Maryland Terrapins vs Mount St. Mary´s Mountaineers Picks and Predictions November 19th 2025

Game Preview Mount St. Mary’s @ Maryland

The Maryland Terrapins return home searching for stability after a dramatic road win at Marquette and the loss of their leading scorer, Pharrel Payne. The Texas A&M transfer had powered Maryland’s offense through four games, averaging 18.3 points and 6.3 rebounds. His injury — suffered on a fall immediately after a dunk — now forces Maryland to reshape its rotation just as its schedule picks up in difficulty.

Maryland’s response in the aftermath of Payne’s departure was sharp. Down by seven against Marquette, the Terrapins surged on a 32–13 run powered by their backcourt. Kansas transfer David Coit and Washington State transfer Isaiah Watts combined for 37 points, hit seven threes, and provided the spacing and pace that Maryland will need again against Mount St. Mary’s.

Mount St. Mary’s enters at 1–3 but has shown competitive stretches against high-major opponents, including West Virginia and Cincinnati. The Mountaineers lack experience after losing their top five scorers, but new contributors like Luke McEldon and Trey Deveaux have taken on early offensive responsibility. Xavier Lipscomb, the top returning player, leads the team in rebounds, assists, and steals while providing steady scoring.

This matchup carries stylistic contrasts that align well with key concepts discussed in resources such as the NCAAB Picks hub, NCAAB odds page, the What Is a Unit guide, and the Moneyline fundamentals.

Odds and Key Information

Maryland enters as a sizeable favorite, laying roughly 19.5 points at home. Total projections hover near 139.5, reflecting Maryland’s offensive balance and the Mountaineers’ challenges generating consistent scoring. Markets can be compared across updated listings on the NCAAB odds board.

For bettors evaluating multi-leg strategies, the Parlay Betting guide, Teaser betting overview, and the Hedge betting explainer provide additional context.

Maryland Outlook

Maryland’s start has been shaped by strong ball pressure, backcourt versatility, and interior production that now must be replaced. Payne’s injury shifts scoring responsibility toward Coit, Watts, and potentially Myles Rice, who made an impactful debut with 19 points and seven rebounds before suffering an ankle injury.

The Terrapins are averaging 79 points while shooting efficiently from deep. Their 82.8 percent free-throw shooting ranks among the nation’s best and gives them a late-game advantage in close spreads. Maryland’s ability to push pace — around 69 possessions per game — and force turnovers has stabilized their early success.

Coit provides perimeter scoring and ball movement, while Watts offers size and shot-making. If Rice returns to full strength, Maryland gains another creator capable of breaking down defenses. The interior rotation now falls to a committee approach, with rebounding becoming a key swing factor.

Relevant betting concepts tied to Maryland’s offensive profile can be explored further in the Alternate Totals guide, Winning Margin article, and Live Betting principles.

Injury Report

Pharrel Payne: Out (hip)
Myles Rice: Day-to-day (ankle)

Mount St. Mary’s Outlook

Mount St. Mary’s faces a demanding matchup, but recent performances demonstrate their ability to compete above expectation. The Mountaineers covered spreads against West Virginia and Cincinnati, maintaining defensive structure while playing with poise against larger, quicker lineups.

Lipscomb’s all-around production stabilizes the roster. McEldon and Deveaux, both transfers, provide interior scoring and rebounding that help keep games within reach. Still, offensive droughts remain common, as the Mountaineers average just over 61 points per game and lack efficient three-point shooting.

The biggest concern lies in scoring depth. Against higher-tier defenses, Mount St. Mary’s has struggled to create quality looks late in the shot clock. Defensive rebounding lapses have also contributed to opponents extending possessions. Against Maryland — one of the nation’s top free-throw shooting teams — conceding second-chance opportunities could shift the entire momentum.

Those examining underdog volatility and prop markets may find value in the Props Betting guide, Spread meaning explainer, and Handicap in Betting.

Injury Report

No major injuries reported.

Key Matchup Table

Matchup Factor	Edge
Guard Play	Maryland
Three-Point Shooting	Maryland
Rebounding	Maryland
Turnovers	Maryland
Bench Impact	Maryland

Betting Trends

Maryland is 3–1 ATS and continues to excel with efficient shooting and strong backcourt production. Their ability to generate scoring from multiple positions helps offset Payne’s absence. Home performance has been steady, with the Terrapins controlling pace and margin effectively.

Mount St. Mary’s is 3–1 ATS as well, often competing above market expectations despite limited scoring depth. Their profile suggests they can stay within certain spreads when games are low-tempo, but Maryland’s pace and shotmaking may create separation.

Advanced betting perspectives align with concepts discussed in foundational guides such as the Sports Betting for Beginners primer, the Online Sportsbooks comparison, and the Sports Betting Strategies overview.

Predictions

Projected Score: Maryland 83, Mount St. Mary’s 59
Spread Pick: Maryland -19.5
Total Lean: Under 139.5

Why You Need Expert Picks

This matchup hinges on Maryland’s adjusted rotation, Mount St. Mary’s scoring ceiling, and possession-driven discrepancies. With Payne unavailable, Maryland must rely more heavily on guard creation. Expert projections help quantify margin expectations, especially when lineup volatility and pace differences interact.

For model-supported selections, bettors can review the full Handicappers Leaderboard and NCAAB picks board. Broader season projections and futures logic appear in resources like the College Basketball Futures guide and player evaluations relevant to awards discussions such as the John Wooden Award odds article.