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The Dream Can Win If Smesko’s Momentum and Howard’s Hot Streak Continue
The Atlanta Dream are riding a wave under rookie coach Karl Smesko, who has just set a new WNBA record for most wins by a first-year head coach. His team’s latest win was a decisive 87–62 blowout over the Connecticut Sun, and players like Naz Hillmon praise his adaptability and coach-of-the-year caliber impact.
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Rhyne Howard has been electrifying—adding 18 points, 6 assists, and a near triple-double Monday, on top of her record-tying nine 3-pointers and 37-point explosion earlier. If Howard stays in rhythm and Smesko keeps the offense humming, the Dream look unstoppable.
The Sun Can Win If They Stop the Bleeding and Hold Defense
The Sun have struggled in the second half, getting outscored 42–19 on Monday and falling to 11–32 overall. Halfcourt defense collapsed, and their execution faltered. Rookie Saniya Rivers scored 10 points on Monday and 23 on Sept. 1, but the team now needs a collective reset.
If they lock down defensively and clamp up Atlanta’s shooters while generating stops, they may salvage pride and end the Dream’s momentum—especially in front of a home crowd.
The Lean
- Pick: Dream to win straight up
- Projected Score: Dream 88, Sun 75
- Best Bet: Over total points (160) — Atlanta’s offensive pace and scoring volume make it a solid over play
For deeper insights, check out the WNBA picks and scores & odds sections on our site.
Expanded Analysis
Smesko’s arrival has redefined the Dream’s identity. His “Smesko-ball” style—high pace, spacing, and shooting—has vaulted Atlanta into second place nationally by wins. Howard’s shooting prowess fits that system perfectly, and it’s fueling their surge.
Sun’s Struggles Offensively and Defensively
Connecticut’s inability to execute defense after halftime speaks volumes. Whether it’s in pressure defense or handling bookend shooting, they’re not keeping pace. If they don’t stop the bleeding early, the Dream are likely to seal it fast.
Season Stakes Fuel Momentum
With the Dream pushing for playoff positioning, every win matters. The Sun, despite an off year, can still walk away with something meaningful: respect. Emotionally-charged finales can deliver.
FAQs
Who’s the rising coach this season?
Karl Smesko has broken the WNBA record for most wins by a first-year head coach with an electric offense.
Who’s lighting it up offensively for the Dream?
Rhyne Howard—she’s averaging 3-point records and dynamic scoring bursts, including 18 points Monday and 37 just a few days earlier.
What’s the best betting option today?
The Dream on the moneyline is the clear value. Expect a high-scoring game—lean Over 160.
Can the Sun respond defensively?
Only if they regroup defensively and disrupt Atlanta’s rhythm. So far, that’s been the Sun’s biggest weakness.
Where do I find more game day picks?
Check our WNBA picks page for expert analysis, and monitor scores & odds for the latest line moves.
