Detroit Tigers vs Seattle Mariners Picks and Predictions October 4th 2025

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The Detroit Tigers continue their West Coast road trip with a visit to T-Mobile Park to face the Seattle Mariners in a late-season matchup between two teams trending in opposite directions.

Detroit has quietly played spoiler lately, taking two of three from the Astros and winning four of their last six. Tarik Skubal takes the mound Saturday night, capping off a breakout season where he’s emerged as one of the AL’s top left-handers. Seattle, meanwhile, remains in the thick of the AL Wild Card hunt and is desperate for wins after dropping back-to-back series to the Twins and Angels.

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Projected Pitching Matchup

  • Tigers: Tarik Skubal (LHP, 2.87 ERA, 197 K)
  • Mariners: George Kirby (RHP, 3.35 ERA, 1.07 WHIP)

Skubal has been nearly unhittable down the stretch, posting a 1.72 ERA over his last five starts. Kirby, known for his pinpoint control, will need to keep Detroit’s left-handed bats quiet.

Key Stats:

  • Tigers are 9–4 in their last 13 games.
  • Mariners rank 3rd in MLB in bullpen ERA (3.09).
  • Julio Rodríguez has 7 HRs and 18 RBIs over his last 15 games.

Best Bets & Prediction

Bet TypePickOdds
MoneylineMariners -145Seattle’s urgency and home-field edge make them the safer pick.
Total RunsUnder 7.0 (-110)Two aces on the mound in a pitcher-friendly park — expect a low-scoring duel.
Player PropJulio Rodríguez Over 0.5 HR (+280)Rodríguez has excellent splits vs left-handers like Skubal.

Score Prediction: Mariners 3, Tigers 2

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Injuries and Conditions

  • Tigers: Riley Greene (elbow) – out; Javier Báez (rest) – probable.
  • Mariners: Ty France (wrist) – day-to-day; J.P. Crawford (back) – questionable.
  • Weather: 64°F, roof closed if rain persists — neutral hitting environment.
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Handicappers and Picks

According to experts at Scores and Stats, this game profiles as a classic pitcher’s duel. The Mariners’ bullpen depth and home dominance give them the betting edge, but Detroit’s scrappy lineup could keep it close for under bettors.

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