sport: NBA
  • Teams: Philadelphia 76ers at Phoenix Suns
  • Where: Phoenix at Footprint Center
  • Date: Monday, November 4th
  • Betting Odds PHO -7.5, PHI +257 | PHO -318 O/U 227

The 76ers Can Win If…

The 76ers fell to 1-4 on the season after a 124-107 loss to the Grizzlies on Saturday. Philadelphia, who were -1 point favorites at home, failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game were 231, surpassing the O/U line of 223.5 by 7.5 points.

After leading 28-24 at the end of the 1st quarter, the 76ers struggled in the 2nd and 3rd quarters, being outscored 68-47. A key moment came when the Grizzlies went on a 12-0 run, extending their lead from 51-48 to 63-48. Heading into the 4th quarter, Philadelphia trailed 92-75, and despite a 32-32 tie in the final period, they couldn’t close the gap.

In their 124-107 loss to the Grizzlies, the 76ers shot just 40.4% from the field but connected on 19 threes at a 41.3% clip. Tyrese Maxey led the way with 23 points, hitting 4 threes at 44.4% efficiency.

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Jared McCain added 19 points, with 17 coming in the 4th quarter. Kelly Oubre contributed 14 points, including 9 in the opening period.

The 76ers started strong defensively in the 1st quarter, allowing just 24 points, but they struggled the rest of the way, giving up 35 points in the 2nd quarter and 32 or more in both the 3rd and 4th. Overall, they allowed the Grizzlies to score 124 points on 55% shooting.

Philadelphia also had trouble defending the three, with Memphis hitting 12 threes at a 44% clip. The 76ers sent the Grizzlies to the line 21 times, where they made 16 free throws. Defensively, the 76ers recorded 11 steals and 5 blocks.

  • In their last three road games, Philadelphia has averaged 112 points per game while allowing 111. The team’s record in this stretch was 2-1 while going 2-1 vs. the spread.
  • Looking back on the team’s last five games as the underdog, the 76ers have a straight up record of 2-3. Their record vs the spread in these games was 3-2.
  • Over their last five games, the 76ers have an over/under record of 4-1 and are 1-4 vs. the spread.

The Suns Can Win If…

The Suns improved to 5-1 on the season with a 103-97 win over the Trail Blazers on Saturday. Playing at home, Phoenix was favored by 12.5 points but didn’t cover the spread. The game’s total score of 200 points fell well short of the 228.5-point O/U line.

After trailing 47-43 at halftime, Phoenix dominated the 3rd quarter, outscoring Portland 44-18, including an 11-0 run that extended their lead from 72-58 to 83-58. However, the Suns let up in the 4th, getting outscored 32-16 as the Blazers made a late push.

In their 124-107 loss to the Grizzlies, the 76ers shot just 40.4% from the field, but connected on 19 threes at a 41.3% clip. Tyrese Maxey led the way with 23 points, hitting 4 threes at 44.4% efficiency.

Jared McCain added 19 points, with 17 coming in the 4th quarter. Kelly Oubre contributed 14 points, 9 of which came in the opening period.

The Suns’ defense shone in the 1st and 3rd quarters, where they allowed just 18 points each, helping them secure a 103-97 win over the Trail Blazers. Despite a 32-point 4th quarter from Portland, Phoenix held them to 97 points on 33% shooting.

From beyond the arc, the Suns limited the Blazers to 14 threes on 32% shooting. Phoenix also sent Portland to the line just 11 times, where they made 9 free throws. The Suns grabbed 50 defensive rebounds, allowing 14 offensive boards, and added 8 blocks.

  • Through their last ten home games, Phoenix has an ATS record of just 4-6. However, their overall record was 6-4 while averaging 112 points per game.
  • Against the spread, the Suns have put together of 1-4 in their last five games as the betting favorite. In these same games, they went 4-1 straight up.
  • In their last five games, the Suns have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 1-4 vs. the spread.

The Lean

We’re putting our money on the Suns to win, and have the projected score sitting at 147-131. We also like them to cover the spread, so our recommendation is to bet on the Suns at -7.5.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 227, and our model predicts the 76ers and Suns to score a combined 278 points. We recommend betting on the over.

