Texas A&m Aggies vs Texas Longhorns Picks and Predictions November 30th 2024

Texas A&M Aggies vs Texas Longhorns November 30th 2024

ABC will be covering this week 14 college football matchup between the Texas Longhorns and Texas A&M Aggies, set to kick off at 7:30 ET from Kyle Field in College Station. The Texas Longhorns are 10-1 this season and come in as the -6-point favorites over the Aggies, who are 8-3. The over/under line is currently at 48.5 points, with the money line at -231 for the Longhorns and +187 for the Aggies.

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Texas vs. Texas A&M Key Information

• Teams: Longhorns at Aggies
• Where: Kyle Field College Station
• Date: Saturday, November 30th
• Betting Odds TX -231 | TXAM +187 O/U 48.5

The Longhorns Can Win If…

With a 10-1 record, Texas is ranked first in our power rankings heading into their Week 14 game against Texas A&M. They have a 47.1% chance of winning the Southeastern but are a lock for bowl eligibility. Texas also has a 98.1% chance of making the playoff, the fourth-best odds in the country, and the second-best odds to reach (35.3%) and win (21.2%) the national championship.

The Longhorns have been favored in all 11 games this season, going 10-1 as the favorite. They are 6-1 at home and 4-0 on the road, with an average scoring margin of +24.4 points per game. Against the spread, Texas is 6-5 this year.

The over/under line for this week is 48.5 points, lower than their average line of 52.8 points. Texas has gone 4-6-1 against the over/under, with their games averaging 48.5 points per contest.

Texas heads into week 14 ranked 14th in points per game, scoring 36.5 per contest. They are 16th in our offensive power rankings. Their passing game is their strength, ranking 17th nationally with 279.6 yards per game. They are 21st in completions, averaging 23 per game, and 31st in attempts with 34. Texas is 14th in completion percentage at 67.6% and 12th in passer rating.

Quinn Ewers leads the Longhorns with 2,089 passing yards and a passer rating of 108. He has completed 68% of his passes, throwing 23 touchdowns and six interceptions. Quintrevion Wisner leads the rushing attack with 626 yards, averaging 5 yards per carry. Isaiah Bond has 510 receiving yards and five touchdowns on 32 catches.

Texas’ defense has been a standout this season, ranking third nationally by allowing just 12.1 points per game. In their recent matchup against Kentucky, they gave up only 14 points and forced two interceptions. Kentucky managed just 21 rushing yards on 30 attempts, while Texas allowed 211 passing yards.

Opposing quarterbacks have struggled against Texas, posting a passer rating of 52.8, the third-lowest in the country. Texas ranks fifth in passing yards allowed, giving up just 143.3 yards per game, and they are 17th in rushing defense, allowing 105.5 yards per game on 33.8 attempts.

• Spanning across their last three games, Texas have gone 3-0. Against the spread, they have gone 1-2 and logged an over-under record of 1-2 in these games.
• The Texas Longhorns have gone 9-1 over their last ten regular season games. This includes going 5-5 vs. the spread along with an over-under mark of 4-5-1.

The Aggies Can Win If…

Texas A&M enters Week 14 against Texas with an 8-3 record, ranked 15th in our power rankings. They are 5-1 at home and have a 100% chance of being bowl-eligible. However, their odds of winning the Southeastern are just 6.2%. The Aggies have a 6.0% chance of making the playoff, according to our projections.

The Aggies have been favored in nine of their 11 games this season, going 7-2 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is +10.9 points, but they are 3-6 against the spread.

This week’s over/under line is 48.5 points. Texas A&M’s average over/under line is 49.6 points, and their games have averaged 54 points, with a 5-4 over/under record.

Texas A&M’s offense has been driven by their ground game, ranking 13th in rushing attempts and averaging 209.3 yards per game, placing them 18th nationally. Le’Veon Moss leads the team with 765 rushing yards, 10 touchdowns, and an impressive 6 yards per carry. Overall, the Aggies are 21st in our offensive power rankings and are scoring 32.5 points per game, which ranks 31st in the country.

Quarterback Marcel Reed has thrown for 1,426 yards with 12 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 101. Texas A&M ranks 79th in passing attempts, averaging 208.7 yards per game. Noah Thomas is the leading receiver with 514 yards and 6 touchdowns. The Aggies have converted 45.6% of their third-down attempts, ranking 22nd nationally.

Texas A&M’s defense will look to bounce back after giving up 43 points in their recent overtime loss to Auburn. The Aggies allowed 469 total yards, with 301 yards coming through the air and 168 on the ground, while forcing one interception.

On the season, Texas A&M’s defense ranks 31st nationally, allowing 21.5 points per game. Opponents have averaged 129.5 rushing yards per game and 227.7 passing yards, completing just 52% of their passes, the seventh-lowest rate in the country.

• Texas A&M has put together a record of 3-0 over their past three games. In addition, their ATS record over this stretch is 2-1 while posting a 2-1 over-under mark.
• Across Texas A&M’s last ten regular season games, their record sits at 9-1. Their record against the spread in this stretch is 3-7 to go along with an over-under mark of 4-6.

