Texas A&m Aggies vs Bowling Green Falcons Picks and Predictions September 21st 2024

Texas A&M Aggies vs Bowling Green Falcons NCAAF Sat, Sep 21, 19:30 pm.
Texas A&M Aggies
ML: -1800
0
0
Bowling Green Falcons
ML: 1000
DocSports, The most trusted name in sports handicapping

The Texas A&M Aggies are favored at -23 as they get ready to host the Bowling Green Falcons at Kyle Field in College Station. Kick-off is set for 7:30 ET on Saturday, September 21st, with SEC Network handling the broadcast. The over/under line is currently at 52.5 points. The Aggies have a 2-1 record, while the Falcons are 1-1 coming into this week four non-conference matchup.

Bowling Green vs. Texas A&M Key Information

  • Teams: Falcons at Aggies
  • Where: Kyle Field College Station
  • Date: Saturday, September 21st
  • Betting Odds TXAM -2157 | BOWLGR +1013 O/U 52.5

The Falcons Can Win If…

Bowling Green is looking to build on their 1-1 start after a 34-27 road loss to Penn State. Despite being heavy +34 point underdogs, the Falcons covered the spread, and the game’s total score of 61 points surpassed the over/under line of 51 points.

The Falcons led 10-7 after the first quarter and added 10 more points in the second quarter, but Penn State’s 17-point second quarter gave them a 24-20 lead at halftime. Bowling Green managed just one touchdown in the third quarter and a field goal in the fourth to close the gap, but it wasn’t enough to pull off the upset.

In their 34-27 loss to Penn State, Bowling Green’s offense put up 377 yards, with 254 yards coming from the passing game. Connor Bazelak completed 64.1% of his passes for 254 yards and two touchdowns, but he also threw two interceptions, resulting in a passer rating of 78.37. His primary target, Harold Fannin Jr., led the team with 137 receiving yards on 11 catches.

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The Falcons’ ground game produced 123 yards, with Jaison Patterson leading the way with 57 yards on 16 carries. Bowling Green found the end zone twice through the air and once on the ground, while the defense held Penn State to 34 points.

Bowling Green’s defense will need to tighten up after giving up 443 total yards to Penn State in their last game. The Falcons were particularly vulnerable to the run, allowing 239 yards and two rushing touchdowns. They did manage to pick off one pass, but Penn State still threw for 204 yards and two touchdowns against Bowling Green’s secondary.

  • Across Bowling Green’s last three regular season games, their record sits at 1-2. Against the spread, they have a strong mark of 2-1 along with an over-under record of 2-1.
  • Through their last ten regular season contests, Bowling Green has a record of 6-4. In these contests, the team went just 7-3 against the spread, while going 6-4 on the over-under.

The Aggies Can Win If…

After a 33-20 road win over Florida, Texas A&M improved to 2-1 for the season. The Aggies, who were -3 point favorites, not only won the game but also covered the spread. The over/under line was 45.5 points, but the teams combined for 53 points, hitting the over.

Texas A&M dominated the first half, taking a 20-0 lead. Florida managed to close the gap in the third quarter, but the Aggies outscored them 6-0 in the fourth to secure the win.

Marcel Reed led Texas A&M’s offense to a 33-20 win over Florida, throwing for 178 yards and two touchdowns while completing 64.7% of his passes. The Aggies’ offense finished with 488 total yards, with 310 of those coming on the ground. Le’Veon Moss was the leading rusher, gaining 110 yards on 18 carries, and the team added 178 yards through the air.

Cyrus Allen was the top receiver for the Aggies, recording three catches for 81 yards. Texas A&M’s offense moved the chains 27 times and found the end zone twice through the air and once on the ground.

Texas A&M’s defense was effective in their most recent game, holding Florida to 52 rushing yards on 25 attempts. The Aggies’ secondary also came up with three interceptions, while allowing 249 passing yards and two touchdowns. In total, Texas A&M gave up 301 yards and 20 points, with Florida converting on 6 of 13 third-down attempts.

  • The Texas A&M Aggies have posted a 2-1 record in their previous three games. This includes going 0-3 vs. the spread and posting an over-under mark of 1-2.
  • Texas A&M has put together a record of 8-2 in their last ten games (regular season). Across these games, their ATS record was just 5-5, while posting an over-under record of 5-5.

The Lean

We have Texas A&M winning their week four matchup against Bowling Green by a score of 40-13. The current point spread is -23 in favor of Texas A&M, and we expect them to cover the spread comfortably.

With the over/under line set at 52.5 points, our projection of 53 points suggests that taking the over is the best play for this game.