Suns Seek Fifth Straight Win as 76ers Await Paul George’s Debut

The Phoenix Suns have been surging under new head coach Mike Budenholzer, riding a four-game winning streak into their Monday matchup against the Philadelphia 76ers. The Suns, who are 5-1 on the season, have shown quick adaptation to Budenholzer’s system, while the 76ers continue to struggle without their two stars, Joel Embiid and Paul George, due to knee injuries.

Philadelphia has stumbled to a 1-4 start, facing growing frustrations on and off the court as they await their leaders’ returns. However, George has been listed as questionable and could potentially make his season and team debut against Phoenix.

Suns Show Strong Adjustments Under Budenholzer

Phoenix’s latest win, a 103-97 victory over the Portland Trail Blazers on Saturday, underscored both their potential and areas for improvement. The Suns had a strong third quarter, outscoring Portland 44-18, including a 9-of-18 performance from beyond the arc. This explosive scoring put the Suns up by as much as 26 points before a Blazers comeback attempt cut the lead late in the game.

Head coach Budenholzer praised the Suns’ third-quarter effort but emphasized the importance of maintaining intensity throughout the game. “We’ve got to learn to play for 48 minutes,” he said. “It’s good to put together stretches like the third quarter, but we need to build on that.”

Devin Booker led Phoenix with 28 points, adding nine rebounds and nine assists. Kevin Durant chipped in 21 points, while Grayson Allen’s 18 points off the bench, including four three-pointers, gave Phoenix a needed spark. “It was great for Grayson to have a night like he did,” Budenholzer said.

“He’s going to be a huge asset for us this season.”

76ers Dealing with Turbulence in a Slow Start

The 76ers have had a challenging start, hampered by the absence of Embiid and George. The frustrations mounted after Saturday’s 124-107 home loss to the Memphis Grizzlies, where they were dominated on the boards, losing the rebounding battle 52-33. Tyrese Maxey was the lone bright spot for Philadelphia, scoring 23 points, but it wasn’t enough to close the gap.

The absence of Embiid has also brought off-court tension. Following Saturday’s game, the 76ers’ star center confronted Philadelphia Inquirer columnist Marcus Hayes in the locker room, after Hayes criticized Embiid’s dedication to his fitness and recovery. Hayes also referenced Embiid’s family in his reporting, which Embiid took personally, leading to a heated exchange.

“I’ve put everything on the line for this city, and it’s frustrating to hear otherwise,” Embiid said. “When I see people say, ‘He doesn’t want to play,’ I’ve done way too much for this city and put myself at risk for people to be saying that.”

Embiid, the reigning NBA MVP, is managing his knee carefully after surgery in February, with a return date still uncertain.

Paul George Expected to Debut Against Suns

In a positive development for the 76ers, Paul George is reportedly set to make his Philadelphia debut on Monday, barring any setbacks. The nine-time All-Star signed a four-year, $212 million deal in the offseason but has been sidelined with a bone bruise. According to George, his knee has felt better after two days of high-intensity practice.

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“I had a really good two days of finally being on court, practicing and running hard, being in live action,” George said. “The knee feels really good up to this point.” His presence would bring a much-needed boost to Philadelphia, especially in the absence of Embiid.

Key Matchups and Game Dynamics

  1. Devin Booker vs. 76ers Defense
    Booker has been in top form this season, and the 76ers will need to keep him in check to have a chance. Without Embiid anchoring the paint, Booker may find more opportunities to attack inside, as well as from the perimeter.
  2. Paul George’s Impact in First Game Back
    If George does play, he could help Philadelphia on both ends of the court. His defensive prowess could slow Booker or Durant, while his scoring could take pressure off Maxey and create spacing.
  3. Phoenix’s 3-Point Game
    The Suns’ third-quarter barrage from beyond the arc was a game-changer against Portland. Philadelphia will need to contest shots on the perimeter to prevent Phoenix from building a similar lead.
  4. 76ers’ Rebounding and Interior Defense
    Saturday’s loss showed a clear weakness on the boards for Philadelphia. The return of Embiid or a strong debut from George would aid their rebounding and protect against second-chance points.

While Phoenix has its sights set on maintaining its hot start, the 76ers hope for a fresh beginning with George’s potential debut.

WinningCappers, The most trusted name in sports handicapping
Mon, Nov 4, 08:07 am.
spread
moneyline
over/under
Suns
-4
-110
-210
O 114
-110
76ers
+4
-110
175
U 114
-110
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