Los Angeles Kings vs. Washington Capitals Picks and Predictions November 17 2025

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Game Preview Los Angeles Kings @ Washington Capitals

The Los Angeles Kings continue their strong early-season campaign as they visit Capital One Arena to face the Washington Capitals on Monday night. Los Angeles enters at 10-5-4 and sits atop the Western Pacific Division, supported by a balanced scoring approach, defensive structure, and a consistently strong goaltending rotation. Their complete statistical profile, including pace and situational metrics, can be reviewed on the Los Angeles Kings team page.

Washington enters this matchup at 8-9-2, battling inconsistency while attempting to climb out of the lower tier of the Eastern Conference standings. Despite their struggles, the Capitals remain competitive at home and continue to produce meaningful offensive pressure, demonstrated in their recent 3-2 loss to New Jersey where they matched the Devils with 31 shots. Their full team metrics, shot distribution patterns, and efficiency numbers can be found on the Washington Capitals page.

This interconference matchup features two teams with contrasting identities: Los Angeles relies heavily on structure, depth, and defensive clarity, while Washington leans on physicality, shot volume, and their veteran scoring core. Bettors analyzing similar stylistic clashes may find helpful context in the concise guide to hockey betting and matchup-based insights in the NHL Picks section.

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Odds and Key Information

Washington opens as a slight home favorite at -128 on the moneyline, while Los Angeles sits at +108. The puck line reflects the Kings receiving +1.5 at heavy juice (-238), and the Capitals listed at +191 for -1.5. The total sits at 5.5, with the under slightly favored at -113.

Given both teams’ defensive tendencies, the total projects as a tightly priced number. Los Angeles has gone under in eight of its last eleven, while Washington’s recent games have trended slightly higher due to late scoring and special-teams volatility. Bettors examining totals involving disciplined defensive teams often benefit from the framework outlined in the alternate total points guide, which breaks down how teams with strong shot suppression affect totals.

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Los Angeles Kings Outlook

Los Angeles arrives playing disciplined, confident hockey. Their most recent win, a shutout over Ottawa, highlighted their defensive structure as they allowed only 17 shots while blocking 20. Alex Laferriere scored the deciding goal, with Mikey Anderson and Quinton Byfield contributing assists.

Adrian Kempe continues to pace the offense with 19 points in 19 games, while Byfield adds stability with 17 points. The Kings’ ability to produce scoring through multiple forwards has been central to their 10-5-4 start. Their strong 6-4 conference record and 2-0 divisional mark demonstrate their ability to handle physical, structured games — the type of matchup this contest projects to be.

In net, Darcy Kuemper remains steady, providing reliable baseline performances even when the Kings generate limited margin for error. His positioning, rebound control, and consistency help Los Angeles maintain one of the most balanced defensive profiles in the West.

Situational edges involving low-event teams like the Kings often create opportunities for bettors, particularly in mid-game totals or alternate puck-line markets. Those dynamics align with concepts discussed in the what is live betting guide.

Injury Report

• Drew Doughty: Out (lower body)

Washington Capitals Outlook

Despite their 8-9-2 record, the Capitals remain competitive in most games and continue to generate strong offensive engagement. Their recent 3-2 loss to New Jersey saw Connor McMichael and Alex Ovechkin each post a goal and assist. Washington’s 539 shots this season rank 10th in the league, while their 387 hits (11th in the NHL) underscore their physicality and willingness to attack in the corners and along the boards.

Tom Wilson leads the Capitals with 17 points, and his combination of offense and physicality continues to drive their identity. Ovechkin remains productive with 14 points and continues to generate dangerous scoring chances even as Washington adjusts to a younger supporting cast.

The Capitals also enter with a 4-3 divisional record, demonstrating competitiveness within the Metropolitan. However, injuries continue to play a role. John Carlson’s uncertain status creates defensive instability, while Pierre-Luc Dubois’ continued absence reduces center depth — a critical factor against a Kings team that thrives in structured matchups.

Understanding how roster gaps influence betting markets is a key theme in the how to read betting lines guide, which explains why uncertain teams like Washington often produce volatile late movement.

Injury Report

• John Carlson: Questionable (upper body)
• Pierre-Luc Dubois: Out (lower body)

Key Matchup Table

Key FactorEdge
Defensive StructureLos Angeles
Shot VolumeWashington
Scoring DepthLos Angeles
PhysicalityWashington
Goaltending StabilityLos Angeles

Betting Trends

• Kings are 3-0 straight up in their last 3 games
• Kings are 4-1 in their last 5
• Kings games have gone under in 8 of their last 11
• Capitals are 6-4 against the puckline in their last 10
• Capitals have gone over in 3 of their last 5
• Washington is 8-7 ATS this season

Totals in games like this — featuring a disciplined road team and a physical home team — often hinge on pace, shot quality, and neutral-zone control. Bettors looking to understand how player-specific props correlate with these patterns can reference the what is a prop bet guide, which outlines how goal and assist props align with pacing and possession trends.

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The Lean

The Capitals are positioned as favorites due to home ice, defensive ratings, and the Kings’ injury to Drew Doughty. Washington’s ranking near the top of the league in goals against offers stability in a projected low-scoring matchup.

However, Los Angeles’ defensive identity and recent shutout form mean this game projects to be extremely tight. Both teams appear more likely to lean into disciplined structure rather than pace-heavy hockey, which supports the under at 5.5.

Why You Need Expert Picks

Games with defensive stability, limited scoring swings, and roster uncertainty often benefit from advanced modeling. Expert projections incorporate shot-quality metrics, goaltender form, and matchup tendencies to identify value. For similar matchups with tight margins, bettors can explore the NHL picks feed for sharper recommendations.

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Top Winners – This Week
Sas Insider
$5,402
2. Madjack Sports
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4. Kyle Parker
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5. Scott’s Picks
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Projected Score, Spread Pick, and Total Lean

Projected Score:
Capitals 3
Kings 2

Spread Pick:
Capitals ML (-128)

Total Lean:
Under 5.5