Texas A&M Eyes Quarterback Decision Ahead of Bowling Green Clash

As No. 25 Texas A&M prepares to host Bowling Green this Saturday, the spotlight is focused squarely on the Aggies’ quarterback situation. With starting quarterback Conner Weigman listed as “day-to-day,” coach Mike Elko faces a crucial decision ahead of the game: stick with the talented freshman Marcel Reed, who shined in the victory over Florida, or return to Weigman if he’s healthy.

For the Aggies, the quarterback position is just one of several key factors heading into this matchup, but it’s undoubtedly the one that has fans and analysts buzzing.

Quarterback Question: Reed or Weigman?

Texas A&M’s quarterback situation has been a piece unpredictable this season. While Conner Weigman began the year as the starter, his availability during the current week remains uncertain because of a physical issue. In his absence, Marcel Reed stepped in last end of the week against Florida and put on an impressive show for a freshman making his most memorable collegiate start.

Reed completed 11 of 17 passes for 178 yards and two scores while also scrambling for 83 yards and another score in the Aggies’ 33-20 win over the Gators.

That standout performance not just earned Reed SEC Freshman of the Week praises yet in addition set his case as serious areas of strength for a moving forward. Coach Mike Elko praised the youthful quarterback however remains cautious about committing to a starter too soon in the week.

“We’ll continue to manage the quarterback room very similar to how we have and play the guy Saturday that we think gives us the best chance to win,” Elko said.

Reed’s dual-threat capability adds another layer of excitement to the Aggies’ offense, giving them a versatile option. Whether he or Weigman ultimately gets the nod, Texas A&M’s quarterback room appears to be in good hands.

Texas A&M’s Resurgence After Early Loss

Outside of the quarterback dilemma, Texas A&M has been on a solid run following their season-opening loss to Notre Dame. After bouncing back with a dominant win over McNeese, the Aggies continued their momentum with victories over Florida and at “The Swamp.”

One of the biggest strengths for A&M this season has been its running game. The Aggies have averaged an impressive 263 rushing yards per game, thanks to a dynamic group of backs and strong offensive line play.

Defensively, the Aggies have been equally formidable, recording 15 tackles for loss and five interceptions through the first three games. With a balanced attack on both sides of the ball, A&M looks poised to keep rolling as they prepare for the stretch run of their season.

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Bowling Green Faces Tough Task

Bowling Green, on the other hand, comes into this game as a 23 1/2-point underdog. Despite the odds, the Falcons have shown fight this season, and they’ve had opportunities to make a statement against some tough opponents. Last weekend, Bowling Green held a halftime lead against No. 10 Penn State before eventually falling 34-27. It was a strong effort, one that highlights the team’s resilience.

Coach Scot Loeffler knows the challenge ahead against Texas A&M but remains optimistic about his team’s ability to compete.

“We’ve got our hands full,” Loeffler said. “This is a very, very talented team. They’re big, they’re powerful, super strong, athletic. Everything that you would think of when it comes to an SEC team.”

The Falcons’ roster is led by quarterback Connor Bazelak, who has previous experience in the SEC from his time at Missouri. Bazelak has been a steady presence for Bowling Green, completing 65.6% of his passes this season with two touchdowns and two interceptions. He’s also proven to be a threat on the ground, adding a rushing touchdown to his stats.

Bowling Green’s key playmaker is tight end Harold Fannin Jr., who had a standout performance against Penn State, racking up 11 catches for 137 yards and a touchdown.

Elko’s Bowling Green Connection

This week’s matchup also brings back fond memories for Texas A&M’s coach Mike Elko, who spent five seasons as the defensive coordinator at Bowling Green from 2009-2013. During his tenure there, Elko helped lead the Falcons to a 10-4 record in 2013, his final season with the team.

“Our family absolutely loved that town,” Elko said. “We have a lot of really fond memories, a lot of really good friends that live up in Bowling Green. A lot of respect for that school, a lot of respect for that university and their program.”

While the game will mark the first-ever meeting between Texas A&M and Bowling Green, the emotional connection for Elko adds another layer of intrigue to the matchup.

Aggies Look to Keep Rolling at Home

With their recent success, the Aggies have little room for complacency, especially with their quarterback situation still uncertain. Whether it’s Reed or Weigman leading the offense, Texas A&M will look to build on their powerful ground game and solid defense to keep Bowling Green at bay.

For Bowling Green, this game presents another opportunity to challenge a big-name program and put their growing talent on display. Though the odds may not be in their favor, they’ll look to draw inspiration from their performance against Penn State and give Texas A&M all they can handle.

As the Aggies gear up for what should be another strong showing at home, all eyes will remain on the quarterback room, where a crucial decision could shape the outcome of Saturday’s game.

WinningCappers, The most trusted name in sports handicapping
Sun, Sep 15, 14:31 pm.
spread
moneyline
over/under
Texas A&M Aggies
-22.5
-110
-1800
O 51
-110
Bowling Green Falcons
+22.5
-110
1000
U 51
-110
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