The Lean

Our projections have Texas A&M winning this week 14 matchup against the Texas Longhorns, with a final score of 25-19. The Aggies are +6 point underdogs, and we believe they will not only win straight-up but also cover the spread.

For the over/under, with the line set at 48.5 points, we recommend taking the under, as our model is forecasting a total of 44 points.

College Football Picks from Expert Handicappers

No. 3 Texas, No. 20 Texas A&M Rivalry Rekindled: Battle for a Championship Berth

The storied rivalry between Texas and Texas A&M returns with high stakes and even higher anticipation. Once fierce conference rivals, the No. 3 Texas Longhorns (10-1, 6-1 SEC) and No. 20 Texas A&M Aggies (8-3, 5-2 SEC) will meet Saturday night in College Station. The winner secures a place in the SEC Championship Game against No. 7 Georgia, reigniting a matchup that’s been dormant for over a decade.

A Rivalry Renewed

Historic Beginnings:
Dating back to 1903, Texas and Texas A&M have faced off 109 times, creating one of college football’s most celebrated rivalries. This annual clash paused in 2011 when the Aggies departed the Big 12 for the SEC, leaving fans on both sides longing for its revival.

Reunion in the SEC:
Texas’ first season in the SEC marks the rivalry’s return, rekindling a tradition steeped in history and competition. “When they made the decision to join the league, you kind of always knew this day was coming,” said Aggies coach Mike Elko.

What’s at Stake

For Texas A&M:

• A win would send the Aggies to their first SEC Championship Game since joining the conference in 2012.
• A loss would end any lingering College Football Playoff (CFP) hopes.

For Texas:

• A victory guarantees a spot in the SEC title game.
• Even with a loss, the Longhorns could still make the CFP, contingent on outcomes elsewhere.

Team Form and Momentum

Texas Longhorns:

• Recent Form: Texas is riding a four-game winning streak since their only loss, a 30-15 defeat to Georgia on Oct. 19.
• Key Players:
  • Quinn Ewers (QB): Despite an ankle injury sustained last week, Ewers is expected to start.
  • Rushing Attack: With Ewers limited, Texas leaned on running backs Quintrevion Wisner and Jaydon Blue against Kentucky, amassing a season-high 250 rushing yards.
• Mindset: Texas coach Steve Sarkisian emphasized preparation over emotion, stating, “Rivalries are great, but at the end of the day, winning comes down to execution.”

Texas A&M Aggies:

• Recent Form: The Aggies have stumbled with back-to-back road losses in SEC play, including a grueling 43-41 quadruple-overtime game at Auburn.
• Key Players:
  • Marcel Reed (QB): The dual-threat quarterback has sparked the offense, highlighted by his dynamic second-half performance in a win over LSU.
  • Defense: Struggling in recent games, the Aggies have allowed their two highest point totals of the season.

Strategic Insights

Texas’ Keys to Victory:

• Lean on the running game to ease the burden on an injured Quinn Ewers.
• Execute in critical moments, particularly in special situations and red-zone opportunities.

Texas A&M’s Path to Success:

• Contain Texas’ high-powered offense, which Aggies coach Mike Elko labeled as “without question” the best they’ve faced this season.
• Maximize Marcel Reed’s versatility to exploit Texas’ defense.

Psychological and Environmental Factors

Hostile Atmosphere:
Playing on the road can be challenging, but Texas linebacker David Gbenda views it as a motivator. “It’s so much more fun on the road because you walk into the stadium, and there’s a bunch of people heckling us… it lights a fire under us to just prove everybody wrong,” he said.

Coaching Focus:
Both Sarkisian and Elko are steering their teams to prioritize disciplined execution, aiming to transcend the emotional intensity of the rivalry.

Game Implications for the SEC and CFP

The SEC Championship Picture:

• The winner faces No. 7 Georgia in Atlanta, a matchup with significant playoff implications.

CFP Scenarios:

• Texas has a safety net, as their CFP chances may survive a loss depending on other results.
• Texas A&M must win to keep their playoff hopes alive.

Players to Watch

• Texas Longhorns:
  • Quintrevion Wisner (RB): Coming off a career-high 158-yard game, Wisner is pivotal to the Longhorns’ offense.
  • Jaydon Blue (RB): Complementing Wisner, Blue adds depth to the rushing attack.
• Texas A&M Aggies:
  • Marcel Reed (QB): A versatile quarterback, Reed’s dual-threat ability is critical for sustaining drives.
  • Defensive Unit: Needs to deliver a bounce-back performance after struggling in recent losses.

Conclusion: A Clash of Titans

The Texas-Texas A&M rivalry is back, promising drama, passion, and high stakes. With a championship game berth on the line, both teams have everything to play for. Will Texas continue their dominant season, or can Texas A&M capitalize on the home-field advantage to pull off a season-defining upset? College football fans won’t want to miss this epic showdown.