Atlanta Dream vs Indiana Fever Picks and Predictions September 18th 2025

Fever vs Dream Picks and Predictions — September 18, 2025

The Indiana Fever and Atlanta Dream will square off in a winner-take-all Game 3 on Thursday night in College Park, GA. Both teams are looking to end long postseason droughts—neither franchise has advanced to the WNBA semifinals since the mid-2010s. The Dream took Game 1 convincingly, 80-68, but the Fever responded with a dominant 77-60 home win in Game 2. Now the pressure’s back on Atlanta to deliver at home and avoid a monumental collapse.

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Opening odds:

• Moneyline: Atlanta -155, Indiana +135
• Spread: Dream -3
• Total: 159.5

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Indiana Fever Can Win If…

• They keep the defensive intensity from Game 2. Indiana held Atlanta to just 37.9% shooting and won the rebounding battle.
• Kelsey Mitchell plays the role of lead scorer with confidence. She dropped 19 points in Game 2 and set the tone from the opening tip.
• They maintain control despite being on the road—this team finished the regular season winning 5 of its last 7 games.

“The playoffs are all about not giving up… we won’t give up,” Mitchell said after the Game 2 win.

Atlanta Dream Can Win If…

• Allisha Gray and Rhyne Howard return to form. After scoring 20 each in Game 1, they were held to just 9 and 10 in Game 2.
• They play to their identity at home—pushing pace, shooting efficiently, and winning the hustle categories.
• The Dream get better looks from beyond the arc and improve offensive spacing.

“I truly believe we’ll play our best game of the series next game,” Dream head coach Karl Smesko said.

Key WNBA Betting Trends

The Lean

Pick: Indiana Fever +3
Projected Final Score: Fever 78, Dream 75
Total Lean: Under 159.5

Reasoning: Indiana showed serious defensive chops in Game 2 and is playing with house money. Atlanta’s offense has sputtered, and without a resurgence from Gray and Howard, the Dream are vulnerable to another upset. Fever head coach Stephanie White has this team locked in, and that edge could carry them to a second straight postseason win.

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