Tulane Green Wave vs Memphis Tigers Picks and Predictions November 28th 2024

Tulane Green Wave vs Memphis Tigers November 28th 2024

Memphis and Tulane are set to face off in a week 14 college football matchup, with Tulane hosting at Yulman Stadium in New Orleans. The game is scheduled for 7:30 ET on Thursday, November 28th, and will be broadcast on ESPN. Tulane is favored by -14 points, and the over/under line is currently set at 55.5 points. Both teams come in with a 9-2 record for the season.

Memphis vs. Tulane Key Information

Memphis heads into Week 14 with a 9-2 record, but they are out of the American Athletic title race. They are 6-0 at home and 2-2 on the road this season. The Tigers have been favored in nine of their 11 games and are 7-2 as the favorite.

Memphis has a +12.6 average scoring margin and a 4-5-1 record against the spread. They are 3-5-1 ATS as the favorite and 2-2 on the road.

Their over/under record is 5-5, with an average line of 57.9 points. This week’s line is 55.5 points, with seven games having higher lines and three lower.

Memphis heads into week 14 averaging 35.3 points per game, ranking 18th in the nation. They are 57th in our offensive power rankings. Their passing game is their strength, ranking 11th in both attempts and completions, with 273.1 yards per game (24th).

Seth Henigan has thrown for 2,990 yards, 21 touchdowns, and six interceptions. He has a passer rating of 95, matching the team’s overall rating. Memphis is converting 43.4% of their third downs. Mario Anderson Jr. leads the rushing attack with 1,115 yards and 16 touchdowns.

Memphis’s defense is ranked 37th nationally, allowing 22.6 points per game. They’ve been strong against the run, giving up just 110.5 rushing yards per game, which ranks 23rd in the country. Opponents have averaged 28 rushing attempts per game, the 8th fewest in the nation.

In their recent game against UAB, Memphis allowed 18 points but gave up 364 total yards, including 190 rushing yards and 174 passing yards. UAB completed 18 passes and recorded two passing touchdowns.

Tulane enters Week 14 with a 9-2 record, ranked 17th in our power rankings. They have an 80.7% chance of winning the American Athletic Conference and are a lock for bowl eligibility. The Green Wave also have a 25.2% chance of making the College Football Playoff.

They’ve been favored in eight of their 11 games and are 8-0 as the favorite. Tulane’s average scoring margin this season is +23.5 points, and they’ve gone 8-2 against the spread.

The over/under line for this week is 55.5 points. Tulane’s games have averaged 57.5 points, with their over/under record at 6-4. Their average over/under line this season has been 54.2 points.

Heading into week 14, Tulane’s offense is averaging 40.5 points per game, ranking 4th nationally. They are also 2nd in third-down conversions, converting 52.2% of their attempts. Their rushing game is strong, with 43.6 attempts per game, averaging 228.8 yards, placing them 9th in the country. Our power rankings place Tulane’s offense 23rd overall.

Makhi Hughes leads the rushing attack with 1,291 yards and 15 touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry. Quarterback Darian Mensah has thrown for 2,197 yards, completing 65.9% of his passes with 18 touchdowns and 4 interceptions. He has a passer rating of 115. Mario Williams is the leading receiver with 701 yards and three touchdowns.

Tulane’s defense has been impressive this season, ranking 10th in the nation by allowing just 17 points per game. They’ve given up 117.5 rushing yards per game on 27.8 attempts, which is the 7th fewest rushing attempts faced in the country. Through the air, they’ve allowed 177.1 passing yards per game, with opposing quarterbacks managing a passer rating of just 62.7, the 6th lowest in college football.

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In their recent game against Navy, Tulane’s defense gave up just 114 total yards and forced a turnover. Navy completed only 3 passes for 13 yards, while Tulane’s defense held them to 101 rushing yards on 34 attempts and allowed just 8 first downs in the game.

Tulane is the -14 point favorite at home in their week 14 matchup against Memphis. We expect Tulane to win comfortably, with a projected final score of 40-22 in their favor.

With the over/under line set at 55.5 points, our projection of 62 total points suggests taking the over as the best bet. Tulane is likely to cover the -14 point spread, and we see value in taking them to win and the over.