Ottawa Senators vs Calgary Flames Picks and Predictions November 25th 2024

Senators vs Flames NHL Mon, Nov 25, 19:30 pm.
Senators
ML: -150
0
0
Flames
ML: 130
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Don’t miss out on the NHL showdown between the Flames and Senators. The game is starting at 7:30 ET on ESPN+, and it’s hosted by the Senators at Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, ON. Get ready to place your bets! This non-conference matchup has an over/under of 6 goals, and the Senators are favored by -1.5 against the Flames.

Calgary vs. Ottawa Key Information

  • Teams: Flames at Senators
  • Where: Canadian Tire Centre Ottawa
  • Date: Monday, November 25th
  • Betting Odds OTT -149 | CGY +126 O/U 6

The Flames Can Win If…

Calgary dropped to 12-6-3 after a 4-2 road loss to the Oilers. The Flames were the underdogs on the puck line and the total was set at 6.5 goals, with the combined score reaching 6.

After falling behind 2-0 in the first period, Calgary tied it up with goals in the second and third periods. However, Edmonton pulled ahead with 9:50 left in the third and added an empty-netter to seal the win.

Calgary’s offense took 31 shots on goal in their 4-2 loss to Edmonton, but only found the net twice. Anthony Mantha scored his fourth goal of the season on a power play, while Yegor Sharangovich added his first goal of the year in the third period.

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The Flames recorded 22 offensive giveaways and had three assists. Tyson Barrie picked up his first assist of the season on Mantha’s goal, and Mikael Backlund earned his fourth assist. Kevin Bahl assisted on Sharangovich’s goal, bringing his assist total to five this season.

Calgary’s defense struggled early, conceding the first two goals of the game, both in the first period. The first came just 20 seconds into the game, followed by another at the 11:48 mark. After the Flames tied it up at 2-2, the defense gave up another goal 10:10 into the 3rd period, and an empty-netter with just 3 seconds left. Goalie Dan Vladar made 27 saves with a 90% save percentage.

  • The Flames have posted a 3-0 record in their previous three games. Their strong play has also resulted in an puck line mark of 2-1 (last 3). They had an over/under mark of 1-2 in those same games.
  • Across Calgary’s last ten regular season games, their record sits at 6-4. Across these games, their puck line record was just 6-4, while posting an over-under record of 2-8.

The Senators Can Win If…

The Senators improved to 8-11-1 with a 3-0 win over the Kraken. Ottawa covered the puck line as -1.5 goal favorites, and the total of 6.5 goals was never threatened, as the game’s 3 combined goals fell well short.

All three of Ottawa’s goals came from different players. Adam Gaudette opened the scoring at 14:32 in the first period, and Brady Tkachuk added another in the second. Tim Stützle sealed the win with an empty-netter in the third.

In their 3-0 win over Seattle, the Senators took 23 shots on goal and scored three times. Adam Gaudette netted his 7th goal of the season in the first period, followed by Brady Tkachuk, who also scored his 7th. Tim Stützle added his 6th goal on an empty net with 2:14 left in the game.

Stützle also picked up his 10th assist on Tkachuk’s goal. Michael Amadio earned his 2nd assist on Stützle’s empty-netter, while Nick Cousins now has 4 assists this season and Zack MacEwen recorded his 1st assist on Gaudette’s goal. Ottawa finished the game with 11 giveaways.

Anton Forsberg stopped all 22 shots he faced, posting a 100% save percentage in the Senators’ 3-0 win over the Kraken. Ottawa’s defense also tallied 2 takeaways, 25 hits, and 14 blocks.

  • Ottawa has put together a record of 0-3 in their last three games (regular season). Their record vs the puck line sits at 0-3 in these matchups, while posting a 2-1 over-under mark.
  • Ottawa has put together a record of 3-7 in their last ten games (regular season). Their record against the puck line in this stretch is 3-7 to go along with an over-under mark of 3-5-2.

