Calgary Flames vs Minnesota Wild Picks and Predictions April 11th 2025

Calgary Flames vs Minnesota Wild April 11th 2025

Don’t miss out on the NHL showdown between the Wild and Flames. The game is starting at 10:00 ET on ESPN+, and it’s hosted by the Flames at Scotiabank Saddledome in Calgary, AB. Get ready to place your bets! In this Western matchup, the Wild are favored by -1.5 goals against the Flames. The over/under for the game is 5.5 goals.

Minnesota vs. Calgary Key Information

• Teams: Wild at Flames
• Where: Scotiabank Saddledome Calgary
• Date: Friday, April 11th
• Betting Odds MIN -122 | CGY +103 O/U 5.5

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The Wild Can Win If…

With a 2-1 overtime win against the Maple Leafs, the Wild improved to 43-29-7. Minnesota, favored by -1.5 goals, failed to cover the puck line. The total for the game was set at 6 goals, but the teams combined for just 3.

Ryan Hartman opened the scoring for the Wild at 9:41 in the first period, but the Maple Leafs tied it with just 52 seconds left in the period. Matt Boldy’s goal at 17:46 in overtime secured the win for Minnesota.

Ryan Hartman opened the scoring for the Wild, netting his third goal of the season 9:41 into the first period. Matt Boldy followed with his sixth goal, which came 2:14 into overtime to secure the 2-1 win.

Jared Spurgeon picked up two assists, bringing his season total to three. The Wild fired 33 shots on goal but were held scoreless in the second and third periods, before Boldy’s overtime winner.

Defensively, the Wild will look to build on their last performance, where they gave up just one goal to Toronto. Filip Gustavsson made 27 saves with a 96.4% save percentage, and the defense added 7 takeaways and 22 hits. The only goal they allowed came at 19:08 in the first period on a Maple Leafs power play.

• Over their last three games, the Wild have gone 2-1 straight up. This includes going 1-2 vs. the puck line and posting an over-under mark of 1-2.
• The Wild have gone 4-6 over their last ten regular season games. This includes going 5-5 vs. the puck line along with an over-under mark of 5-5.

The Flames Can Win If…

Calgary’s 4-2 loss to the Oilers moved their record to 37-28-14. The Flames were underdogs on the puck line, and the total was set at 6.5 goals, with the combined score of 6 falling just short.

After falling behind 2-0 in the first period, the Flames tied it up in the third, but Edmonton pulled ahead with a power-play goal and added an empty-netter to seal the win.

Calgary’s offense managed just two goals in their 4-2 loss to the Oilers. Anthony Mantha netted his 4th goal of the season on a power play in the second period, while Yegor Sharangovich scored his first goal of the year in the third.

The Flames fired 31 shots on goal but were hindered by 22 giveaways. They recorded three assists, with Tyson Barrie earning his first of the season on Mantha’s goal, and Kevin Bahl picking up his 5th assist on Sharangovich’s score.

Calgary’s defense got off to a rough start, allowing the first two goals of the game. The first came just 20 seconds into the 1st period, and the second came at the 11:48 mark. After the Flames tied the game at 2-2, they gave up a power-play goal at 9:50 in the 3rd and an empty-netter with 3 seconds left. Dan Vladar made 27 saves with a 90% save percentage.

• Across Calgary’s last three regular season games, their record sits at 1-2. In these matchups, they ended with an puck line record of 1-2 and an over-under mark of 1-2.
• Calgary has put together a record of 5-5 in their last ten games (regular season). Their record against the puck line in this stretch is 5-5 to go along with an over-under mark of 4-6.

The Lean

For a moneyline bet, I’m backing the Flames to secure a victory over the Wild at home. With the moneyline currently set at +103, I’m locking in my bet on the Flames straight-up.

Our projections have the Flames pulling out a win as the underdog. But if you’re not as bullish as we are on the Flames, we’d recommend at least getting a bet down on them to cover the puck line.

For those looking at the over/under line set at 5.5 goals, our expectation is that this game will surpass that mark, and we suggest making a bet on the over.

Daily NHL Picks & Predictions

As the NHL regular season winds down, the stakes couldn’t be higher for Friday night’s clash between the Minnesota Wild and the Calgary Flames. Minnesota is on the verge of clinching a playoff spot, while Calgary enters the game teetering on the edge of elimination.

Wild Riding High After Electrifying OT Win

The Wild (43-29-7, 93 points) are brimming with confidence following a thrilling 8-7 overtime victory over the San Jose Sharks. But the real story is the return of superstar forwards Kirill Kaprizov and Joel Eriksson Ek, whose comebacks ignited a team that had been struggling.

Kaprizov, sidelined for 28 games, wasted no time making his presence felt. He racked up a three-point night, including the dramatic overtime winner. Eriksson Ek, back after missing 21 games, erupted for a career-high four goals.

“They were huge difference-makers,” head coach John Hynes said. “They mean so much to the team and personally. It’s a big lift for everyone.”

Minnesota, currently tied with the St. Louis Blues for the top wild-card spot in the Western Conference, has a crucial advantage: one game in hand. That makes every remaining contest even more valuable.

Defense a Concern Despite Offensive Surge

Despite the thrilling finish, the Wild’s defensive lapse nearly cost them the game. After holding a 7-4 lead early in the third, they allowed San Jose to tie it in the final minute before Kaprizov’s heroics.

“Not our best defensive game,” Kaprizov admitted. “But it’s a nice win. We’ll take these two points.”

Matt Boldy, who tallied four assists in the game, echoed the sentiment: “We found a way to win, and that’s all that matters. But we know we can be better.”

With playoff positioning on the line, the Wild must tighten up defensively—especially against a Calgary team desperate for results.

Flames in Crisis Mode After Crushing Loss

The Calgary Flames (37-27-14, 88 points) return home licking their wounds after a devastating 4-3 overtime loss to the Anaheim Ducks. Calgary led 3-1 with just four minutes left before surrendering two quick goals and losing in overtime.

“That game should’ve been over,” said defenseman MacKenzie Weegar. “We’ve got to shut that game down. That loss could cost us everything.”

Now, Calgary sits five points back of Minnesota and St. Louis with only four games to play. The math is simple: win every remaining game and hope for help from other teams. Anything less spells elimination.

The Flames have taken two games from the Wild this season but are winless in three against the Blues—adding another hurdle to their uphill battle.

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Do-or-Die Moment for Calgary

Friday’s game is effectively a must-win for the Flames.

“We can’t change what happened,” said coach Ryan Huska. “All we can do is be ready for Minnesota. We need our best effort—period.”

The locker room will need to dig deep. Calgary’s season—one that exceeded many expectations—now hangs by a thread.

Key Takeaways:

What to Watch For

• Kaprizov & Eriksson Ek’s Impact: Can they maintain their high-level play?
• Minnesota’s Defense: Will they tighten up or leave the door open again?
• Calgary’s Resolve: Can they rebound emotionally from a crushing loss?

Conclusion

This matchup between the Minnesota Wild and Calgary Flames isn’t just another regular-season game—it’s a potential playoff decider. With their stars back and momentum on their side, Minnesota is poised to punch their postseason ticket. Calgary, meanwhile, must rise from heartbreak and play perfect hockey to stay alive.

Fans can expect high drama, emotional swings, and playoff-intensity hockey when these two teams face off. One team’s dream may come true—while the other’s could end.