Chicago Bears vs Minnesota Vikings Picks and Predictions November 24th 2024

Bears vs Vikings November 24th 2024

With the Vikings favored on the road, their money line odds are -174 compared to the Bears at +148. The Vikings and Bears will kick off at 1:00 ET on Sunday, November 24th at Soldier Field in Chicago. The Vikings are -3 point favorites, and the over/under line is 39.5 points. The Bears and Vikings need to add their current records. You can catch this week 12 NFC North matchup on FOX.

Minnesota vs. Chicago Key Information

The Vikings head into week 12 against the Bears with an 8-2 record, ranking 8th in our NFL power rankings. Minnesota has a 95.1% chance of making the playoffs and a 10.4% chance of winning the NFC North. They are currently 2nd in the division, with a 1-1 record in divisional games. They are 4-1 at home and 4-1 on the road.

Against the spread, the Vikings are 7-3, with a +7.4 scoring margin. They are 4-3 as favorites and 3-0 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 3-7, with the under hitting in three straight games. Their games have averaged 41.4 points, compared to an average O/U line of 44.8.

Heading into week 12, the Vikings are 14th in our offensive power rankings. They’re 9th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 24.4 points per game, and they lead the league in first-quarter scoring. Minnesota ranks 15th in total yards per game (341), 12th in passing yards (224.6), and 19th in rushing yards (116.4). They’re 12th in the NFL in 3rd-down conversions and 13th in red zone efficiency, converting 31.2% of their opportunities.

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Sam Darnold threw for 246 yards and 2 touchdowns in week 11, posting a passer rating of 107. Justin Jefferson led the team with 6 catches for 81 yards, while Aaron Jones had 39 rushing yards on 15 carries. Minnesota scored 23 points in their win over the Titans, with 16 of those coming in the first half.

In the Vikings’ 23-13 win over the Titans, their defense allowed just 33 rushing yards on 19 attempts, making it tough for Tennessee to run the ball effectively. Minnesota gave up 261 passing yards on 17 completions, but they did limit the Titans to a 54.8% completion percentage. The Vikings also recorded five sacks and came away with one interception.

Minnesota’s defense was strong on third downs, allowing the Titans to convert just 40% of their third down attempts. Despite giving up 294 total yards, the Vikings kept the Titans out of the endzone and allowed only one passing touchdown.

Chicago heads into week 12 against the Vikings looking to snap a four-game losing streak. The Bears are now 4-6 on the season, putting them 4th in the NFC North. They have a +0.7 scoring margin and are 6-4 against the spread, including a narrow one-point loss to the Packers in week 11, where they covered as 6-point underdogs. The O/U in that game was 41, and the teams combined for 39 points, marking the fourth straight under for Chicago.

With a 0% chance of winning the division and just a 1.1% chance of making the playoffs, the Bears rank 24th in our NFL power rankings. They are 4-2 at home but 0-4 on the road, and they are 0-1 in division games and 2-3 in conference play.

Heading into week 12, the Bears are 22nd in our offensive power rankings. They rank 21st in the NFL in points per game (19.4) and 29th in yards per game (289). Chicago is 12th in passing attempts but 28th in passing yards per game, averaging 173.8. On the ground, they are 16th in rushing attempts and 22nd in rushing yards per game, with 115.2. The Bears have struggled on third down, converting just 31.9% of their attempts, which ranks 28th in the league. However, they have been efficient in the red zone, converting 60.9% of their opportunities, which ranks 3rd in the NFL.

In week 11, Caleb Williams threw for 231 yards on 23/31 passing, with no touchdowns or interceptions. He was sacked three times after being sacked nine times in week 10. D’Andre Swift led the team with 71 rushing yards on 14 carries, while Rome Odunze had 6 catches for 65 yards. The Bears scored 19 points in week 11, with 9 coming in the 3rd quarter, but they were held scoreless in the 4th quarter.

In their 20-19 loss to the Packers, the Bears’ defense allowed just 13 completions but gave up 260 passing yards, including one touchdown. Green Bay was able to move the ball effectively, with Chicago forcing just one sack and struggling to generate consistent pressure. The Bears also allowed the Packers to convert 80% of their red zone trips into touchdowns.

Chicago’s defense did perform well on third downs, allowing only a 20% conversion rate. They also came up with one interception and limited the Packers to a 76.5% completion rate. Despite this, the Bears’ defense will be looking to improve in their next game, as they allowed 366 total yards to Green Bay.

Our model has the Bears coming out on top by a score of 27-19, making them a great pick to cover the spread. The Bears are our pick vs. the spread, as they are currently sitting at +3 point home underdogs.

As for an over/under pick, with the line at 39.5 points, we like the over, projecting a combined score of 46 points. This is a great opportunity to take the Bears to cover as home underdogs.

Caleb Williams, Bears Look to Rebound, End Skid vs. Vikings

Minnesota Vikings coach Kevin O’Connell knows his team’s 8-2 record is impressive, but he’s not resting on the success. As the Vikings prepare to visit the Chicago Bears (4-6) on Sunday, O’Connell emphasized the need for continued improvement.

“8-2 means absolutely nothing,” O’Connell said. “We’ve just got to continue to get better and prove it.”

Bears Desperate to Snap Losing Streak

The Bears are in the throes of a four-game losing streak, their last victory coming on Oct. 13. Their skid began with a heartbreaking loss to the Washington Commanders on a last-second Hail Mary and continued last week when a blocked 46-yard field goal by the Green Bay Packers sealed their fate.

Despite the struggles, coach Matt Eberflus remains optimistic.

“There were a lot of positives to build from,” Eberflus said. “That’s what you have to do.”

Rookie quarterback Caleb Williams showed promise last week against the Packers, completing 23 of 31 passes for 231 yards while adding 70 rushing yards on nine carries. Wide receiver DJ Moore, who had seven catches for 62 yards, expressed confidence in the offense’s ability to move the ball against the Vikings’ defense.

“With all the players we’ve got, I hope we are able to move the ball on all types of defenses — from the No. 1 defense in the league down to the 32nd,” Moore said. “I hope we can keep it up and hopefully get some wins out of it.”

Vikings Riding Momentum

The Vikings are aiming to extend their three-game winning streak, having recently defeated the Indianapolis Colts, Jacksonville Jaguars, and Tennessee Titans. Quarterback Sam Darnold has been a revelation under center, posting a career-best 67.9 percent completion rate and 19 touchdowns against 10 interceptions. His next touchdown pass will set a new personal best.

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“I think here it’s the detail that we’ve had ever since OTAs, ever since April,” Darnold said. “If you play like that, it makes the quarterback position a little bit easier.”

Darnold has leaned on All-Pro wide receiver Justin Jefferson, who leads the team with 59 catches for 912 yards and five touchdowns. Running back Aaron Jones, a former Packer, has contributed 692 rushing yards and two scores on the ground.

A Tale of Two Teams

The Bears’ strength at home (4-2 this season) will be tested against the Vikings, who boast a strong road record at 4-1. The teams split their meetings last season, with the Vikings winning 19-13 in Chicago and the Bears responding with a 12-10 victory in Minneapolis.

Both teams have much at stake. The Bears are desperate to snap their losing streak, while the Vikings look to solidify their position atop the NFC North. With rookie Williams aiming to prove his potential and Darnold revitalizing his career, Sunday’s matchup promises intrigue and intensity on the shores of Lake Michigan.