The Lean

For a moneyline bet, I’m backing the Senators to secure a victory over the Flames at home. With the moneyline currently set at -149, I’m locking in my bet on the Senators straight-up.

For my recommended choice in the puck line, I’m leaning towards the Flames to cover. Even if the Senators secure a straight-up win, this game is expected to be tightly contested, and the Flames should cover the puck line.

With an over/under line sitting at 6 goals, we like this game to surpass that mark and recommend getting a bet down on the over.

Senators Seek to End Slump with Flames Looming

The Ottawa Senators, sitting at a critical juncture in their season, are clinging to hope for a turnaround as they prepare to face the surging Calgary Flames on Monday night. While there’s still plenty of hockey left to play, the Senators know they need to fix their issues fast to stay in the playoff conversation.

The Struggle is Real: Senators on a Five-Game Slide

Saturday’s 4-3 loss to the Vancouver Canucks marked the Senators’ fifth consecutive defeat and their fourth straight in regulation. Though two late goals added some gloss to the final score, the underlying issues remain unchanged. With seven years of playoff absence weighing on them — the third-longest drought in the league — the Senators are desperate to flip the script.

Currently second-to-last in the Eastern Conference standings, Ottawa sits six points shy of a playoff spot but has two games in hand over the Boston Bruins, who occupy the final wild-card position.

A Glimmer of Belief Amid the Chaos

Despite the challenges, the team isn’t giving up.

“I think we’re going to turn this around,” said forward Claude Giroux. “I strongly believe that. And you know, it’s got to be everybody. It just can’t be a few guys having good games. We need everybody to be dialed in. The guys are working hard, but we’ve got to play a little smarter, and it’s going to turn around.”

Smart play, however, has eluded the Senators. Costly turnovers have plagued them game after game, and without reliable goaltending to cover those mistakes, the team has struggled to stay competitive.

“In the NHL, you can’t gift goals,” head coach Travis Green lamented. “Look at all four goals (against Vancouver) — a couple of turnovers, we make a mistake. Those are gifts. You’re going to make mistakes. In the NHL, there are a lot of mistakes made. You have to play better.”

The Flames Bring Momentum to Ottawa

In contrast to the Senators’ woes, the Calgary Flames arrive in Ottawa riding a wave of confidence. The Flames have won four straight games, including a thrilling 4-3 shootout victory over the Minnesota Wild on Saturday to cap off a perfect homestand. Now, they kick off a four-game road trip with momentum on their side.

“It gives us a lot of confidence,” defenseman Rasmus Andersson said after scoring the deciding shootout goal. “We should’ve won in regulation, but it is what it is, and we end up getting two points.”

Calgary’s resilience has been a defining trait. Even after surrendering a two-goal lead in the third period against Minnesota, the Flames regrouped and found a way to win.

Flames Find Their Groove on the Power Play

One of Calgary’s recent highlights has been their power-play resurgence. After scoring just twice on the man-advantage over 13 games, the Flames have turned it around with a 4-for-8 power-play success rate over their last three outings.

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“We’re just moving the puck well,” Andersson explained. “When we have shooting opportunities, we shoot, and we try and work the puck back as quickly as possible after we shoot it. … It’s a good thing, now we’ve just got to keep it going.”

However, Calgary’s offensive production remains an area for improvement. Despite contending for the top spot in the Pacific Division, the Flames have scored three or fewer non-shootout goals in 18 consecutive games, posting a 9-6-3 record in that stretch.

A Clash of Opposites

Monday’s matchup will pit two teams with starkly different trajectories. For the Senators, it’s a chance to stop the bleeding and rediscover their game before the season slips away. For the Flames, it’s an opportunity to keep their momentum alive and tighten their grip on playoff contention.

As the puck drops in Ottawa, both teams will be hungry — but only one will skate away satisfied.

WinningCappers, The most trusted name in sports handicapping
spread
moneyline
over/under
Senators
-1.5
173
-150
O 6
-105
Flames
+1.5
-205
130
U 6
-115
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