Los Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies Picks and Predictions October 4th 2025

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Los Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies

The Los Angeles Dodgers head to Citizens Bank Park for a late-season showdown with the Philadelphia Phillies in what could be a preview of the NLCS. Both clubs have already secured playoff berths, but playoff seeding and bragging rights are on the line.

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The Dodgers took the opener behind Shohei Ohtani’s two-run blast — his 52nd of the year — and a strong bullpen showing. Los Angeles’ pitching staff continues to shine, holding opponents to two runs or fewer in six of their last eight games. Philadelphia, however, remains dangerous at home, where they’ve gone 47–28 this season.

Projected Pitching Matchup

  • Dodgers: Bobby Miller (RHP, 3.29 ERA, 1.10 WHIP)
  • Phillies: Zack Wheeler (RHP, 3.45 ERA, 1.09 WHIP)

This duel between two of the NL’s top strikeout pitchers should deliver fireworks. Wheeler is coming off eight shutout innings in his last start, while Miller has allowed just one home run over his past 25 innings.

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Key Stats:

  • Dodgers are 12–3 in their last 15 games vs right-handed pitchers.
  • Phillies rank 4th in MLB in OPS at home (.817).
  • Bryce Harper has hit safely in 12 straight games.

Best Bets & Prediction

Bet TypePickOdds
MoneylineDodgers +105Slight value on L.A. given their bullpen advantage and offensive balance.
Total RunsUnder 7.5 (-112)Two top-tier starters, both in excellent form. Expect a pitching duel.
Player PropShohei Ohtani Over 1.5 Total Bases (-115)Ohtani thrives vs power fastballs like Wheeler’s.

Score Prediction: Dodgers 4, Phillies 2

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Injuries and Conditions

  • Dodgers: Walker Buehler (forearm) – out; Freddie Freeman (rest) – probable.
  • Phillies: Brandon Marsh (ankle) – day-to-day; Ranger Suárez (elbow) – out.
  • Weather: 68°F, mild wind to right field – slight boost for lefty hitters.

Handicappers and Picks

Expert consensus from Scores and Stats leans toward a low-scoring game, with the Dodgers’ bullpen depth as the difference-maker. Bettors should also keep an eye on prop lines for Ohtani and Harper, as both are locked in offensively.

Before locking in MLB bets, review our sharp analysis for Monday Night Football and Thursday Night Football matchups — valuable insights to build a complete betting portfolio this weekend.