Boston Celtics vs Washington Wizards Picks and Predictions November 5th 2025

Boston Celtics vs Washington-Wizards Basketball Wed, Nov 5, 19:30 pm.
Boston Celtics
ML: -654
0
0
Washington-Wizards
ML: 430
Last Updated on

Boston Celtics vs Washington Wizards Betting Preview

The Boston Celtics return home trying to end a two game skid and fix their shooting issues. The Washington Wizards are on a five game losing streak and own one of the worst defensive ratings in the league. Boston has struggled at TD Garden and now plays again without Jayson Tatum. Washington cannot guard the arc or protect the paint for full quarters. The edge is determined by whether Boston can generate consistent offense without Tatum or if Washington’s pace forces defensive breakdowns.

Line Movement and Odds

Boston opened around minus 11 point 5 at home with Washington at plus 11 point 5. The total sits near 231 point 5 which reflects Boston’s recent defensive lapses and Washington’s pace. Moneyline pricing leans heavily toward the Celtics. You can monitor updates on the NBA odds page.

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Matchup Breakdown

Boston Celtics Outlook

The Celtics are 1 and 3 at home and are shooting 31 percent from three, one of the worst marks in the league. Jaylen Brown has carried the offense but without Tatum their spacing and late shot creation suffer. Boston still ranks near the top in defensive efficiency and opponent field goal percentage. They win when they control rebounds, stay out of foul trouble and generate clean catch and shoot looks. If role players like Derrick White and Payton Pritchard hit shots early the offense stabilizes.

Washington Wizards Outlook

Washington gives up 127 points per game and struggles to guard ball screens and closeouts. Karl-Anthony Towns scored 33 on them Monday and most of it came on simple actions and late rotations. Alex Sarr and Kyshawn George provide scoring but their defense collapses often after the first action. They play fast and rank top three in possessions per game but that pace exposes their defense. To compete they must protect the paint and limit second chance scoring.

Key Matchup and Path to Victory

This game comes down to whether Washington can force Boston into contested jumpers or if the Celtics attack the rim and draw fouls. Boston has the defensive edge and more structure but their shooting has kept games closer than expected. If Washington hits early threes and forces turnovers it becomes dangerous. If Boston controls possessions and limits runouts the spread is within reach.

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Environment

TD Garden plays slower when Boston controls pace but poor shooting has created long rebounds and transition chances for opponents. Washington will push tempo and take quick threes which can inflate total possessions. If the Celtics impose half court rhythm and force five on five sets the scoring drops. If the Wizards dictate pace this leans toward higher variance.

Injury Report

According to the Boston Celtics injury report, Jayson Tatum is listed as out which shifts primary scoring to Jaylen Brown and forces more minutes from secondary wings. No new frontcourt absences have been reported.
The Washington Wizards injury report does not list any major changes to the rotation. Their core of Sarr, George and Coulibaly is expected to play. Monitoring pregame updates is still advised.

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Best Bets and Prediction

Projected Final Score: Celtics 118 Wizards 106

Best Bets:

  • Celtics minus 11 point 5
  • Under 231 point 5

Boston still guards at a high level and Washington’s offense drops against structured half court defenses. Without Tatum the Celtics may score less but they should control this game with defense and rebounding.

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